TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc91b…fb62

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
36
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.9
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$39.98
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.12
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.17
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.33
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.92
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$183.06
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$69.29
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+132.6%+$26.51
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick18cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+769.6%+$734.55
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$960
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$862Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$862.39
Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advancebacked Austria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
Austria to score first vs. Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.6
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$189
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$950
Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.46
All 13 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-34.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+182%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$611Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+464.1%+$2,835.9
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.