Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbea8b7504ec86c42abb39512b385c4dc695ba6c1d3f4d3aa9dd0ceddb0957338

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $325,870
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $311,819

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $325,870 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x576f…ed2cbacked No	8c	26,300$2,104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,104	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	15c	14,827$2,163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,163.27	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1158…0dc0backed No	7c	11,420$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	82	20.7%17 W · 65 L	+3.7wins	+0.05per pick	16cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1bc…e269backed No	11c	8,727$1,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,001.69	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Yes	62c	8,243$5,111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,132.3	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb1c…f754backed No	38c	7,500$2,846 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,845.9	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	19c	7,080$1,346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,346.02	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4fdc…dfabbacked No	11c	4,508$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.13	120	39.2%47 W · 73 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72bd…d37abacked No	10c	4,066$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	181	39.2%71 W · 110 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No	9c	4,059$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.14	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3089…92f6backed Yes	72c	3,818$2,745 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,073.09	178	28.1%50 W · 128 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-25%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed No	10c	3,687$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.81	219	37.9%83 W · 136 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No	7c	3,096$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.53	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed Yes	66c	3,049$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,049.02	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	+3.9wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked No	39c	3,000$1,164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,164.43	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No	11c	2,774$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.48	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x264f…cd38backed No	10c	2,578$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.34	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafd2…7260backed No	37c	2,461$911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$910.56	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2936…7be9backed No	18c	2,410$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434.1	95	16.8%16 W · 79 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed No	1c	2,325$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.92	80	3.8%3 W · 77 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	-75.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebb0…1879backed No	10c	2,116$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.14	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No	20c	2,028$411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410.57	1,114	49.4%550 W · 564 L	+57.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	4c	1,998$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.87	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed No	36c	1,965$707 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$707.44	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	-5.4wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed Yes	63c	1,830$1,152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$677.74	148	60.1%89 W · 59 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked Yes	72c	1,782$1,282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$499.97	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No	12c	1,588$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.67	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed No	6c	1,550$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	396	48.7%193 W · 203 L	-23.6wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No	10c	1,509$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.08	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa68d…095dbacked No	6c	1,487$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6209…62ecbacked No	12c	1,428$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.48	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked No	9c	1,317$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.51	454	21.4%97 W · 357 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed No	39c	1,282$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.97	40	27.5%11 W · 29 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb7e…28ddbacked Yes	78c	1,277$998 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279.29	89	36%32 W · 57 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No	4c	1,261$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.71	228	34.6%79 W · 149 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No	8c	1,195$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.98	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdba1…2646backed No	9c	1,138$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No	34c	1,045$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.44	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6eb1…b027backed Yes	76c	1,010$766 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.4	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbace…3429backed No	16c	1,009$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.33	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Yes	64c	1,000$640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360	62	38.7%24 W · 38 L	-7.0wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc91b…fb62backed No	6c	999.99$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	18cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b91…ae77backed No	14c	999.99$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	47	17%8 W · 39 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd261…b663backed No	37c	999.97$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368.99	43	14%6 W · 37 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-71.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a9…1652backed No	37c	899.96$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.99	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-22%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	13c	876.27$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.04	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf99…6a48backed No	12c	800.47$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.32	40	30%12 W · 28 L	-3.3wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes	67c	765.98$515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250.89	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No	9c	763.23$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.73	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed No	6c	727.12$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.26	126	6.3%8 W · 118 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes	72c	678.39$492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.81	345	54.2%187 W · 158 L	+17.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No	6c	674.15$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.41	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61ca…a1b4backed No	15c	627.42$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.49	67	29.9%20 W · 47 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e7c…596cbacked No	22c	625.47$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.23	209	32.5%68 W · 141 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes	62c	623.99$387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$237.12	406	49.8%202 W · 204 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfac1…2d57backed Yes	63c	600$378 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	66cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5136…3776backed No	38c	600$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Yes	62c	599.98$372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.99	151	49.7%75 W · 76 L	+13.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x426f…bdadbacked No	9c	587.22$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	+37.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked No	26c	578.93$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.55	206	52.9%109 W · 97 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x30ee…a587backed Yes	72c	552.88$396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.02	82	40.2%33 W · 49 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2db…ffcbbacked No	5c	540.48$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.02	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad58…7624backed No	8c	529.33$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.55	90	43.3%39 W · 51 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d26…791dbacked No	32c	515.8$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.06	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked No	12c	500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.23	450	38.2%172 W · 278 L	-28.4wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2277…6604backed No	5c	487.77$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.39	186	41.9%78 W · 108 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed No	9c	479.9$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.39	215	17.2%37 W · 178 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4512…c4a9backed No	8c	471.69$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.53	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8919…d64ebacked No	5c	467.25$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.36	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-4.7wins	-0.13per pick	39cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Yes	62c	449$278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.62	285	47.7%136 W · 149 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebbd…dd1bbacked No	36c	439.43$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.72	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes	64c	437.84$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.84	137	29.9%41 W · 96 L	-12.9wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb563…ddbbbacked No	12c	432.36$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-4.5wins	-0.12per pick	35cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2407…7dcabacked No	24c	419.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	210	42.4%89 W · 121 L	+10.4wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed No	5c	418.48$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.92	235	43%101 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed Yes	63c	400$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148	54	46.3%25 W · 29 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked No	10c	400$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.4	176	32.4%57 W · 119 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f03…1794backed No	12c	400$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.8	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	5cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e4…85c4backed No	14c	381.33$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	16cpaid	-79.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c54…489fbacked No	7c	358.99$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.78	98	37.8%37 W · 61 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaee8…1154backed No	10c	357.56$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.51	134	37.3%50 W · 84 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa079…fd03backed No	12c	350.66$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9090…8d5abacked No	6c	350.5$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5282…82fcbacked No	7c	350$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	70	44.3%31 W · 39 L	+4.8wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5933…ecb7backed No	14c	347.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	130	35.4%46 W · 84 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf2…0eb3backed No	6c	344.16$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.69	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x685c…b626backed No	12c	319.99$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.96	78	15.4%12 W · 66 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-20%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x853a…a20ebacked No	10c	319.64$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.27	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No	9c	318.82$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.21	179	45.3%81 W · 98 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x562b…dc09backed Yes	62c	316$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.08	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb9d…d78ebacked No	5c	314.23$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.71	128	42.2%54 W · 74 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x305e…e8d9backed Yes	63c	300$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb97…eee8backed Yes	61c	300$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117	184	60.9%112 W · 72 L	+13.9wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed No	14c	300$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.6	162	46.9%76 W · 86 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c7…c0e2backed No	17c	281.19$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.5	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d1f…6465backed No	5c	278.27$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.91	136	41.2%56 W · 80 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed No	6c	272.96$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.44	37	0%0 W · 37 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No	8c	262.93$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.88	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb98e…eceebacked No	17c	259$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed No	39c	258.62$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	165	52.1%86 W · 79 L	+6.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event