TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LYONof LYON, FURIA Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,850
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,137

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,850 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed LYON60c20,000$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,00091854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed FURIA Esports40c18,100$7,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,240.051,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked LYON56c13,515$7,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,881.031,49054.6%813 W · 677 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked FURIA Esports40c9,918$3,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,918.0290348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed LYON62c5,418$3,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,033.0357957.9%335 W · 244 L+25.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked FURIA Esports45c4,320$1,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,94459148.2%285 W · 306 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb0…57e0backed FURIA Esports40c3,104$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.77463.5%47 W · 27 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6922…5d9cbacked FURIA Esports44c3,069$1,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,362.43450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed LYON59c2,856$1,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.8347455.3%262 W · 212 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6768…4ef1backed LYON53c2,519$1,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.7210449%51 W · 53 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x581d…b8febacked FURIA Esports41c2,439$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00070%0 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa1b6…e0a0backed FURIA Esports47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009239.1%36 W · 56 L-11.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked FURIA Esports41c2,117$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.976253.2%33 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e20…e3c8backed FURIA Esports43c1,760$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.82222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-41.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked FURIA Esports42c1,597$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.0722748%109 W · 118 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked LYON57c1,472$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.8588950.5%449 W · 440 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd052…563dbacked LYON60c1,468$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.048055%44 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed FURIA Esports41c1,073$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.551,04450.4%526 W · 518 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked LYON58c1,063$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.51,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c27…97c2backed FURIA Esports45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4502236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-37.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed FURIA Esports45c999.98$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.491,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf964…a4cebacked FURIA Esports40c936.16$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.476136.1%22 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked LYON58c859.98$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.9810049%49 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08e7…4f63backed LYON60c803.02$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.219436.2%34 W · 60 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf56d…9eeabacked LYON59c734.86$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.295653.6%30 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed LYON57c729.58$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.1169741.5%289 W · 408 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed FURIA Esports41c705.05$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.0712341.5%51 W · 72 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed LYON57c590.73$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.252,15253.3%1,147 W · 1,005 L+58.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed LYON60c583.33$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.3328250%141 W · 141 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb603…c701backed FURIA Esports45c565.3$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.6816148.4%78 W · 83 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed FURIA Esports41c505.25$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.2126729.2%78 W · 189 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5157…596fbacked LYON59c504.62$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.941060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked FURIA Esports42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21060538.8%235 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked FURIA Esports40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20048847.3%231 W · 257 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe9a9…3ba9backed LYON60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20033845.3%153 W · 185 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked LYON57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21519758.9%116 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked FURIA Esports42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2102638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed LYON59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20566059.8%395 W · 265 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73ae…e665backed FURIA Esports45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+40.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…4d0dbacked FURIA Esports41c499.99$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2053138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed LYON65c499.8$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.372,49047.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37a1…bedfbacked LYON59c499.41$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.7611344.2%50 W · 63 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc56…b1d7backed FURIA Esports41c485$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.851323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-58.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5217…ec29backed LYON57c473.57$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.6421154.5%115 W · 96 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed LYON54c455.51$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.591,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…3ca3backed FURIA Esports44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17631050%155 W · 155 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c65…4f24backed LYON50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2007657.9%44 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea3…fe61backed LYON38c399.99$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2484639.1%18 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3b0…b4d1backed FURIA Esports43c340$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.29635.4%34 W · 62 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed FURIA Esports39c336.65$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.2982352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb74…3fabbacked LYON61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8719052.6%100 W · 90 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed LYON59c323.34$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.0442852.3%224 W · 204 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked LYON59c320$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.212,92344.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L-91.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked LYON55c291.11$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13117444.8%78 W · 96 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked FURIA Esports41c259.66$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.4663344.5%282 W · 351 L-18.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked FURIA Esports42c258.1$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.421844%96 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3a5…534cbacked LYON59c255.7$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.720739.1%81 W · 126 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed LYON60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10065063.2%411 W · 239 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066d…1bffbacked FURIA Esports40c249.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9922843.9%100 W · 128 L+16.4wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+7.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed FURIA Esports41c244.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003560%21 W · 14 L+5.4wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+37.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed FURIA Esports41c243.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,11435%390 W · 724 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed FURIA Esports42c235$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.756650%283 W · 283 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb417…437fbacked FURIA Esports45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008637.2%32 W · 54 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked FURIA Esports43c212$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1644743.6%195 W · 252 L+1.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x713f…2d95backed FURIA Esports50c200.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked FURIA Esports41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8260243.4%261 W · 341 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ff7…4176backed FURIA Esports40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-37.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked FURIA Esports37c199.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7442149.2%207 W · 214 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed FURIA Esports40c199.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.997944.3%35 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed LYON48c199.85$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.121,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed LYON24c190.57$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9516819.6%33 W · 135 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-44.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed FURIA Esports41c178$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.986035%21 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed FURIA Esports44c167.11$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5326440.9%108 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9048…d351backed LYON60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.676336.5%23 W · 40 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed LYON54c162.96$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9620551.7%106 W · 99 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed LYON57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.521647.2%102 W · 114 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f2…aeb7backed LYON74c138.9$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1120542.4%87 W · 118 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked LYON59c135.95$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7264749.9%323 W · 324 L-24.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2eb9…8d05backed LYON58c132.76$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.769736.1%35 W · 62 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked LYON57c130$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.361746.5%287 W · 330 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62d5…bc0cbacked LYON50c129.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.521457%122 W · 92 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf72…f8bcbacked FURIA Esports41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014157.4%81 W · 60 L+13.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed FURIA Esports40c120$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4826048.8%127 W · 133 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed FURIA Esports44c114.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019232.8%63 W · 129 L-17.2wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8b4e…417cbacked FURIA Esports47c113.46$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.333125.8%8 W · 23 L-5.5wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-41.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3419…3896backed FURIA Esports44c111.25$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.951952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked LYON54c111.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1163458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked LYON60c108.71$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.481,35651.1%693 W · 663 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed LYON59c108.47$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4711840.7%48 W · 70 L-11.3wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfcd7…1b08backed LYON59c100.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.99540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick68cpaid-38.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd7d4…6663backed LYON59c100.2$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.083250%16 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed FURIA Esports45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4521945.2%99 W · 120 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked LYON59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4161256.2%344 W · 268 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e4e…8f3ebacked LYON58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427349.3%36 W · 37 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fd6…d4a0backed FURIA Esports47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474148.8%20 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe45e…b135backed FURIA Esports42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428237.8%31 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72f4…3d96backed LYON59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4118242.3%77 W · 105 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60d…ad79backed LYON58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424374.4%32 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd054…c6bebacked LYON71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298852.3%46 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b42…ae6ebacked FURIA Esports45c92.25$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5116439.6%65 W · 99 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.