Fifa International · resolved market
Spain to score first vs. Austria?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe72f8a8db03586b72a64c96c21e452251f2f5d4c7e139d8b05ed7facc7873c06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 23c | 15,530$3,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,580.74 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 76c | 15,126$11,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,563.62 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed No | 25c | 9,173$2,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325.79 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 24c | 6,763$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.97 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 77c | 5,290$4,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.28 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed No | 25c | 3,179$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Yes | 76c | 2,743$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.42 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4455…91b4backed Yes | 76c | 2,471$1,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 76c | 2,236$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.45 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Yes | 74c | 2,064$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.13 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 20c | 2,024$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.38 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…fc60backed No | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 73c | 1,862$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.64 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 75c | 1,800$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 76c | 1,348$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.05 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Yes | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 24c | 1,301$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.85 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed Yes | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 25c | 1,254$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.96 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes | 79c | 986.08$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.08 | 454 | 24.7%112 W · 342 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 75c | 955.61$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.49 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…bf33backed Yes | 69c | 834.29$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.63 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 25c | 719.98$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.44 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e43…6583backed Yes | 75c | 700$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a19…1581backed Yes | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 26c | 579.32$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.82 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 75c | 572.4$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.64 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 15c | 524.52$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.97 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked No | 25c | 524$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Yes | 75c | 501$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.25 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f8…b824backed Yes | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +14.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb7…6b52backed Yes | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fa…97debacked Yes | 76c | 480$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed No | 12c | 384$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 457 | 40.3%184 W · 273 L | -28.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 16c | 325.57$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x970d…3bd8backed Yes | 75c | 320$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 26c | 271.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.05 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 15c | 267.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 22c | 265.45$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 25c | 263.57$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.89 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x909a…e48cbacked Yes | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab9d…27f3backed Yes | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d5…720fbacked Yes | 78c | 232.05$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 74c | 219.24$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 76c | 207.65$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.87 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0662…cdacbacked No | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 24c | 199.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b6…a582backed Yes | 79c | 196.01$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dff…6743backed No | 25c | 192$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 346 | 46%159 W · 187 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Yes | 76c | 190$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 29c | 189.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…6367backed No | 25c | 176.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 79c | 174.63$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf872…1e87backed No | 24c | 170$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 75c | 165.56$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 75c | 165.43$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 75c | 163.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c41…bdf3backed No | 24c | 160$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa35…2a55backed No | 24c | 160$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…1715backed No | 24c | 159.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…5fefbacked Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 100 | 62%62 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x980a…1db9backed Yes | 74c | 131.08$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed Yes | 74c | 131$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 462 | 30.1%139 W · 323 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…6c1bbacked Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…32b8backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 261 | 51.7%135 W · 126 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5084…7cf2backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea3c…eeabbacked Yes | 78c | 127.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…f41abacked No | 25c | 125.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 257 | 48.6%125 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 28c | 122.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 24c | 115.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 79c | 95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked No | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed No | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f4…02dfbacked Yes | 77c | 90$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…30e2backed Yes | 79c | 88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x903d…84a1backed Yes | 76c | 85.53$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…b43fbacked No | 24c | 84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe44…af27backed No | 25c | 84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 24c | 80.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 24c | 70.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…ecadbacked Yes | 77c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe96f…22a2backed No | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…815fbacked Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2339…7dbebacked Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44db…e66fbacked Yes | 77c | 64.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa135…68b8backed No | 25c | 63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 322 | 45.3%146 W · 176 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 25c | 60.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Yes | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…9e8dbacked Yes | 79c | 57.12$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffb5…92c3backed Yes | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 21c | 52.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x463c…d316backed Yes | 78c | 51.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Yes | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked No | 22c | 49.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain to score first vs. Austria?this page
- Austria to score first vs. Spain?No won
- Spain vs. Austria: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.