TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$951,492
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$961,899

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $951,492 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x576f…ed2cbacked No0c270,684$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.37220%0 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2275…fb3cbacked No0c125,221$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.14296.9%2 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick2cpaid-4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc8c…273fbacked No0c22,500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453010%3 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-77.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6a2f…b61bbacked No0c15,073$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.24160%0 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae57…ddf0backed No0c13,804$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-51.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8658…f20fbacked No0c6,050$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.15313.2%1 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick2cpaid-53.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No0c5,378$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.558,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd25a…c956backed No19c1,765$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.275911.9%7 W · 52 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-77.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No3c1,461$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.582,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked No27c1,427$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.2213331.6%42 W · 91 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed No28c1,371$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.854027.5%11 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-38.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No22c1,327$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.0132629.1%95 W · 231 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No3c1,200$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.576098.4%51 W · 558 L+0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes77c1,198$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.2987837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf972…da46backed No1c1,142$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1260%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c2…198cbacked No18c1,110$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.8567.1%4 W · 52 L-6.1wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-74.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked No29c1,098$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.5616927.8%47 W · 122 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a9…9217backed No18c1,097$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002619.2%5 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Yes71c999.97$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.996570.8%46 W · 19 L+9.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+26.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No26c844.32$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.82,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5fa…4bc1backed Yes73c588$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.471241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd261…b663backed No28c496.99$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.164314%6 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-71.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed No19c488.61$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7225638.7%99 W · 157 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed Yes73c436$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.7230344.2%134 W · 169 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No14c399.28$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.831,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x938d…19fcbacked No24c355$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.795646.4%26 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Yes71c343.08$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.5517945.3%81 W · 98 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x600c…908bbacked Yes73c342.47$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.47333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-54.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1e50…8d90backed Yes72c330$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.41442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…1a38backed Yes80c324.93$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.743554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3272…e542backed No28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845536.4%20 W · 35 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x305e…e8d9backed Yes72c299.99$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No15c296$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.72,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce83…5b97backed Yes72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.782661.5%16 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5026…dde1backed Yes73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.977938%30 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadc5…6aa4backed No19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011412.3%14 W · 100 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0676…9db8backed No29c223$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.671323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-60.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No17c211.66$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2618545.9%85 W · 100 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5933…ecb7backed No19c210.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013035.4%46 W · 84 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No9c205.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.172,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Yes72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5647049.4%232 W · 238 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9163…82aebacked No27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547319.2%14 W · 59 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No27c190$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.320036%72 W · 128 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Yes72c167.28$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8410833.3%36 W · 72 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed No28c155$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0157252.4%300 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed Yes69c153.23$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.512945%58 W · 71 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed No52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.512046.7%56 W · 64 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-25.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3089…92f6backed No7c147.21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3117828.1%50 W · 128 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked No19c133$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2420652.9%109 W · 97 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x57cd…82acbacked No29c125$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.256031.7%19 W · 41 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf96b…9c4cbacked No30c119.29$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3320553.7%110 W · 95 L+21.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4512…c4a9backed No16c118.87$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.023622.2%8 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e5…7127backed No18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010135.6%36 W · 65 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes77c110.3$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7248961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes76c110$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.120142.8%86 W · 115 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc42…a733backed No29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302025%5 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes49c102.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5313044.6%58 W · 72 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No13c100.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.748636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x0d0a…2d46backed Yes72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae69…65c9backed No31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313212.5%4 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-70.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9163…0cabbacked Yes72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2823855.5%132 W · 106 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2217249.4%85 W · 87 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x561f…e4fabacked Yes72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked Yes71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2912744.9%57 W · 70 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00e1…48fbbacked No29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Yes72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2824043.3%104 W · 136 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c97…fb0cbacked No28c98.5$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.587425.7%19 W · 55 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc5d…4a56backed Yes78c89.24$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.717149.3%35 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x601f…76adbacked No18c76.86$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.012222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-47.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf52…d3c9backed No28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204535.6%16 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe426…dbd2backed Yes70c71.24$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.24650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb32e…bf23backed Yes73c70$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.92475%18 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes72c69.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.481136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-34.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1d8…eb94backed Yes72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.442138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-38%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0cc…2460backed Yes72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.44757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xffc6…411fbacked Yes73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.491464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+32.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No22c66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4322834.6%79 W · 149 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaee8…1154backed No19c63.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1213437.3%50 W · 84 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63bb…d9edbacked Yes71c56.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.521060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+27.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2471…7796backed No28c55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4484.2%2 W · 46 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-83.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x476c…ce52backed Yes72c52$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4825443.7%111 W · 143 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f50…069bbacked No29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.55851.7%30 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0134554.2%187 W · 158 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1e8…b7b3backed No21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.540%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x054d…27bfbacked Yes47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.56541.5%27 W · 38 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d97…9c26backed No25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.52623.1%6 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-34.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c60…5c52backed Yes69c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.54468.2%30 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb70…01c0backed Yes73c45$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.159659.4%57 W · 39 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6725160.6%152 W · 99 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fca…b025backed No34c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.65949.2%29 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb68c…a863backed No26c38.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.013026.7%8 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed Yes72c34.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.727259.7%43 W · 29 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Yes65c29.19$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.227744.2%34 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f4e…52f2backed Yes74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.031070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd558…8b1bbacked Yes76c25.32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.082751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes79c25.15$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.44,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Yes71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.828148.4%136 W · 145 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x293e…dd7dbacked Yes70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…e7f8backed Yes73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.41752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+37.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a9a…72e7backed Yes73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.44628.3%13 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.