Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc94d393aa6c0c1a3c8c23f0ab2f45e95d05cfd50266a993c582e84c5117d984

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $216,197
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $210,927

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,197 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8658…f20fbacked No	0c	51,850$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.7	31	3.2%1 W · 30 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked No	4c	9,700$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368.57	161	39.8%64 W · 97 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No	2c	5,337$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.82	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b2c…2151backed No	3c	3,996$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.18	20	0%0 W · 20 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60c1…bc55backed No	3c	2,748$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No	5c	2,745$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.84	228	34.6%79 W · 149 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a4f…04bbbacked No	3c	2,351$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	31	9.7%3 W · 28 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	5cpaid	+45.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed No	1c	2,275$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.82	80	3.8%3 W · 77 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	-75.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No	1c	1,999$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.76	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac12…7f97backed No	5c	1,621$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No	1c	1,272$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.12	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed No	4c	1,216$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.76	126	6.3%8 W · 118 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No	7c	1,200$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.71	179	45.3%81 W · 98 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed No	2c	1,135$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.26	202	1.5%3 W · 199 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No	2c	1,130$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.86	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe5d7…6530backed No	3c	1,030$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.94	236	40.3%95 W · 141 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	3c	1,006$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.18	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d8d…8f77backed No	3c	1,000$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9163…82aebacked No	3c	999.1$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.97	73	19.2%14 W · 59 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No	2c	877.53$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.03	681	41.1%280 W · 401 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee1…746fbacked No	4c	856.16$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.28	31	12.9%4 W · 27 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No	3c	806.78$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.33	293	7.5%22 W · 271 L	-13.2wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e7d…ca41backed No	3c	800$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	73	39.7%29 W · 44 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa136…9977backed No	3c	800$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	29	3.4%1 W · 28 L	-2.5wins	-0.08per pick	12cpaid	-94.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd7b0…35d3backed No	5c	723.47$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.36	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-78.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eab…0e07backed No	3c	722.66$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5260…fd71backed No	4c	700$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.9	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e88…0c70backed No	3c	667.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	125	32.8%41 W · 84 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	4c	627.93$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.15	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc0…ac69backed No	4c	554.66$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	+3.1wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2e6…38febacked No	3c	551.07$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.41	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.14per pick	25cpaid	-77.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd261…b663backed No	2c	504.8$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	43	14%6 W · 37 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-71.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed No	3c	420.53$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.78	189	11.1%21 W · 168 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed No	4c	399.98$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.2	47	31.9%15 W · 32 L	-4.9wins	-0.10per pick	42cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6293…6cbbbacked No	3c	360$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+4.6wins	+0.20per pick	45cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb475…978cbacked No	3c	357.14$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	40cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb77…f0b2backed No	3c	357.14$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7188…3329backed No	3c	312.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff8f…87e1backed No	3c	312.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f29…0a8cbacked No	4c	300$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa919…85e9backed No	8c	250.63$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0205…82f1backed No	7c	152.51$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	25	36%9 W · 16 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	27cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event