TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Belgiumof Belgium, Senegal
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,829,288
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,828,100

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,829,288 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 4,052 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Senegal38c1,150,412$441,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441,140.129142.9%39 W · 52 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…ba32backed Belgium24c458,428$109,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349,051.851485.7%12 W · 2 L+4.8wins+0.34per pick51cpaid+88.1%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Belgium74c348,249$259,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88,901.1574752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Belgium66c298,462$196,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101,477.087433.8%25 W · 49 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-40%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Belgium63c297,832$186,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110,935.392,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Belgium64c295,261$190,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105,091.471,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x580d…eb6dbacked Senegal34c260,000$88,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88,799.968063.8%51 W · 29 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbf32…3b90backed Belgium57c247,429$141,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106,394.391450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Belgium61c245,052$149,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95,119.584748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc57f…c909backed Belgium60c240,000$144,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95,1003458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf751…fec8backed Senegal40c199,998$79,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,999.339747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked Belgium58c166,787$97,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,374.7715456.5%87 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Senegal42c150,000$63,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,446.5622348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35e2…9dcbbacked Senegal41c121,764$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,0009045.6%41 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95f7…5541backed Senegal4c116,416$5,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,131.6610544.8%47 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Senegal3c102,916$3,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,055.5128229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Belgium65c100,000$65,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,0001656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75a2…6992backed Senegal0c98,302$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.31637.5%6 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+30.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Senegal42c96,351$40,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,741.7842345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf81a…719abacked Senegal0c96,150$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1513623.5%32 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Belgium66c96,042$63,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,351.132,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d78…29a5backed Belgium61c95,712$58,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,327.563571.4%25 W · 10 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3496…8fc4backed Senegal4c95,221$3,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.2717034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Belgium59c84,999$50,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,849.7617852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe183…62e6backed Senegal42c81,353$33,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,889.81752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Senegal62c80,877$50,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,296.321,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Senegal41c79,500$32,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,5952642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Senegal34c73,897$25,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,125.094161%25 W · 16 L+0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Senegal39c72,736$28,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,367.0133538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Belgium47c71,942$33,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,227.7417447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Senegal2c64,366$1,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.7915929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b5a…00f2backed Senegal59c63,250$37,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,317.297839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Belgium60c63,196$37,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,531.341,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf072…467abacked Belgium60c62,512$37,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,130.379446.8%44 W · 50 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Senegal7c57,307$3,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,776.215844.3%70 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Senegal19c54,788$10,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,187.4123540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Senegal12c53,878$6,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,493.5420839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Senegal35c52,000$18,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,13074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff8d…c814backed Senegal0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014225.4%36 W · 106 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed Senegal34c50,000$17,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,999.986114.8%9 W · 52 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-46.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7bc1…8db4backed Senegal34c50,000$17,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,999.962714.8%4 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-73.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked Senegal41c48,780$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0001040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed Senegal41c47,948$19,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,746.047346.6%34 W · 39 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Senegal43c47,778$20,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,569.1914248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Belgium58c46,193$26,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,358.128,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Belgium59c45,620$26,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,704.3322139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Senegal35c45,361$15,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,876.359345.2%42 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Senegal36c43,964$16,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,00032429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Senegal32c42,564$13,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,817.6413738.7%53 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed Senegal4c41,635$1,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,752.6225821.3%55 W · 203 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Senegal18c40,969$7,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,531.1829018.6%54 W · 236 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Senegal18c40,794$7,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,353.696546.2%30 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Belgium57c40,237$22,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,295.9977152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf975…4354backed Senegal40c39,282$15,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,9082138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-42.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Senegal15c38,706$5,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,700.7836235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad7…ae48backed Belgium58c37,916$22,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,826.34355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Senegal35c37,090$13,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,162.456541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7042…c72bbacked Belgium60c35,934$21,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,548.97147.9%34 W · 37 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Senegal43c35,249$15,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,168.5714045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Belgium68c35,054$23,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,087.4331945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Senegal34c35,000$11,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,90014553.8%78 W · 67 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Belgium58c34,647$19,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,689.7717550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Senegal59c34,536$20,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,284.6925844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabff…9e8fbacked Senegal44c33,953$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0009349.5%46 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x18e6…d83dbacked Senegal43c33,932$14,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,729.2812616.7%21 W · 105 L-12.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-53.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Senegal40c33,000$13,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,199.9842710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85e5…6056backed Belgium59c31,577$18,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,070.83450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Senegal39c30,000$11,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,70015950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb225…3d54backed Belgium10c30,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,999.989525.3%24 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Senegal36c30,000$10,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,699.9710840.7%44 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Belgium41c29,997$12,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,698.2317452.3%91 W · 83 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2a0…7e90backed Senegal5c29,153$1,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.98037.5%30 W · 50 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f16…bbd9backed Senegal35c28,571$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0001258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Belgium69c27,559$18,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,563.2941331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed Senegal44c27,270$11,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,925.9818047.8%86 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Senegal40c26,571$10,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,701.8440239.8%160 W · 242 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Belgium57c25,914$14,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,117.1111647.4%55 W · 61 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1e0…206dbacked Belgium59c25,617$15,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,460.088826.1%23 W · 65 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Senegal39c25,565$9,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,954.593,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ea…150fbacked Senegal17c25,018$4,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,129.0419332.1%62 W · 131 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbe…776dbacked Senegal40c25,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,999.957222.2%16 W · 56 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-40.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed Senegal42c24,163$10,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,090.978931.5%28 W · 61 L-9.0wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd7ac…f764backed Senegal42c23,809$9,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,997.716543.1%28 W · 37 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd123…d341backed Senegal61c23,005$14,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,028.25812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick33cpaid-76%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x200e…38b3backed Senegal59c22,914$13,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,5412437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f90…21fabacked Senegal34c22,900$7,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,7864057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Belgium51c22,590$11,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,118.715334%18 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9941…0b8dbacked Senegal37c22,503$8,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,286.587941.8%33 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Belgium60c22,480$13,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,909.67163.4%45 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Belgium51c22,443$11,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,915.9214715.6%23 W · 124 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Senegal34c22,222$7,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,555.4221836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Belgium49c21,881$10,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,111.9836939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04c0…4f3dbacked Senegal16c21,124$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3007632.9%25 W · 51 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x533c…2658backed Senegal61c20,000$12,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,2002860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Senegal35c20,000$7,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,099.9826447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Senegal40c20,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,999.9513331.6%42 W · 91 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa701…47cdbacked Belgium60c19,658$11,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,863.241936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-41.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc48…24c3backed Belgium59c19,286$11,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,907.133842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Senegal4c18,483$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.9934731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fae…4079backed Senegal41c18,129$7,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,4336833.8%23 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.