Fifa International · resolved market
Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19eff468ad0ffce9ade9f41d3d323c42e48981a28772b47618d4ef77c7333c55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $951,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $961,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $951,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x576f…ed2cbacked No | 0c | 270,684$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.37 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2275…fb3cbacked No | 0c | 125,221$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.14 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked No | 0c | 22,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2f…b61bbacked No | 0c | 15,073$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae57…ddf0backed No | 0c | 13,804$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8658…f20fbacked No | 0c | 6,050$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 0c | 5,378$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd25a…c956backed No | 19c | 1,765$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.27 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 3c | 1,461$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked No | 27c | 1,427$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.22 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed No | 28c | 1,371$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.85 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 22c | 1,327$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.01 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 3c | 1,200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 77c | 1,198$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.29 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf972…da46backed No | 1c | 1,142$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c2…198cbacked No | 18c | 1,110$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked No | 29c | 1,098$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.56 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a9…9217backed No | 18c | 1,097$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Yes | 71c | 999.97$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.99 | 65 | 70.8%46 W · 19 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 26c | 844.32$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.8 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fa…4bc1backed Yes | 73c | 588$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.47 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd261…b663backed No | 28c | 496.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.16 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed No | 19c | 488.61$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.72 | 256 | 38.7%99 W · 157 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…eb44backed Yes | 73c | 436$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.72 | 303 | 44.2%134 W · 169 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 14c | 399.28$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.83 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938d…19fcbacked No | 24c | 355$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.79 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 71c | 343.08$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.55 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x600c…908bbacked Yes | 73c | 342.47$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e50…8d90backed Yes | 72c | 330$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…1a38backed Yes | 80c | 324.93$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.74 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3272…e542backed No | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…e8d9backed Yes | 72c | 299.99$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 15c | 296$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce83…5b97backed Yes | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5026…dde1backed Yes | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…6aa4backed No | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 12.3%14 W · 100 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…9db8backed No | 29c | 223$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.67 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 17c | 211.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5933…ecb7backed No | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 9c | 205.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked No | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 73 | 19.2%14 W · 59 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 27c | 190$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 200 | 36%72 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Yes | 72c | 167.28$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 28c | 155$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed Yes | 69c | 153.23$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3089…92f6backed No | 7c | 147.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 178 | 28.1%50 W · 128 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 19c | 133$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked No | 29c | 125$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked No | 30c | 119.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…c4a9backed No | 16c | 118.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e5…7127backed No | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes | 77c | 110.3$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 489 | 61.3%300 W · 189 L | +71.0wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes | 76c | 110$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc42…a733backed No | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 49c | 102.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 13c | 100.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…2d46backed Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…65c9backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…0cabbacked Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 238 | 55.5%132 W · 106 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x561f…e4fabacked Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd449…450fbacked Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e1…48fbbacked No | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 240 | 43.3%104 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c97…fb0cbacked No | 28c | 98.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5d…4a56backed Yes | 78c | 89.24$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x601f…76adbacked No | 18c | 76.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf52…d3c9backed No | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe426…dbd2backed Yes | 70c | 71.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…bf23backed Yes | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 72c | 69.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d8…eb94backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cc…2460backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc6…411fbacked Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 22c | 66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 228 | 34.6%79 W · 149 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed No | 19c | 63.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63bb…d9edbacked Yes | 71c | 56.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2471…7796backed No | 28c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 48 | 4.2%2 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 72c | 52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…069bbacked No | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e8…b7b3backed No | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054d…27bfbacked Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…9c26backed No | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c60…5c52backed Yes | 69c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…01c0backed Yes | 73c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 251 | 60.6%152 W · 99 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fca…b025backed No | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…a863backed No | 26c | 38.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Yes | 65c | 29.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4e…52f2backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd558…8b1bbacked Yes | 76c | 25.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 79c | 25.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 281 | 48.4%136 W · 145 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x293e…dd7dbacked Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 70cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…e7f8backed Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9a…72e7backed Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Colombia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will England advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.