TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe5d7…6530

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
391
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: AI, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category AI at 59 out of 100; worst Lol at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT23640.3%95 W · 141 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 236 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$37.54
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.22
Will Elon Musk attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$42
Will LeBron James attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$36.93
Will Drake attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.73
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.84
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$328.42
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
Will Lamine Yamal score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Julian Alvarez score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$43.41
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+53%+$116
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.27
Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.99
Pedro Porro: 1+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.85
Lamine Yamal: 3+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+100.6%+$98.8
Cucurella: 1+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+150.4%+$53.89
Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Lisandro Martínez: 1+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.38
Julián Álvarez: 1+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.9
Lionel Messi: 3+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.77
Pedri: 1+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+157.5%+$57.86
Leandro Paredes: 1+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.11
Lionel Messi: 4+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Showing 25 of 236 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.8
UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jan Blachowicz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
UFC Fight Night: Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Michael Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$69.95
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$32
UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Damian Rzepecki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.5
UFC Fight Night: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Saygid Izagakhmaev (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Abubakar Vagaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,026Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$443.57
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Kamaru Usman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$204
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.8
UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Seokhyeon Ko (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$455
UFC Fight Night: Felipe Franco vs. Levi Rodrigues Jr. (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Felipe Franco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$342
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$190.95
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$679Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$678.89
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.62
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Benoît Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$400.14
UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Brandon Royval · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$946.63
UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Terrance McKinney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$705Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$705.12
UFC 329: Kai Kamaka III vs. Luke Riley (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Kai Kamaka III · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.02
UFC 329: Wang Cong vs. Tracy Cortez (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Tracy Cortez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Rafael Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$294
UFC Fight Night: Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Asu Almabayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+44%+$142.04
UFC Fight Night: Eric Nolan vs. Farman Hasanov (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Eric Nolan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+91.3%+$136.56
UFC Fight Night: Otari Tanzilovi vs. Shane Collins (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Shane Collins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$181.64
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT3360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$54.5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.07
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9.64
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12.18
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.6
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.13
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+42%+$13.72
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.71
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$25.35
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.21
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+105.9%+$74.07
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.38
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.3
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5.54
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.58
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$29.63
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$9.99
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$13.02
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$27.64
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$14.9
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$10.12
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.81
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.46
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT2737%10 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)backed Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.53
MLB All-Star Gamebacked National League · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
American vs. National: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.54
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.88
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$65.64
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.16
Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.04
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+138.4%+$113.78
New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.61
Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.96
San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.91
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.41
Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.58
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankeesbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$53.9
Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.56
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.4
Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.56
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.54
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.24
Colorado Rockies vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+131.6%+$55.68
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$62.62
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45.45
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.15
Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$47.04
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick59cpaid-43.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$48.06
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.1
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$24.18
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.04
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.73
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.25
Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+1.5)backed Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.3
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.86
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+2.5)backed Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.02
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick71cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Palermo: Miriam Bulgaru vs Caijsa Hennemannbacked Caijsa Hennemann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$613Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$612.84
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Sonego (+1.5)backed Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$22.1
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Jaume Munarbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$23.1
Wimbledon ATP (Doubles): Doumbia/Reboul vs Kopriva/Pieczonkabacked Doumbia/Reboul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$22.59
Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Sebastian Ofnerbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Wimbledon WTA: Veronika Erjavec vs Leolia Jeanjeanbacked Leolia Jeanjean · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$33.12
Wimbledon ATP: Kyrian Jacquet vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Kyrian Jacquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$27.6
Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Quentin Halysbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$25.62
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spirit Make Blast Bounty Grand Finalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.96
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$819Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$819
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Sinners (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.04
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.08
Counter-Strike: 9z vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$93.72
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs largadosypelados (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Playoffsbacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$42.9
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Isurus (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Group Abacked Isurus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.84
All 8 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+206.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+81.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+158.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-34.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$51.66
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 December 29-January 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+31.1%+$8.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+41%+$15.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+27%+$15.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Knockout - Slovakia vs. Finlandbacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$197.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$198.11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.