CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca29c516d2389b53784ed071429364a0f5b7cc420e65b3a54e914ffa286e4d44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof Aurora Gaming, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $555,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $555,293 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Astralis | 54c | 66,746$35,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,914.58 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 47,186$21,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,705.41 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 34,668$16,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,400.44 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Astralis | 57c | 26,898$15,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,654.93 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Astralis | 54c | 14,671$7,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,816.04 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Astralis | 47c | 13,836$6,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,271.38 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 13,043$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.99 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked Aurora Gaming | 30c | 12,091$3,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,653.73 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a70…0c8ebacked Aurora Gaming | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Aurora Gaming | 38c | 8,288$3,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,144.2 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 8,272$3,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,564.6 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Astralis | 47c | 8,023$3,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,221.43 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Astralis | 52c | 6,410$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,076.62 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Astralis | 55c | 6,066$3,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,710.64 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…fe3bbacked Aurora Gaming | 1c | 5,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Astralis | 63c | 4,608$2,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.06 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Astralis | 54c | 4,444$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.44 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…9897backed Astralis | 54c | 4,381$2,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,015.48 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked Astralis | 45c | 4,154$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,269.52 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Astralis | 61c | 4,152$2,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.16 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fe…0956backed Astralis | 71c | 4,000$2,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.16 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Astralis | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…0664backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05c…66b9backed Aurora Gaming | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis | 51c | 2,898$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.78 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Aurora Gaming | 1c | 2,816$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 133 | 15.8%21 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Astralis | 62c | 2,395$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.32 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 2,232$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.96 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Astralis | 52c | 2,119$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.95 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Astralis | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Aurora Gaming | 56c | 1,806$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.2 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 1,695$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.48 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Aurora Gaming | 32c | 1,561$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Astralis | 57c | 1,558$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.08 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Astralis | 68c | 1,552$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.71 | 173 | 57.2%99 W · 74 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Astralis | 78c | 1,517$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.87 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Aurora Gaming | 20c | 1,506$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.56 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Aurora Gaming | 37c | 1,483$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.25 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x959f…9e2fbacked Aurora Gaming | 51c | 1,398$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Aurora Gaming | 46c | 1,348$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x246b…fb5bbacked Aurora Gaming | 59c | 1,344$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.21 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…f17ebacked Aurora Gaming | 3c | 1,254$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 1,194$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.83 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 1,110$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.08 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Aurora Gaming | 37c | 1,093$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Astralis | 42c | 1,092$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.85 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Aurora Gaming | 49c | 1,083$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.93 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed Astralis | 54c | 1,046$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.3 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Astralis | 48c | 1,031$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.01 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Astralis | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Astralis | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Astralis | 64c | 941.67$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.67 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 900$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b8…b4d8backed Astralis | 46c | 874.04$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.04 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Astralis | 55c | 850$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.5 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Aurora Gaming | 34c | 844.42$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.1 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a8…bdc6backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 821.44$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.52 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Aurora Gaming | 18c | 819.75$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.83 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Aurora Gaming | 42c | 813.17$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.57 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Astralis | 62c | 810.8$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.05 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Astralis | 52c | 800.31$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.15 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…b47dbacked Aurora Gaming | 3c | 800$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…1496backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 800$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.6 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…e5d6backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 794.57$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb145…df85backed Astralis | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef66…f839backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 743.69$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Astralis | 51c | 714.95$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.33 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…1650backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 695.84$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Astralis | 51c | 612.31$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.33 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Astralis | 52c | 612$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.36 | 157 | 32.5%51 W · 106 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Astralis | 52c | 595$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.6 | 151 | 42.4%64 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora Gaming | 30c | 582.13$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.43 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb898…151cbacked Astralis | 64c | 567.65$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.65 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Aurora Gaming | 34c | 561.11$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.67 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Astralis | 54c | 550.5$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.23 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…5d73backed Astralis | 52c | 532$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 519.03$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.58 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Aurora Gaming | 46c | 500$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…b74fbacked Astralis | 45c | 493.1$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.56 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Aurora Gaming | 3c | 450$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Aurora Gaming | 39c | 436.31$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.13 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 431$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.71 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Astralis | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 538 | 50.6%272 W · 266 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x803c…6efbbacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 402$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…3c3fbacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 388.57$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.63 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Astralis | 51c | 384.31$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.31 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ff…20dfbacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 381.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0b…1ac1backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 366$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f7…34a5backed Astralis | 52c | 365$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a71…8792backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 364$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d1…b4a2backed Astralis | 52c | 348$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63fe…9f1ebacked Astralis | 60c | 331.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.17 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a41…cda7backed Astralis | 52c | 313$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9678backed Aurora Gaming | 32c | 301.82$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.42 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa730…bd15backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1277backed Aurora Gaming | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1071…e39ebacked Aurora Gaming | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b08dbacked Astralis | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.