CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fe5032148c141e64d7fbe9a8ee13a25a87c57252f69e24d079b39fa9aa5619e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Aurora Gaming, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,022,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,137,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,022,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,025 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Astralis | 47c | 152,150$71,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,478.77 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…c2a4backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 111,361$55,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,373.38 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Astralis | 48c | 91,810$43,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,751.29 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 84,042$43,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,340.25 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Aurora Gaming | 53c | 60,914$31,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,933.38 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…692bbacked Aurora Gaming | 53c | 54,000$28,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,379.97 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…3eedbacked Aurora Gaming | 33c | 53,664$17,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,753.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +199.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 47,233$25,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,192.07 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Aurora Gaming | 50c | 46,091$23,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,046.1 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked Astralis | 30c | 41,843$12,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,637.54 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 41,197$21,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,486.33 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Astralis | 39c | 41,177$16,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,169.51 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Aurora Gaming | 53c | 40,000$21,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,799.93 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Astralis | 46c | 37,245$17,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,235.12 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Astralis | 50c | 36,769$18,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,417.7 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…8e43backed Astralis | 0c | 32,221$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c62…2693backed Astralis | 48c | 31,865$15,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Aurora Gaming | 53c | 30,000$15,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,100 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 27,726$11,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,988.83 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked Astralis | 47c | 22,734$10,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,684.87 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 22,688$16,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,250.67 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 22,548$12,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,307.59 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Astralis | 44c | 18,056$7,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,890.6 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked Astralis | 21c | 17,812$3,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,801.99 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Astralis | 67c | 17,616$11,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,802.56 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Astralis | 67c | 17,421$11,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,746.38 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Astralis | 43c | 17,236$7,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,461.52 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Aurora Gaming | 54c | 17,159$9,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,827.87 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 15,948$8,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,689.12 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Aurora Gaming | 44c | 15,431$6,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,709.04 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Astralis | 47c | 14,250$6,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,697.48 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Astralis | 39c | 14,073$5,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,512.74 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 13,021$7,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,602.91 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fe…0956backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 12,955$9,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,683.23 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbc…a37bbacked Aurora Gaming | 70c | 12,201$8,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,657.69 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Astralis | 29c | 12,124$3,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,501.53 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac31…89efbacked Astralis | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Astralis | 46c | 12,000$5,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,519.97 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0409…4c00backed Astralis | 0c | 11,979$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked Aurora Gaming | 54c | 11,500$6,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,289.97 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 10,678$5,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,178.96 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…7d71backed Astralis | 46c | 10,650$4,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,910.5 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…c965backed Astralis | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Astralis | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.98 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Astralis | 45c | 9,737$4,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,381.43 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…ccafbacked Aurora Gaming | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.26 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa526…c9f9backed Astralis | 48c | 9,211$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400.37 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Astralis | 67c | 9,000$6,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,030 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Astralis | 46c | 8,043$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Astralis | 47c | 8,000$3,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,730 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fd…4c1dbacked Astralis | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked Astralis | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,839.98 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Astralis | 47c | 8,000$3,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,759.98 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb187…bbe1backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 7,938$4,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,810.28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Astralis | 50c | 7,562$3,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,778.25 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 7,417$5,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.49 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 7,359$3,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,532.12 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Astralis | 66c | 7,072$4,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,689.11 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb425…c80bbacked Astralis | 66c | 7,032$4,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,629.13 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Astralis | 47c | 7,000$3,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,289.99 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Astralis | 49c | 6,957$3,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,408.91 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Astralis | 47c | 6,824$3,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,207.27 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d5…71a1backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 6,763$3,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,178.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe1…622cbacked Astralis | 47c | 6,596$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Astralis | 46c | 6,448$2,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,938.76 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…0664backed Astralis | 32c | 6,439$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.94 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Astralis | 46c | 6,437$2,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,960.79 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed Astralis | 46c | 6,428$2,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.01 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 6,376$3,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900.29 | 258 | 45.7%118 W · 140 L | -18.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Aurora Gaming | 57c | 6,224$3,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,655.83 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Astralis | 43c | 6,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Aurora Gaming | 33c | 6,000$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,022.47 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 5,812$3,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565.79 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Astralis | 42c | 5,767$2,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,435.16 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Astralis | 44c | 5,732$2,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,528.24 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 5,662$3,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,547.68 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.56 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…f85fbacked Aurora Gaming | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.55 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 5,281$3,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.41 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7c…5947backed Astralis | 47c | 5,238$2,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,461.86 | 86 | 29.1%25 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Astralis | 47c | 4,972$2,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.12 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Astralis | 47c | 4,970$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,335.92 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Astralis | 57c | 4,941$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800.22 | 113 | 61.1%69 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Astralis | 48c | 4,400$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Astralis | 55c | 4,195$2,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288.83 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Astralis | 66c | 4,065$2,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,685.17 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Aurora Gaming | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Astralis | 67c | 4,000$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,680 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Aurora Gaming | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.99 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Aurora Gaming | 53c | 3,955$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.72 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Astralis | 47c | 3,937$1,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.57 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Aurora Gaming | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.9 | 204 | 58.3%119 W · 85 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Aurora Gaming | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.7 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 3,700$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,916 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 3,534$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.4 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Astralis | 45c | 3,502$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.88 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Astralis | 46c | 3,388$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.16 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Aurora Gaming | 61c | 3,349$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.29 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.