Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x655712b319987805e573590082fbe8bd688f64fb5fc53b8516d397763e6b3cf4

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $565,937
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $546,023

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $565,937 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2275…fb3cbacked No	0c	110,392$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.37	29	6.9%2 W · 27 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	2cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d2e…9f22backed No	0c	73,475$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.95	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a2f…b61bbacked No	0c	30,120$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.24	16	0%0 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8658…f20fbacked No	0c	15,250$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.5	31	3.2%1 W · 30 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No	15c	14,375$2,156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,156.22	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb065…a104backed No	0c	10,340$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb1c…f754backed No	15c	8,420$1,223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,223.47	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed No	17c	7,700$1,309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,308.99	197	23.4%46 W · 151 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d8…e9a1backed No	15c	6,667$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed No	17c	4,133$697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$696.6	50	26%13 W · 37 L	-3.3wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No	1c	2,361$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.2	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No	16c	1,632$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.1	431	45.2%195 W · 236 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked No	14c	1,005$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.74	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	14c	999.99$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafd2…7260backed No	14c	835.93$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.03	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc91b…fb62backed No	16c	834.16$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.46	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	18cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked No	15c	660.61$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.09	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed Yes	79c	617.86$488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.75	129	45%58 W · 71 L	+7.5wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed No	15c	600$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	471	27.8%131 W · 340 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad37…dbd6backed No	18c	580$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.4	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	17cpaid	-81.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No	17c	499.94$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.99	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bf6…a153backed No	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	57	31.6%18 W · 39 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3af2…5212backed No	16c	458.1$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.3	174	47.7%83 W · 91 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb86d…40fcbacked No	16c	368.82$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.31	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.09per pick	28cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4985…7f19backed No	15c	333.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.12per pick	21cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x697d…f299backed No	16c	312.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	13cpaid	-88.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed No	18c	280$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	117	30.8%36 W · 81 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+25%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb223…3772backed No	16c	277.73$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.56	155	50.3%78 W · 77 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8418…efe0backed No	19c	269.47$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	49	26.5%13 W · 36 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf371…fd71backed No	19c	264.74$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	70	42.9%30 W · 40 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadc5…6aa4backed No	17c	264.71$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	114	12.3%14 W · 100 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4388…5050backed No	16c	205.17$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.83	40	55%22 W · 18 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed No	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	41	39%16 W · 25 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c97…fb0cbacked No	16c	188.75$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	74	25.7%19 W · 55 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe88d…3db1backed No	16c	187.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	67	35.8%24 W · 43 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd38b…d8d4backed No	18c	166.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc21d…e3c6backed No	17c	152$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.84	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfba8…32babacked No	17c	150.52$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.64	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	26cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No	18c	136.45$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.58	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x5254…891bbacked No	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed No	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	143	29.4%42 W · 101 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf2…7279backed No	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	40	20%8 W · 32 L	-6.0wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3c17…abd4backed No	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	19cpaid	+105.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed No	18c	119.98$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	237	41.8%99 W · 138 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae69…65c9backed No	21c	100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	32	12.5%4 W · 28 L	-3.6wins	-0.11per pick	24cpaid	-70.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4cd9…9b01backed No	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c4c…ea0cbacked No	16c	99.98$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	34cpaid	+64%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc99c…62aebacked No	16c	95$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	279	40.5%113 W · 166 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked No	15c	92$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	206	52.9%109 W · 97 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x308f…8607backed Yes	79c	81.76$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.17	35	77.1%27 W · 8 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	73cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf159…5af4backed No	26c	76.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29fd…5d70backed No	16c	73.79$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+42.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No	15c	73.75$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.06	681	41.1%280 W · 401 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No	15c	71.42$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.71	148	60.1%89 W · 59 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c8d…f2a5backed No	16c	68.77$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	22cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked No	22c	66.66$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.67	127	29.9%38 W · 89 L	+7.3wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa589…aa13backed No	23c	65.22$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27c4…65ffbacked No	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafa4…0dfebacked No	17c	59.98$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	39	59%23 W · 16 L	+4.2wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed No	17c	59.57$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.1	148	39.2%58 W · 90 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed No	21c	53.19$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.17	572	52.4%300 W · 272 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed Yes	78c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.38	256	38.7%99 W · 157 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event