Fifa International · resolved market
Austria to score first vs. Spain?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25424cfaad4a312ee92c75927cdeeddf68b428385f596fc375e1181829ec3696
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf072…467abacked Yes | 21c | 11,636$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 21c | 9,162$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.13 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 79c | 6,478$5,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.53 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 77c | 5,483$4,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.73 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 159 | 30.8%49 W · 110 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 79c | 4,347$3,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.97 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e3…935dbacked Yes | 26c | 3,807$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 75c | 3,340$2,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.07 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.99 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 79c | 2,741$2,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.02 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 76c | 2,683$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.32 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a19…1581backed Yes | 20c | 2,493$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 20c | 2,287$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.49 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 21c | 2,278$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.16 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 19c | 2,105$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Yes | 21c | 1,800$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.01 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 79c | 1,544$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.88 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 66c | 1,331$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.71 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…81c8backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 181 | 50.3%91 W · 90 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 21c | 954$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.46 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…ec6abacked Yes | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 78 | 24.4%19 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 80c | 826.98$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.8 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ce…1276backed Yes | 19c | 810.23$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.94 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 78c | 800$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 79c | 719.98$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.32 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 79c | 599.98$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 79c | 583.99$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.93 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 78c | 579.32$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.65 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9cf…8154backed Yes | 21c | 557.78$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470b…1885backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 75c | 494.67$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.15 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 74c | 494.24$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…440bbacked Yes | 22c | 463.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…186bbacked Yes | 22c | 450.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 17.7%22 W · 102 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…3f6fbacked Yes | 20c | 420$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 23c | 400.29$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.7 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 254 | 18.1%46 W · 208 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 23c | 369.07$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.44 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 80c | 357$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…5f4abacked Yes | 20c | 299.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 81 | 21%17 W · 64 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc91b…fb62backed Yes | 16c | 259.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed No | 79c | 255$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 337 | 29.1%98 W · 239 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 79c | 252.36$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc337…5984backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 196 | 18.4%36 W · 160 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a22…0fe8backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3670…18e8backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf91…4c43backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f80…f911backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68b7…0812backed Yes | 5c | 223.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | +9.0wins | +0.18per pick | 4cpaid | +703%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked No | 79c | 210$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 456 | 27.9%127 W · 329 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 164 | 27.4%45 W · 119 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d43…8156backed Yes | 26c | 191.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 79c | 191.44$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…1b8bbacked Yes | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 75c | 186.19$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.18 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ae…dc73backed Yes | 21c | 184.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…6367backed No | 80c | 175.15$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 79c | 158$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 79c | 157.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.74 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…5487backed Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 79c | 131.25$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 79c | 125$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0755…899abacked Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Yes | 21c | 118.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 133 | 28.6%38 W · 95 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f23…810fbacked Yes | 21c | 117.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed Yes | 21c | 115$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 200 | 14.5%29 W · 171 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7e…794fbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3138…2ee1backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeec…99c8backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0d…c3fbbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 32.7%33 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…8b6fbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2879…2249backed Yes | 20c | 92.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 79c | 92.35$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 80c | 91.79$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 76c | 91$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8df9…468cbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d0…9141backed Yes | 21c | 82.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 80c | 78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 79c | 76.06$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 79c | 72.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66bb…cd52backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 331 | 23.6%78 W · 253 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedda…2e39backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4937…0675backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66d…038fbacked Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 80c | 65.32$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5f…3c1abacked Yes | 23c | 64.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 21c | 64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 145 | 26.2%38 W · 107 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…bcf7backed No | 80c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 369 | 53.9%199 W · 170 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 21c | 63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 20c | 55.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 78c | 51.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a6…3149backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa766…5a59backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 155 | 52.9%82 W · 73 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…2539backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Austria to score first vs. Spain?this page
- Spain to score first vs. Austria?Yes won
- Spain vs. Austria: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.