TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xffb5…92c3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
132
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Cricket at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT7139.4%28 W · 43 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Namibia vs Nepalbacked Nepal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.37
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.27
T20I Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladeshbacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.98
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Major League Cricket: Los Angeles Knight Riders vs Mi New Yorkbacked Mi New York · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$17.56
Major League Cricket: Washington Freedom vs San Francisco Unicornsbacked Washington Freedom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.4
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Major League Cricket: Washington Freedom vs Seattle Orcasbacked Washington Freedom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Irelandbacked Ireland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$13.37
T20 Blast: Essex vs Kentbacked Essex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
T20 Blast: Somerset vs Warwickshirebacked Somerset · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
T20 Blast: Middlesex vs Essexbacked Middlesex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
T20 Blast: Nottinghamshire vs Derbyshirebacked Nottinghamshire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
T20 Blast: Lancashire vs Glamorganbacked Lancashire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
T20 Blast: Sussex vs Kentbacked Kent · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lankabacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$90.39
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.11
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$72.05
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3565.7%23 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.84
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$11.27
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$16.62
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14.39
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spain to score first vs. Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12.63
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.88
Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$42
Belgium to score first vs. Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.99
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$72.99
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$19.59
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$46.96
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$40.32
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.06
England leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$59.84
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$75.58
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-34.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-47%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-64.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+37%+$10.36
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 February 2-8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+35.8%+$13.25
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 February 2-8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+153.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+153.9%+$29.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+93.6%+$123.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+66.7%+$8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.