Fifa International · resolved market
Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95bdf76e85ab7a41ed9e125d110eaa38a2ed9bd27b129e6a0f818b9f56f4d374
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d9a…f1abbacked No | 0c | 14,217$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked No | 69c | 1,723$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.43 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 70c | 1,304$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.12 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 51c | 1,128$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.6 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 35c | 857.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.56 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 3c | 606.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.74 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459a…bf86backed Yes | 10c | 500.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.88 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…9d56backed Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…06edbacked Yes | 4c | 405.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +268.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48d1…e42bbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +11.8wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +119.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…cd31backed Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 205 | 11.7%24 W · 181 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 71c | 288.73$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed No | 72c | 287.34$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.51 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d4…4fbebacked Yes | 30c | 245.13$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.59 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 67c | 229.41$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.41 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…f072backed Yes | 23c | 219.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.05 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed No | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4d…c525backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 170 | 20%34 W · 136 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x738b…f6cdbacked Yes | 52c | 193.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.04 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24bd…d33bbacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…ca2ebacked Yes | 32c | 156.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.15 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 756 | 30.4%230 W · 526 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 724 | 24.7%179 W · 545 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…6a86backed Yes | 25c | 131.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.98 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Yes | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac2…062abacked Yes | 16c | 111.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.43 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 27c | 111$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…630cbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ff…9708backed No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…c970backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe714…0b4abacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc337…5984backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 196 | 18.4%36 W · 160 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5842…5ab8backed Yes | 21c | 95.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.78 | 181 | 50.8%92 W · 89 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 65c | 90.51$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.83 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d8…603abacked Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 15c | 82.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.23 | 274 | 66.4%182 W · 92 L | +28.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5669…0f13backed No | 78c | 78.07$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.89 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81ae…4440backed Yes | 30c | 75.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.87 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 48c | 74.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 190 | 64.2%122 W · 68 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x911d…3886backed Yes | 30c | 74.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 115 | 26.1%30 W · 85 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8f…266bbacked Yes | 36c | 66.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 123 | 36.6%45 W · 78 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…b1b9backed Yes | 55c | 65.04$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffb5…92c3backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…ce87backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76ee…d041backed Yes | 34c | 55.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 64c | 55.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 55c | 53.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9424…9b81backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5933…ecb7backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 133 | 28.6%38 W · 95 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a0…b306backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x320a…c1f6backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa87a…88a9backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf254…f312backed Yes | 30c | 47.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.92 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a78…c541backed Yes | 21c | 46.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +366.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5793…6977backed Yes | 60c | 44.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +12.5wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xadd3…bab6backed No | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7c…287abacked Yes | 36c | 31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 56c | 24.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 341 | 2.9%10 W · 331 L | -132.4wins | -0.39per pick | 42cpaid | -94%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xd83d…f677backed No | 70c | 24.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?this page
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 1.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 6.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 7.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 1.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to AdvanceBelgium won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Belgium (-3.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Belgium (-4.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Senegal (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Senegal (-2.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Senegal (-3.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Senegal (-4.5)Belgium won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.