TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8b4e…417c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
250
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT8248.8%40 W · 42 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffsbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.1
Map Handicap: MARS (-1.5) vs regain (+1.5)backed regain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.8
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffsbacked largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$45.05
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.74
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs SPARTA (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Playoffsbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$76.7
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$50.64
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$37.05
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.65
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.28
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs largadosypelados (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.69
Counter-Strike: A Great Chaos vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #7 Playoffsbacked A Great Chaos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.17
Map Handicap: FX (-1.5) vs Isurus (+1.5)backed Isurus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.19
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+150.5%+$39.13
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$42
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.62
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$50.56
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$46.67
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial (BO5) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffsbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$43.4
Counter-Strike: Serbia vs Romania (BO3) - Esports Nations Cup East European Qualifier Playoffsbacked Serbia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.62
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT3125.8%8 W · 23 L-5.5wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-41.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Lol — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$30.6
Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (+1.5)backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.67
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.39
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)backed FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.33
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$55.23
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$23.12
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-Inbacked Frites Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.18
Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$56.65
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.46
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.37
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+117.4%+$46.96
LoL: Meavedron vs EXILE esports (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffsbacked Meavedron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$25
First Blood in Game 2?backed Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$24.18
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 3?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+117.4%+$52.92
First Blood in Game 3?backed Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$24.18
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$45.15
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+132.6%+$59.85
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 3?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$45.15
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT3036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 135.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$41.27
Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Troy Trojans: O/U 152.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.65
Spread: BYU Cougars (-1.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.61
Spread: Bellarmine Knights (-2.5)backed Bellarmine Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+117.4%+$46.55
Michigan Wolverines vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$29.74
Bucknell Bison vs. Army Black Knightsbacked Bucknell Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+163.2%+$32.36
Spread: Grambling State Tigers (-16.5)backed Grambling State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+117.4%+$34.91
Nicholls Colonels vs. Lamar Cardinals: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$29.74
Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Chicago State Cougars: O/U 138.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$34.69
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs. Chicago State Cougars: O/U 132.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$34.69
American Eagles vs. Bucknell Bisonbacked Bucknell Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$23.03
Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-27.5)backed Air Force Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-9.5)backed Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Nicholls Colonels vs. Houston Christian Huskiesbacked Houston Christian Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+108.3%+$43.34
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Alabama A&M Bulldogs: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25.2
New Orleans Privateers vs. Incarnate Word Cardinals: O/U 155.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$16.71
Grambling State Tigers vs. Prairie View A&M Panthersbacked Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+143.9%+$35.98
Southeastern Louisiana Lions vs. East Texas A&M Lionsbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Oregon State Beavers vs. Seattle Redhawks: O/U 137.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$17.83
Belmont Bruins vs. Murray State Racers: O/U 167.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30.41
Illinois State Redbirds vs. UIC Flames: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Fairfield Stags vs. Saint Peter's Peacocks: O/U 142.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+117.4%+$35.22
Charleston Southern Buccaneers vs. Radford Highlandersbacked Charleston Southern Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20.35
Navy Midshipmen vs. Colgate Raidersbacked Colgate Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT2740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.73
Canucks vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.26
AHL: San Jose Barracuda vs. Henderson Silver Knightsbacked San Jose Barracuda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.84
AHL: Rochester Americans vs. Providence Bruinsbacked Rochester Americans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.55
AHL: Utica Comets vs. Syracuse Crunchbacked Utica Comets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.42
Hurricanes vs. Utahbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$57.68
AHL: Belleville Senators vs. Laval Rocketbacked Belleville Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.56
KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. CSKA Moscowbacked CSKA Moscow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.74
Predators vs. Utah: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$43.17
AHL: Henderson Silver Knights vs. Coachella Valley Firebirdsbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.7
AHL: San Diego Gulls vs. San Jose Barracudabacked San Diego Gulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$53.19
AHL: Bakersfield Condors vs. Ontario Reignbacked Bakersfield Condors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.61
AHL: Tucson Roadrunners vs. Henderson Silver Knightsbacked Henderson Silver Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$43.09
AHL: Iowa Wild vs. Rockford IceHogsbacked Rockford IceHogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.29
AHL: Rockford IceHogs vs. Iowa Wildbacked Rockford IceHogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$50.45
AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Cleveland Monstersbacked Milwaukee Admirals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.57
AHL: Charlotte Checkers vs. Toronto Marliesbacked Toronto Marlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.49
AHL: Hartford Wolf Pack vs. Bridgeport Islandersbacked Bridgeport Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$46.63
AHL: Colorado Eagles vs. Ontario Reignbacked Ontario Reign · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
AHL: Henderson Silver Knights vs. Tucson Roadrunnersbacked Tucson Roadrunners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Senators vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$54.74
Red Wings vs. Senatorsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+143.9%+$35.98
SHL: Djurgaarden vs. HV 71backed HV 71 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30
KHL: SKA St. Petersburg vs. HC Dynamo Moscowbacked HC Dynamo Moscow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+117.4%+$35.22
AHL: Hershey Bears vs. Belleville Senatorsbacked Hershey Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+104.1%+$31.22
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nets vs. Bucks: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.53
Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$42.02
Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.53
Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.75
Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$43.33
Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+122.2%+$36.67
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hawks vs. 76ers: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+133%+$39.89
Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+108.5%+$54.65
Joel Embiid: Points O/U 29.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$28.67
Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 12.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+171.6%+$54.34
Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$39.99
Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30.72
Jusuf Nurkić: Points O/U 9.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+104.1%+$31.23
Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40.01
Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 2.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$16.07
Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+138.1%+$75.95
Russell Westbrook: Assists O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+157.5%+$70.9
Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 2.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$58.2
All 22 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT2231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.32
Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.12
Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.05
Dota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.18
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$65
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Resilience (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.2
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$43.78
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: 4 Anchors and Ilmeria vs the bug (BO3) - The International North America Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 4 Anchors and Ilmeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$26.96
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Bald - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Bald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.33
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs MODUS (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked MODUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+150%+$49.99
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.33
Dota 2: Execration vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.1
Dota 2: Execration vs Carstensz (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Carstensz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Game Handicap: MODUS (-1.5) vs VP.Prodigy (+1.5)backed MODUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe Open Qualifier 1 Playoffsbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.83
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$36.04
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.16
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$21.19
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-Inbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+212.5%+$42.5
All 22 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Çilekler vs Misa Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Goup Dbacked Çilekler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$76.15
Valorant: X-CAST vs Dplus - Map 1 Winnerbacked X-CAST · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs BESTIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked KRÜ Spark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.67
Valorant: Fennel vs Crest Gaming Zst - Map 1 Winnerbacked Fennel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.67
Valorant: QoR vs YFT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked YFT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs University War (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Playoffsbacked University War · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked NRG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.33
Valorant: FURIA Academy vs la Masia (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Playoffsbacked FURIA Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$55.71
Valorant: REBORN vs Joblife - Map 1 Winnerbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+150%+$50
Valorant: REJECT vs QT DIG∞ (BO3) - VCL Japan Main Stagebacked QT DIG∞ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.75
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.44
Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs Karmine Corp GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp GC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Valorant: SaD Esports vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffsbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.71
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Liquid (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+132.6%+$46.4
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+53.8%+$29.62
Valorant: MIBR vs G2 Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Map Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+170.3%+$31.5
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+132.6%+$33.14
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stagebacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Valorant: 6GPA vs ALTERNATE aTTaX (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Playoffsbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$36.92
All 21 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+43.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Genoa CFC vs. Como 1907: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$40.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Inter Miami CF vs. Austin FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$18.19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.