CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16a607ae414e34feb817d22288281212a19e9e5ff6525d2be6ccea04803fd638
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Aurora Gaming, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $194,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,785 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 18,862$10,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,913.18 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Astralis | 42c | 9,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,779.99 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b07…96febacked Astralis | 2c | 8,733$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.34 | 46 | 4.3%2 W · 44 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 7,093$4,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,342.12 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4088…0da3backed Astralis | 1c | 6,020$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked Astralis | 30c | 5,642$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.04 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Aurora Gaming | 59c | 4,888$2,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.09 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Astralis | 42c | 4,500$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.99 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 4,128$2,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.88 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Astralis | 42c | 4,076$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.26 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 4,000$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Astralis | 32c | 4,000$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.99 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 3,723$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.44 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Astralis | 33c | 3,022$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.44 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Astralis | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Astralis | 40c | 2,500$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Astralis | 43c | 2,283$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 2,272$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.04 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb145…df85backed Astralis | 7c | 2,185$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Astralis | 36c | 2,134$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.2 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Astralis | 41c | 2,092$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.38 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 2,065$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.27 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Astralis | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Astralis | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Astralis | 23c | 1,739$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Astralis | 42c | 1,731$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.37 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…81c3backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 1,704$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.83 | 159 | 70.4%112 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Astralis | 39c | 1,693$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.99 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 1,590$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.8 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Astralis | 41c | 1,548$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.17 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61fe…0956backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 1,500$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.67 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis | 39c | 1,467$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.03 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b8…b4d8backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 1,445$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.58 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Astralis | 20c | 1,378$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 173 | 57.2%99 W · 74 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Aurora Gaming | 59c | 1,325$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.9 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Astralis | 35c | 1,316$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.89 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Astralis | 33c | 1,261$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.8 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Astralis | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Astralis | 43c | 1,154$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.83 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b476backed Astralis | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 1,017$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.64 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Astralis | 42c | 999.98$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 999.97$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.99 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Astralis | 41c | 975$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.75 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…9d98backed Astralis | 6c | 962.3$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1880…f087backed Astralis | 7c | 950$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Astralis | 41c | 880.7$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 717.54$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.72 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece2…f453backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 700$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Astralis | 26c | 650$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Astralis | 12c | 619.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.87 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Astralis | 4c | 576.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Astralis | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Astralis | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Astralis | 24c | 489.01$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 486.36$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.27 | 352 | 42.9%151 W · 201 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Astralis | 15c | 483$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.54 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Aurora Gaming | 60c | 457$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.8 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 457$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.51 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…b74fbacked Astralis | 5c | 443$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb03a…ceddbacked Astralis | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Astralis | 4c | 350$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa83a…34d6backed Astralis | 22c | 342.41$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.21 | 203 | 32.5%66 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7fbcbacked Astralis | 43c | 334.88$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Astralis | 30c | 329.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 317.24$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.24 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39e2…040dbacked Astralis | 40c | 299.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eac…1344backed Astralis | 5c | 278.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked Astralis | 6c | 277.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 460 | 42.8%197 W · 263 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2f…16c4backed Astralis | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked Astralis | 10c | 235.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Astralis | 43c | 232.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad8…075abacked Aurora Gaming | 80c | 231$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 229.98$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.29 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfffe…4e6cbacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 223.25$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.77 | 277 | 49.5%137 W · 140 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Astralis | 28c | 222.1$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.25 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 215.52$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.52 | 603 | 58.5%353 W · 250 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Astralis | 42c | 209.9$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Astralis | 42c | 200$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Astralis | 14c | 200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Astralis | 45c | 183.8$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.71 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0719…c6b9backed Astralis | 14c | 181.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked Aurora Gaming | 57c | 174.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.14 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Aurora Gaming | 55c | 173.8$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Aurora Gaming | 80c | 169.92$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 150$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 294 | 65.3%192 W · 102 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…c098backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 147.7$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.08 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4e…1721backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 142.29$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.76 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 141.21$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.48 | 151 | 42.4%64 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0af…3b75backed Astralis | 14c | 139$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 183 | 42.1%77 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Astralis | 29c | 134.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | -27.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 125.34$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 384 | 56.3%216 W · 168 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Astralis | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -9.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 117.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.48 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Aurora Gaming | 70c | 115.73$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…9bd1backed Astralis | 13c | 111.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Astralis | 42c | 109.83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.13 | 157 | 32.5%51 W · 106 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f7…7714backed Astralis | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 190 | 48.9%93 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.