Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cbb73759bb6ad83040cc6edb908a7dbd51855618082d2f5dd3b58937a79b306

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $172,103
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $150,268

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,103 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc536…f086backed No	27c	17,619$4,806 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,806.44	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.16per pick	43cpaid	-55%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15cd…a7b1backed No	0c	14,172$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.9	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53a5…59a4backed No	0c	14,054$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.2	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Yes	63c	14,001$8,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,200.99	76	53.9%41 W · 35 L	+5.2wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Yes	67c	10,000$6,675 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,325.09	67	58.2%39 W · 28 L	+6.7wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	17c	8,896$1,518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,517.71	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No	33c	8,084$2,668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,667.72	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb1c…f754backed No	38c	7,968$3,004 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,004.33	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	16c	5,020$813 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$813.01	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe403…e5a4backed No	62c	3,742$2,336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,335.86	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.62per pick	62cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed Yes	38c	3,624$1,377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,246.64	73	37%27 W · 46 L	-7.6wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No	15c	3,497$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$519.64	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae57…ddf0backed No	0c	3,061$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes	70c	3,000$2,110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$889.83	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked No	2c	2,681$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.9	173	40.5%70 W · 103 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	51c	2,647$1,347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,300.45	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked No	15c	2,266$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.99	245	41.2%101 W · 144 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No	14c	2,195$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.01	228	34.6%79 W · 149 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No	1c	2,159$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.96	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74fc…a0bdbacked Yes	64c	2,100$1,335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$765.11	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	-4.3wins	-0.12per pick	41cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No	16c	2,085$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.49	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafd2…7260backed No	37c	1,931$714 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$714.47	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No	42c	1,853$771 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$770.72	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1622…d2aebacked No	18c	1,816$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.14	168	41.1%69 W · 99 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	2c	1,436$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.33	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f92…2c2dbacked No	22c	1,283$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.71	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Yes	64c	1,265$804 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$461.3	159	50.9%81 W · 78 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No	9c	1,199$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.48	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Yes	40c	1,138$455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$683.02	65	70.8%46 W · 19 L	+9.0wins	+0.14per pick	57cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1fbd…bbf7backed No	13c	1,038$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x248a…4b4abacked No	61c	899.86$549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$548.92	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes	36c	884.63$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$566.16	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked Yes	63c	859.89$542 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.16	44	54.5%24 W · 20 L	+4.2wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+31%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e7c…596cbacked No	60c	855.7$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514.06	209	32.5%68 W · 141 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb1bc…e269backed No	13c	762.84$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.89	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x054d…27bfbacked Yes	34c	757.98$259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$498.55	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16f1…e1d1backed No	52c	742.96$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.52	138	46.4%64 W · 74 L	-10.7wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4fdc…dfabbacked No	14c	721.1$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.38	120	39.2%47 W · 73 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	14c	689.38$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.23	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e88…0c70backed No	15c	649.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	125	32.8%41 W · 84 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec9f…f47bbacked No	10c	602.3$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	-7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No	12c	560.73$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.61	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf82…97f3backed No	13c	526.35$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.43	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.17per pick	37cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6c7…c0e2backed Yes	58c	521.21$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221.34	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed Yes	67c	506.78$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.08	256	38.7%99 W · 157 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No	14c	500$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes	64c	500$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180	403	43.7%176 W · 227 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Yes	39c	500$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$305	957	39.5%378 W · 579 L	-18.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe4…5187backed No	61c	493.61$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-2.9wins	-0.16per pick	44cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2936…7be9backed No	34c	489.99$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.6	95	16.8%16 W · 79 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes	36c	487.75$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.16	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No	45c	472.31$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.52	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked No	12c	432.35$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.21	176	32.4%57 W · 119 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Yes	64c	414.95$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.89	174	60.3%105 W · 69 L	+14.0wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Yes	39c	404.25$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.59	108	33.3%36 W · 72 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Yes	40c	400$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.75	370	51.4%190 W · 180 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e4…85c4backed No	14c	386.35$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	16cpaid	-79.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf2…7279backed Yes	67c	374.33$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.59	40	20%8 W · 32 L	-6.0wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x192e…d738backed Yes	41c	365.9$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.88	62	54.8%34 W · 28 L	+3.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked No	50c	359$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.95	206	52.9%109 W · 97 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed No	62c	341.1$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.48	303	44.2%134 W · 169 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b46…f2f5backed Yes	63c	317.46$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.46	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked No	13c	306$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.87	163	33.7%55 W · 108 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb97…eee8backed Yes	64c	300$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108	184	60.9%112 W · 72 L	+13.9wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5502…d440backed No	63c	299.97$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.98	87	47.1%41 W · 46 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Yes	63c	297.67$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.11	139	50.4%70 W · 69 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ff…5b03backed No	62c	296.8$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.02	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-4.3wins	-0.18per pick	32cpaid	-77.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No	42c	281.44$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.07	179	45.3%81 W · 98 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No	19c	279.41$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.45	802	25.7%206 W · 596 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8328…feb3backed No	36c	277.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	82	48.8%40 W · 42 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8bd…d868backed No	36c	277.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe075…a98cbacked No	36c	277.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	53	41.5%22 W · 31 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b87…6a47backed No	36c	277.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	47	40.4%19 W · 28 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed Yes	40c	252.29$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.29	142	38.7%55 W · 87 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf436…4591backed Yes	40c	250$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	+42.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf72…1535backed No	37c	248.65$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Yes	36c	244.87$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.53	219	37.9%83 W · 136 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c8d…f822backed No	12c	216$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.92	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	-4.5wins	-0.17per pick	31cpaid	-76.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe3ba…cf33backed No	14c	214.29$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-34%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No	63c	212.3$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.11	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked Yes	72c	208.93$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.34	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61ca…a1b4backed No	15c	206.67$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	67	29.9%20 W · 47 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab1…ca7abacked Yes	35c	200$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130	100	37%37 W · 63 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b0d…6b6abacked No	21c	199.99$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-74.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes	36c	198.26$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.89	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes	36c	191.99$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.88	406	49.8%202 W · 204 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5044…ae88backed Yes	64c	180$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.8	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd558…8b1bbacked Yes	41c	177.78$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.04	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+2.8wins	+0.10per pick	41cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Yes	64c	170$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.2	373	52.5%196 W · 177 L	+16.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed No	61c	163.15$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	396	48.7%193 W · 203 L	-23.6wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2155…eec8backed No	64c	156.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-2.8wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0afd…b9c9backed Yes	64c	156.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.25	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.20per pick	67cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x823c…d828backed Yes	47c	154.98$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.79	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	-55.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39ff…d637backed Yes	65c	153.85$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.85	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc27b…0ae4backed Yes	65c	153.06$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.57	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefa3…f465backed No	67c	149.54$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes	44c	141.74$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.4	104	20.2%21 W · 83 L	+6.1wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+88.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x10ab…d433backed No	35c	139.97$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.99	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes	73c	136.49$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.49	107	40.2%43 W · 64 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Yes	74c	135.02$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.04	709	48.9%347 W · 362 L	+12.6wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event