TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x60b8…d47d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
781
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT60857.2%348 W · 260 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 608 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffsbacked BESTIA Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+300%+$37.59
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Luminosity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.08
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$65.41
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs NIP (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: B8 vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+70%+$189.21
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Sinners (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$36.39
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Alliance (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$338.3
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Acend (BO5) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$101.58
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Acend - Map 4 Winnerbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.44
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Acend - Map 2 Winnerbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs ECHO (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs ECHO - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Infinite - Map 2 Winnerbacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+71.3%+$43.66
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Infinite (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$19.59
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Infinite - Map 1 Winnerbacked Infinite · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$150.91
Showing 25 of 608 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10759.8%64 W · 43 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 107 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$212
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+792.9%+$911.79
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$230.45
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.5
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$85.66
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: England (-1.5)backed DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+93.1%+$465.38
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$209.09
France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$17.14
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$391
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$184.9
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.36
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 107 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST2941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+55%+$14.52
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$60.55
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.67
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+31.3%+$15.02
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+103.5%+$35.03
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+41%+$28.49
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+30.1%+$32.12
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.76
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+48.8%+$16.39
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$23.47
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15.03
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+152.8%+$33.17
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$149
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13.72
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$42.42
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.75
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 1 to January 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+32.2%+$24.88
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+351.2%+$71.26
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick58cpaid-38.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$114
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+81.8%+$29.34
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+140.4%+$27.4
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$18.91
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.02
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+35.1%+$4.85
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.9%+$6.75
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+49.2%+$10.83
All 14 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+104.5%+$13.12
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+86.9%+$9.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+53.4%+$13.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+81.8%+$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+64.7%+$25.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$28.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.