TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb187…bbe1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
133
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Serie A, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT3253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$7,673Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,673.38
Will Bilibili Gaming win First Stand 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,019Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$400.62
Will G2 Esports win First Stand 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19,475Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$7,525.32
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$449.99
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.98
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,673Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$1,033.08
Will Bilibili Gaming Gaming win the LPL 2026 Split 1 playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,121Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+29%+$324.58
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,745Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$2,745.15
Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 Split 1 playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$208.38
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,222Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+391%+$4,778.03
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,935Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,935.36
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$150.93
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$915Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+31%+$283.9
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$26.97
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$5,018Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+296.7%+$14,887.03
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,748Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,748.19
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,061Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+47.6%+$505.31
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$959.72
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$576Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+59.1%+$340.38
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$319.8
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,495Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,495
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,535Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$3,535.2
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$659.9
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$899.99
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$848Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+33.2%+$281.56
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT2729.6%8 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-37.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.52
Raptors vs. Clippersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,859Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,858.77
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$5,320Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$6,502.82
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11,491Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,491.2
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,193.71
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11,092Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$5,862.9
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$6,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,300
Bulls vs. Lakersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$3,397Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,396.58
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$686Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$685.8
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,055Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,055.15
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$8,306Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$3,586.68
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$8,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$11,399.37
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$6,327Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$4,396.32
Mavericks vs. Celticsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$109.56
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$5,762Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$5,761.76
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+300%+$144.75
Heat vs. Pelicansbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+88.7%+$220.66
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$33.12
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,815Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,815.06
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$279.48
Magic vs. Spursbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$26.7
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+81.8%+$88.78
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,532Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,532.16
Pistons vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18.33
Bucks vs. 76ersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$29.03
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.01
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$596Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$168.19
Based FDV above $75M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$420.03
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.81
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$587Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$586.9
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,355Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+43.5%+$1,460.77
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$677Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$677.48
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+160.8%+$788.96
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,491Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+197%+$4,907.15
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+252.3%+$291.46
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+58.4%+$156.61
Infinex FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$43.47
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$94.05
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$154.58
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+69.5%+$82
All 15 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$957Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$546.9
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,295Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,294.55
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,712Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,711.65
Dota 2: Heroic vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$657Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$656.96
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$450.92
Dota 2: Heroic vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$967Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$966.69
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,571Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+102.9%+$4,705.53
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$134.71
Dota 2: Heroic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,357Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,356.8
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$950Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+138.8%+$1,319.49
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.18
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$46.32
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-Inbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+53.8%+$35
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-Inbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,480Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$3,520
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$108.76
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$186.09
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.95
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,128Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$3,810.28
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,551Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,550.71
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$266.52
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+58.7%+$286.11
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,920Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$4,920
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+51.5%+$238.68
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$9,100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+53.8%+$4,900
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$288.88
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-72.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+59.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-41.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-47.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$637Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$364.47
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$513.51
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$5,106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$5,105.84
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Torino FC win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$538Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$743.56
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$348.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $90 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$129.68
Ethereum all time high by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$170.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BLɅϽKPIИK release an album by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+66.9%+$9.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$508.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$145.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coinbase Global (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$92.81
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.