TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Senegal (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Belgiumof Senegal, Belgium
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$568,006
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$688,108

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $568,006 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Senegal2c115,000$2,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,452.193,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Senegal18c21,750$3,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,927.5742345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Senegal2c15,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30025019.6%49 W · 201 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Senegal8c9,135$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.532,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Senegal4c7,878$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.322,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Senegal5c7,854$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.214,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Senegal4c7,281$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26029018.6%54 W · 236 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0882…6bc3backed Senegal3c6,783$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.27160%0 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Senegal3c5,150$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.0760511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6639…0e59backed Senegal20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.925717.5%10 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick16cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Senegal17c4,276$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.6422437.1%83 W · 141 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Senegal11c4,247$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.31,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Senegal2c3,325$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.222,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Senegal17c3,153$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.753629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Senegal3c2,863$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1898134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd1…ec0ebacked Senegal18c2,605$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.983933.3%13 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Senegal5c1,922$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010136.6%37 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Senegal4c1,860$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.492,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Senegal3c1,791$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9819713.7%27 W · 170 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Senegal3c1,417$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0963035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee2a…729bbacked Senegal2c1,380$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303810.5%4 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd819…c72bbacked Senegal2c1,378$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.561020%2 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Senegal6c1,295$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.131,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49e1…a8bdbacked Senegal3c1,154$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012517.6%22 W · 103 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-43.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e44…f303backed Senegal3c1,154$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308419%16 W · 68 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Senegal2c1,141$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4446230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Senegal2c1,100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.747127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Senegal16c1,030$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16011122.5%25 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Senegal20c1,002$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20046223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Senegal21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21038817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Senegal2c999.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.51,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Senegal2c763.08$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.462969%20 W · 9 L+7.4wins+0.26per pick43cpaid+130.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Senegal5c716.95$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.991,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Senegal2c651.27$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.611,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9a4…5e8fbacked Senegal6c650$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.754114.6%6 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-57.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Senegal3c642.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040848.8%199 W · 209 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d4…f59bbacked Senegal19c632$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.295162.7%32 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Senegal3c621.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.778,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ea…6ebbbacked Senegal17c621.15$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.585621.4%12 W · 44 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Senegal17c600$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.516338.1%24 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Senegal13c591.28$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9737223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Senegal3c577.08$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5848937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Senegal17c576.49$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.938842%37 W · 51 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Senegal3c554.06$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.373234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Senegal2c549$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3958530.9%181 W · 404 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1ad…0734backed Senegal5c536.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.532937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa8…645bbacked Senegal4c520$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.728326.5%22 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fc…55ccbacked Senegal3c502.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5910335%36 W · 67 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Senegal3c500$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1395739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Senegal5c489.69$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1651250.4%258 W · 254 L+31.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Senegal5c478.39$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253067.8%24 W · 282 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Senegal15c431.63$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.382,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Senegal19c413.62$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8054917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf83e…4663backed Senegal12c412.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8810041%41 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d76…92b5backed Senegal6c357.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209428.7%27 W · 67 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8582…959fbacked Senegal21c349.9$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3710440.4%42 W · 62 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Senegal4c303.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.392,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1597…6edebacked Senegal17c301.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9847029.1%137 W · 333 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Senegal11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3322052.3%115 W · 105 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Senegal18c299.98$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.260821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1980…3c8dbacked Senegal17c289.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504812.5%6 W · 42 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Belgium78c270$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.557541.7%240 W · 335 L-20.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe40b…9ab4backed Senegal19c263$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9719939.2%78 W · 121 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc374…ecf5backed Senegal19c261.61$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504740.4%19 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Senegal18c256.92$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.761,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked Senegal18c250$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.818155.6%45 W · 36 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Senegal19c211.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4075630.4%230 W · 526 L-1.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e0e…9eb8backed Senegal21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422913.8%4 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-58.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Senegal7c197$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8151429.4%151 W · 363 L-46.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x82b3…0c0ebacked Senegal6c194.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.913531.9%43 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8585…eef1backed Senegal21c191.08$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404146.3%19 W · 22 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9cf…c8b9backed Senegal18c180.33$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.375832.8%19 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-30.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Belgium80c171$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.582,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked Senegal18c167.21$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308236.6%30 W · 52 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8c7…3726backed Senegal19c158.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306016.7%10 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Senegal17c141.95$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9969744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Senegal8c140$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.151,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Senegal18c123$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.741,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Senegal21c116.28$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2525945.2%117 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x91d9…4348backed Senegal18c109.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205242.3%22 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x305e…b28bbacked Senegal18c100.49$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1826133.3%87 W · 174 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c29…d822backed Senegal17c89.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.556129.5%18 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc9…01e1backed Senegal15c85.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1311020%22 W · 88 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x099c…e42cbacked Senegal19c78.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155332.1%17 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x71eb…4c2dbacked Senegal14c76.39$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110147.5%48 W · 53 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+7.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Belgium80c60$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1834540.3%139 W · 206 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.