Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77cdf10e0cbddb64775d735d882925631edcdbf84f23316e23d0d4be83636b30

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $155,532
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $149,109

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,532 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x49c2…13d2backed Yes	1c	34,063$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	54	50%27 W · 27 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb52…f12ebacked Yes	0c	10,700$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.7	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Yes	33c	10,000$3,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,299.99	133	31.6%42 W · 91 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Yes	17c	6,148$1,045 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,045.17	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	17c	5,788$1,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,010.38	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes	7c	3,877$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.13	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	2c	3,729$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.99	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Yes	31c	3,528$1,078 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,078.46	39	5.1%2 W · 37 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-85.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c41…1365backed Yes	3c	3,350$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes	14c	2,999$419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$418.97	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5107…4281backed Yes	1c	2,666$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.74	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-55%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	1c	2,415$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.23	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Yes	33c	2,000$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	-5.4wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x55d0…44c3backed No	74c	2,000$1,485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$514.98	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d1…c0f2backed No	73c	1,888$1,380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$508.32	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+2.3wins	+0.15per pick	65cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x810d…0d24backed No	67c	1,796$1,203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$592.66	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No	67c	1,600$1,072 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$528	378	50.5%191 W · 187 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes	4c	1,524$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.72	194	45.4%88 W · 106 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	11c	1,443$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.22	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No	67c	1,400$938 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$462	383	51.4%197 W · 186 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No	67c	1,310$884 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$425.82	362	50.8%184 W · 178 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	6c	1,265$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.75	212	39.6%84 W · 128 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-26%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94a6…5cdcbacked Yes	33c	1,218$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No	67c	1,200$804 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$396	352	51.7%182 W · 170 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked No	66c	1,064$702 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$361.8	108	33.3%36 W · 72 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	6c	1,025$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.3	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Yes	35c	1,000$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff4e…63e0backed Yes	17c	999.99$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	3c	986$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.29	228	34.6%79 W · 149 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	78c	967.03$758 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.54	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…c4a9backed Yes	9c	940.84$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.85	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dc5…a303backed Yes	32c	921.88$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295	93	30.1%28 W · 65 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Yes	4c	863.87$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.37	78	38.5%30 W · 48 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb3…5adfbacked No	69c	813.69$561 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$252.24	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	63cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No	67c	800$536 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264	390	50.8%198 W · 192 L	-8.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes	10c	774$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.35	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	6c	746.46$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.75	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No	67c	640$429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.2	354	51.4%182 W · 172 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes	14c	610.17$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.14	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed No	65c	605.44$393 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.1	46	50%23 W · 23 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No	67c	600$402 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198	353	52.7%186 W · 167 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed Yes	21c	579.93$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.32	256	38.7%99 W · 157 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5035…cf0dbacked Yes	32c	563.29$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178	96	29.2%28 W · 68 L	-8.5wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No	67c	520$348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.6	399	51.4%205 W · 194 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	6c	518.69$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.46	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e80…f694backed Yes	19c	500$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-23%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9690…f2d5backed Yes	16c	500$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-3.6wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	-59.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e7c…596cbacked No	70c	500$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	209	32.5%68 W · 141 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes	32c	484.38$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	137	29.9%41 W · 96 L	-12.9wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No	67c	480$322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.4	408	48.8%199 W · 209 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8d…f822backed Yes	19c	478$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.82	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	-4.5wins	-0.17per pick	31cpaid	-76.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8a7c…3016backed Yes	34c	441.18$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	130	11.5%15 W · 115 L	-6.7wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	10c	433$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.3	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd02…ab27backed Yes	4c	421$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.84	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c0…466bbacked No	68c	402.17$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.28	37	24.3%9 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	235	43%101 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No	67c	400$268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132	370	51.4%190 W · 180 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Yes	32c	390.63$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	78	15.4%12 W · 66 L	-7.7wins	-0.10per pick	25cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb7e…28ddbacked No	65c	367$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.73	89	36%32 W · 57 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3089…92f6backed Yes	15c	351.5$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.11	178	28.1%50 W · 128 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-25%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed Yes	19c	339.8$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.29	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No	67c	312$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.96	374	52.1%195 W · 179 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No	67c	312$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.96	348	51.7%180 W · 168 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93c2…d95fbacked Yes	34c	300$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes	5c	299.4$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.97	104	20.2%21 W · 83 L	+6.1wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+88.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe67c…c0fabacked No	68c	294.12$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.12	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+2.7wins	+0.12per pick	47cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed No	70c	284.76$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.76	251	60.6%152 W · 99 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8734…a7b2backed Yes	35c	283.97$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked No	68c	266.99$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.44	406	49.8%202 W · 204 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed Yes	17c	259.68$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.15	188	39.9%75 W · 113 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b61…aba2backed Yes	34c	258.88$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.02	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed Yes	18c	250$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	142	38.7%55 W · 87 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b96…f02ebacked Yes	36c	248.72$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.98	60	51.7%31 W · 29 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa741…8d0ebacked No	67c	200$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e5…1d48backed Yes	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No	67c	200$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	377	53.8%203 W · 174 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No	67c	200$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	343	51.9%178 W · 165 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20c0…b0febacked Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc135…21b0backed No	68c	199.98$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.99	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+1.5wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Yes	18c	187.93$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.83	363	50.1%182 W · 181 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes	16c	180.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.74	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0676…9db8backed Yes	33c	174$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.42	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-3.1wins	-0.24per pick	47cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5fdf…3dd0backed No	70c	171.84$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.84	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce7f…de96backed No	68c	166$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.12	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	+47.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdae8…8c95backed Yes	33c	158.81$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.12per pick	42cpaid	+37.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d91…f592backed Yes	34c	156.47$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.2	141	30.5%43 W · 98 L	-8.1wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes	32c	156.25$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	52	34.6%18 W · 34 L	+3.9wins	+0.08per pick	27cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes	10c	150$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	245	41.2%101 W · 144 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed Yes	18c	150$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	162	46.9%76 W · 86 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Yes	32c	149.8$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.82	222	42.8%95 W · 127 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed No	68c	146.69$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.47	285	47.7%136 W · 149 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8418…efe0backed Yes	33c	146$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.08	49	26.5%13 W · 36 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3aa1…1f54backed Yes	34c	145.38$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.33	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0850…cb8cbacked No	70c	143.75$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.75	74	39.2%29 W · 45 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3af2…5212backed No	71c	140.85$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.85	174	47.7%83 W · 91 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed No	71c	140.85$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.85	396	48.7%193 W · 203 L	-23.6wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcce5…3527backed Yes	18c	138.89$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	74	16.2%12 W · 62 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f1b…aa6cbacked Yes	34c	132.35$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-3.7wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x95cd…8efebacked No	76c	131.91$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.91	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8041…fc83backed No	73c	130$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.9	86	74.4%64 W · 22 L	+5.9wins	+0.07per pick	68cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event