Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38f5caccf3b53ef5abeb0056838e4e5df3f000e97a4fad7eb55431781b427d2c

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $170,792
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $156,982

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,792 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	19c	16,652$3,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,199.67	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Yes	77c	13,276$10,274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,001.96	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Yes	48c	10,000$4,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,199.89	133	31.6%42 W · 91 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	11c	8,656$951 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950.74	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x810d…0d24backed No	52c	6,007$3,124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,123.61	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No	12c	5,836$701 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700.79	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No	9c	3,974$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376.06	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No	11c	3,290$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$365	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No	12c	2,930$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.7	179	45.3%81 W · 98 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf7a…0c40backed No	8c	2,622$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.79	42	16.7%7 W · 35 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-62.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Yes	50c	2,500$1,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,250	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	-5.4wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	14c	2,464$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.3	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked No	34c	2,459$844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$843.8	108	33.3%36 W · 72 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No	31c	2,331$730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$730.25	470	49.4%232 W · 238 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes	46c	2,132$978 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,154.42	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x825a…f465backed No	50c	2,082$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,039.75	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No	10c	1,978$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.51	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fbd…bbf7backed No	8c	1,662$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.92	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked No	10c	1,603$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.33	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked No	53c	1,500$790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$790	130	46.9%61 W · 69 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd850…b459backed No	18c	1,400$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No	13c	1,250$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.59	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed No	8c	1,246$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.7	101	35.6%36 W · 65 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	1c	1,160$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.63	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Yes	45c	1,138$512 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$625.86	65	70.8%46 W · 19 L	+9.0wins	+0.14per pick	57cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No	11c	1,091$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.15	1,114	49.4%550 W · 564 L	+57.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0bcf…04fcbacked No	55c	1,087$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	71	47.9%34 W · 37 L	-7.3wins	-0.10per pick	58cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf7bb…a9f7backed No	54c	1,085$584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$584.05	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed No	12c	1,053$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.51	120	38.3%46 W · 74 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2635…41aebacked No	9c	1,049$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.53	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+2.1wins	+0.16per pick	22cpaid	+44.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x89df…f8d0backed No	34c	1,037$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	142	45.8%65 W · 77 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e88…0c70backed No	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	125	32.8%41 W · 84 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed No	55c	900$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495	40	27.5%11 W · 29 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf301…dd70backed No	9c	800$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	+5.2wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5933…ecb7backed No	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	130	35.4%46 W · 84 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f2a…46babacked No	53c	754.72$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes	69c	729.99$503 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.18	263	44.1%116 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1bc…e269backed No	9c	726.67$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.15	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed No	11c	716.07$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.45	235	43%101 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes	40c	694.97$276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$418.93	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…3895backed No	9c	692$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.28	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	9c	662$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.47	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No	14c	640$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.4	302	41.4%125 W · 177 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a7c…3016backed Yes	49c	612.24$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.24	130	11.5%15 W · 115 L	-6.7wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed No	50c	600$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	471	27.8%131 W · 340 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e4…85c4backed No	9c	596.36$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	16cpaid	-79.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e50…8d90backed No	14c	594$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.3	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No	21c	586.93$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.26	222	42.8%95 W · 127 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes	44c	568.95$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.95	137	29.9%41 W · 96 L	-12.9wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No	10c	565$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.25	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed No	59c	543.83$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	251	60.6%152 W · 99 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd24b…187dbacked No	60c	510$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.9	96	37.5%36 W · 60 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes	49c	507.76$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.96	40	22.5%9 W · 31 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd399…3f46backed Yes	49c	500$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255	97	23.7%23 W · 74 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59a7…9f30backed Yes	47c	499.94$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264.97	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Yes	43c	490.98$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279.86	513	15.6%80 W · 433 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb9d…d78ebacked No	12c	437.74$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.19	128	42.2%54 W · 74 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa741…8d0ebacked No	31c	432.31$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c0…466bbacked No	37c	405.23$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.38	37	24.3%9 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked No	8c	400$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	176	32.4%57 W · 119 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2956…d31bbacked No	13c	400$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	71	42.3%30 W · 41 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked No	10c	398$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.66	245	41.2%101 W · 144 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No	13c	390$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.7	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x17be…34cbbacked Yes	51c	386.32$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.15	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+68.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8d…6feabacked No	52c	384.62$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.19per pick	47cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbf1…c9b1backed No	53c	381.66$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.28	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	33cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x357c…7dfebacked No	17c	377.99$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.07	35	40%14 W · 21 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+46.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Yes	76c	364.82$277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.65	363	50.1%182 W · 181 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No	49c	358.42$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.63	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed No	53c	356.54$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.49	219	37.9%83 W · 136 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4fdc…dfabbacked No	10c	349.76$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.74	120	39.2%47 W · 73 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Yes	44c	337.61$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.61	78	15.4%12 W · 66 L	-7.7wins	-0.10per pick	25cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x82b9…c6cebacked No	60c	331.15$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	107	40.2%43 W · 64 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae12…6adfbacked No	9c	329.97$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked No	9c	304.86$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.44	163	33.7%55 W · 108 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e7d…ca41backed No	9c	300$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	73	39.7%29 W · 44 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xceb8…f901backed No	59c	300$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.4	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.22per pick	35cpaid	-79.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked No	12c	292.91$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.41	171	38%65 W · 106 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d5b…7744backed No	53c	283.02$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb97…eee8backed No	59c	280$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	184	60.9%112 W · 72 L	+13.9wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Yes	48c	279.95$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.57	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+4.3wins	+0.15per pick	44cpaid	+45.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes	44c	276.64$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.92	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d3a…d724backed No	11c	266.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	212	27.8%59 W · 153 L	+8.6wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf72…1535backed No	52c	251.92$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…ee7abacked Yes	80c	243$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.6	81	24.7%20 W · 61 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed No	53c	226.42$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	165	52.1%86 W · 79 L	+6.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5310…cef0backed No	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	22cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No	22c	204.88$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.58	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x9690…f2d5backed Yes	47c	200$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-3.6wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	-59.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x07b9…0fbbbacked Yes	40c	200$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	54	59.3%32 W · 22 L	+5.3wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+36.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b09…e4c2backed Yes	41c	200$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118	39	66.7%26 W · 13 L	+7.6wins	+0.19per pick	47cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3b0d…6b6abacked No	17c	199.98$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-74.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16f1…e1d1backed No	55c	199.97$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.98	138	46.4%64 W · 74 L	-10.7wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No	52c	195$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.4	200	36%72 W · 128 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5254…891bbacked No	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3578…8c5fbacked No	56c	178.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-8.9wins	-0.20per pick	59cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x38da…68d4backed Yes	45c	177.78$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.78	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	35cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e52…9434backed No	59c	169.49$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	-3.7wins	-0.12per pick	31cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xadf0…5dbfbacked No	15c	166.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed No	13c	159.58$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.75	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event