Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59ffd52a92c4afe5257997bbb6ecb38a260eb2ef4f8da31f0271fe48d35b8622

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $269,848
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $255,104

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,848 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 329 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe72b…b0a0backed No	29c	24,205$7,127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,127.44	221	39.8%88 W · 133 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	27c	18,274$4,999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,999.39	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x372b…cbf5backed No	34c	12,367$4,182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,182.42	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.18per pick	30cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x810d…0d24backed No	29c	11,821$3,428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,428.02	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No	16c	10,632$1,725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,724.57	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Yes	71c	10,000$7,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,900	67	58.2%39 W · 28 L	+6.7wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed Yes	69c	9,783$6,769 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,013.52	133	30.1%40 W · 93 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Yes	72c	8,924$6,416 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,508.25	108	33.3%36 W · 72 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes	79c	7,507$5,931 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,576.74	96	47.9%46 W · 50 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No	34c	6,238$2,104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,104.47	105	48.6%51 W · 54 L	+11.1wins	+0.11per pick	38cpaid	+24%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	77c	6,086$4,672 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,413.38	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes	70c	6,000$4,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,800	112	56.3%63 W · 49 L	+9.5wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked No	5c	5,791$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.15	200	31%62 W · 138 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed Yes	69c	5,642$3,865 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,776.96	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked Yes	56c	5,094$2,852 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,241.24	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked No	30c	5,013$1,522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,521.7	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Yes	70c	4,600$3,220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,380	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+44.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed No	35c	4,252$1,482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,482	87	49.4%43 W · 44 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	69c	4,230$2,899 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,331.18	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf344…9a04backed No	30c	3,708$1,115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,115.39	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	3c	3,667$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.96	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4422…5362backed No	33c	3,578$1,185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,184.54	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No	26c	3,425$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab1c…aaddbacked Yes	57c	3,203$1,833 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,369.84	56	28.6%16 W · 40 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes	67c	3,100$2,077 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,023	342	47.7%163 W · 179 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ffe…be6fbacked No	32c	3,099$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.7wins	+0.11per pick	42cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b0d…6b6abacked No	1c	3,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-74.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x435e…cfc4backed No	3c	2,347$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	+3.6wins	+0.13per pick	23cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No	26c	2,308$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xffe8…7cd0backed No	11c	2,307$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.16per pick	27cpaid	-84.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed No	44c	2,005$882 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$882.16	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed No	33c	2,000$653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$652.95	197	23.4%46 W · 151 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Yes	69c	1,737$1,199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$538.59	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	-5.4wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	77c	1,714$1,318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$395.6	228	34.6%79 W · 149 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	23c	1,650$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.9	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked No	24c	1,563$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.87	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c5e…8819backed No	30c	1,469$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8fd…6b3abacked No	34c	1,464$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$497.91	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No	23c	1,414$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3089…92f6backed Yes	71c	1,403$1,003 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400.43	178	28.1%50 W · 128 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-25%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1622…d2aebacked No	43c	1,400$609 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$609	168	41.1%69 W · 99 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdba1…2646backed No	30c	1,351$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed No	33c	1,253$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.1	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbace…3429backed Yes	71c	1,235$877 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$358.04	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bf0…e8c1backed No	33c	1,220$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No	6c	1,200$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.74	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes	69c	1,148$796 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$352.24	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e4…85c4backed No	30c	1,105$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	16cpaid	-79.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8262…eddebacked No	44c	1,100$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485	27	37%10 W · 17 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	57c	1,096$623 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$472.59	56	23.2%13 W · 43 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf7a…0c40backed No	32c	1,087$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$347.68	42	16.7%7 W · 35 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-62.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe306…d100backed Yes	70c	1,000$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.4wins	-0.27per pick	38cpaid	-84.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa02d…5f3bbacked Yes	71c	1,000$710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$290	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d24…5257backed No	32c	1,000$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	37cpaid	-52%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56eb…076abacked Yes	70c	999.99$705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.1wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked No	8c	999.99$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.82	226	43.4%98 W · 128 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64ba…b7bfbacked No	44c	999.98$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439.99	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Yes	70c	999.98$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$299.99	218	50%109 W · 109 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x838a…add1backed Yes	58c	999.97$580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$419.99	133	49.6%66 W · 67 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4512…c4a9backed No	30c	983.23$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.66	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd25a…c956backed No	32c	968$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.76	59	11.9%7 W · 52 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-77.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb854…a75dbacked Yes	73c	957.37$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257.37	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa53c…67a5backed No	5c	933.49$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.67	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6539…f6cdbacked No	31c	911.26$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.67	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-2.1wins	-0.15per pick	44cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No	45c	899.98$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.99	476	48.5%231 W · 245 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes	56c	892.86$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$392.86	111	65.8%73 W · 38 L	+15.3wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x0dc5…a303backed No	45c	880$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396	93	30.1%28 W · 65 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5026…dde1backed Yes	69c	868.87$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$268.87	79	38%30 W · 49 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No	14c	858.31$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.66	802	25.7%206 W · 596 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No	28c	853.15$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.88	96	27.1%26 W · 70 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	+1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed No	30c	840.05$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.93	188	39.9%75 W · 113 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032d…7168backed No	31c	810.63$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	80	31.3%25 W · 55 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e7d…ca41backed Yes	66c	800$528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272	73	39.7%29 W · 44 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked No	6c	782.49$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.2	64	54.7%35 W · 29 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked No	5c	773.39$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.53	252	44.8%113 W · 139 L	+11.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb1c…f754backed No	29c	732$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.28	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No	43c	712.22$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.26	269	49.1%132 W · 137 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x63fc…f9a5backed No	31c	694.05$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.45	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.21per pick	41cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	38c	658.96$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.81	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No	36c	616.3$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.2	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked No	29c	609.98$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.9	406	49.8%202 W · 204 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb97…eee8backed Yes	69c	600$417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.4	184	60.9%112 W · 72 L	+13.9wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9163…82aebacked No	29c	600$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172	73	19.2%14 W · 59 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes	69c	600$414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186	471	27.8%131 W · 340 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked No	34c	590$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.5	450	38.2%172 W · 278 L	-28.4wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed No	28c	584.75$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.73	285	47.7%136 W · 149 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3b8…dd8bbacked No	34c	584.58$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	66	53%35 W · 31 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed Yes	71c	570.13$405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.34	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+41.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5768…08fdbacked No	31c	568.99$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.84	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5dd4…ad53backed Yes	72c	554.43$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.43	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No	29c	550.87$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.58	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc38…e82bbacked No	33c	522.87$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	13cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed Yes	68c	520.94$356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.84	303	44.2%134 W · 169 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Yes	71c	500$355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked No	30c	500$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	454	21.4%97 W · 357 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6092…dd20backed No	32c	500$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4dc…338abacked No	44c	500$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	56cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e7c…596cbacked No	31c	500$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	209	32.5%68 W · 141 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No	28c	499.98$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes	70c	499.98$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.99	403	43.7%176 W · 227 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event