Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb525c1ed2fdadce4c3a6151d51a3c65b157ae2fd68c9029c4617b2b2d3a22b1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Under | 73c | 31,551$23,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,531.95 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed Over | 27c | 26,580$7,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,173.87 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 72c | 8,000$5,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.99 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Over | 28c | 7,243$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.07 | 487 | 42.3%206 W · 281 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 72c | 4,740$3,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.46 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Over | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed Over | 27c | 1,581$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.82 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 29c | 1,549$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.08 | 227 | 48%109 W · 118 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…e3c8backed Over | 27c | 1,258$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.66 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 30c | 1,244$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.95 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…9439backed Over | 28c | 976.86$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.52 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 72c | 713.76$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.15 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Over | 27c | 659.26$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 197 | 35%69 W · 128 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Over | 27c | 621.8$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.88 | 545 | 29.7%162 W · 383 L | -34.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Over | 27c | 591.07$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.6 | 329 | 39.8%131 W · 198 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 72c | 537.43$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.14 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Under | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac7…8a43backed Over | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 181 | 32.6%59 W · 122 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…cec1backed Over | 30c | 474$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.06 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…8238backed Over | 27c | 418.15$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.9 | 147 | 35.4%52 W · 95 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 28c | 416$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.48 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Over | 27c | 413.89$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.75 | 197 | 52.8%104 W · 93 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 73c | 388.72$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.73 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda89…6a2dbacked Over | 28c | 348$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3116…b30dbacked Over | 28c | 345.57$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 67c | 310$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 28c | 300$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Under | 64c | 292.67$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.57 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 74c | 266$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.16 | 197 | 58.9%116 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 69c | 237.81$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafa4…a24cbacked Under | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Over | 28c | 167.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 406 | 37.7%153 W · 253 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Under | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce77…86c4backed Under | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 27c | 142$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 30c | 137$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Over | 26c | 133$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 421 | 49.2%207 W · 214 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac5…f35bbacked Over | 29c | 132$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…c512backed Under | 74c | 110.61$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -8.6wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Over | 27c | 110$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 376 | 47.9%180 W · 196 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…ad79backed Over | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1207…9795backed Over | 27c | 88.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed Over | 28c | 83.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee22…7054backed Over | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7322…9f57backed Under | 79c | 63.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…764fbacked Under | 73c | 59.12$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 69c | 57.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…1ec0backed Over | 27c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Under | 74c | 53.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 113 | 69%78 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d4…2101backed Under | 78c | 52.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 72c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa004…e6e6backed Under | 73c | 46.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 29 | 89.7%26 W · 3 L | +6.1wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Over | 26c | 45.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e69…30a0backed Over | 27c | 44.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Over | 27c | 44.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c2…b4ecbacked Over | 27c | 39.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9d…03a9backed Over | 44c | 36.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…c227backed Under | 74c | 33.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 80 | 83.8%67 W · 13 L | +11.2wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d7…6530backed Under | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…f273backed Under | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 77c | 25.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57d8…a490backed Under | 73c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 382 | 57.9%221 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6748…3c4cbacked Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Under | 73c | 18.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 104 | 60.6%63 W · 41 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0654…f5a9backed Under | 72c | 17.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Under | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 577 | 72.3%417 W · 160 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 75c | 14.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 395 | 55.2%218 W · 177 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under | 74c | 13.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)LYON won
- Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)LYON won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 WinnerLYON won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.