TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,932,639
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,964,498

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,932,639 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8658…f20fbacked No0c594,441$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,343.61313.2%1 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick2cpaid-53.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2275…fb3cbacked No0c295,754$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.51296.9%2 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick2cpaid-4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a2f…b61bbacked No0c271,169$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.88160%0 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked No5c53,298$2,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,742.6919929.1%58 W · 141 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-37.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked No11c29,031$3,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,095.4510833.3%36 W · 72 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3328…e6b8backed No11c25,101$2,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,702.684134.1%14 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed No0c19,204$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.542021.5%3 W · 199 L-0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid-52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf344…9a04backed No6c16,681$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.840%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed No12c15,546$1,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,822.8219723.4%46 W · 151 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No10c11,118$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.6388838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No11c8,282$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.7647235%165 W · 307 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No10c6,351$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.94,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d2e…9f22backed No0c6,100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2100%0 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked No13c5,795$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.5816927.8%47 W · 122 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked No11c5,566$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6294050%20 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+62.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked No3c5,418$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.412729.9%38 W · 89 L+7.3wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No11c5,416$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60043635.8%156 W · 280 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No10c5,285$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.5322834.6%79 W · 149 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf33…b5f8backed No6c5,145$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.6720017%34 W · 166 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No11c4,343$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.9535033.7%118 W · 232 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked No8c3,261$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24513729.9%41 W · 96 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e7d…ca41backed No10c3,000$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.57339.7%29 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed No10c2,894$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.8312945%58 W · 71 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No1c2,876$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.292,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No12c2,390$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.142,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No11c1,824$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.4426940.9%110 W · 159 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e9e…b594backed No11c1,770$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006950.7%35 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked No10c1,670$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.3424541.2%101 W · 144 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c01…797dbacked No6c1,658$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.39224.5%1 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick22cpaid-88%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5146…ac5ebacked No8c1,613$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.396216.1%10 W · 52 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No6c1,500$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.534151%174 W · 167 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b2c…2151backed No8c1,500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.69200%0 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3089…92f6backed No11c1,314$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2117828.1%50 W · 128 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No11c1,234$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.911,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No8c1,038$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.062,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5d7…6530backed No6c1,029$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7523640.3%95 W · 141 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed No10c950$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.516646.4%77 W · 89 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed No5c896.9$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.821266.3%8 W · 118 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-60.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05fc…f78ebacked No7c860$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No6c767.91$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.237799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No2c731.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.479231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No10c690$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3822242.8%95 W · 127 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c7…c0e2backed No6c669.57$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.94327.9%12 W · 31 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed No11c663.3$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.6623644.9%106 W · 130 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf371…fd71backed No8c633.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507042.9%30 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1622…d2aebacked No13c600$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7816841.1%69 W · 99 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No5c599.98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8643145.2%195 W · 236 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No12c572.31$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.961,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a9a…72e7backed No11c564.64$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.784628.3%13 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No7c555.17$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.592937.5%22 W · 271 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc681…bcd8backed No6c529.98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2790%0 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No8c528.45$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0545736.3%166 W · 291 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No12c520$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9430241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No9c516.2$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4287837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No11c497.53$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8717945.3%81 W · 98 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x384c…2688backed No10c490.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c37…5031backed No7c453.49$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe41…9f23backed No9c450$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.87733.8%26 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8418…efe0backed No12c427.35$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504926.5%13 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f28…7145backed No12c427.35$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed No28c420$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11912046.7%56 W · 64 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-25.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed No13c406.82$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.936350.1%182 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb603…c701backed No11c406.21$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.924748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed No6c400$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2418911.1%21 W · 168 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaee8…1154backed No8c400$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.513437.3%50 W · 84 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2956…d31bbacked No12c400$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467142.3%30 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8ef…0656backed No6c399.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.82420.8%5 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-48%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb7e…28ddbacked No12c370$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.768936%32 W · 57 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked No11c367.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.617632.4%57 W · 119 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed No10c366.16$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3542640.1%171 W · 255 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes70c270$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8122550.7%114 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf79…dfb4backed No11c259.19$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.553351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+21.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed No10c252.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2310351.5%53 W · 50 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed No8c211.11$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4121517.2%37 W · 178 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed No11c205$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7614739.5%58 W · 89 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.218545.9%85 W · 100 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed No11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2224043.3%104 W · 136 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa136…9977backed No10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20293.4%1 W · 28 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick12cpaid-94.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes77c180$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.813044.6%58 W · 72 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5035…cf0dbacked No11c175.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209629.2%28 W · 68 L-8.5wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed No11c165.76$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4227251.8%141 W · 131 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1554…fe50backed No6c156.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d6…da4cbacked No7c153.03$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105044%22 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked No10c150.93$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5320652.9%109 W · 97 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb924…0803backed No11c150$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.353831.6%12 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa86f…022cbacked No7c150$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.454740.4%19 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-31.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x385c…a385backed No13c149.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-30.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7292…75dcbacked No7c140.08$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-49.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1075…19c1backed No11c120$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.28218.3%15 W · 67 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xadc5…6aa4backed No13c111.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511412.3%14 W · 100 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8f7…7eadbacked No10c107.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.971030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6593…445ebacked No14c103.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked No10c102.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7312744.9%57 W · 70 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked No11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1126344.1%116 W · 147 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked No21c80$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.865737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.