Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Oregon State Beavers vs. Seattle Redhawks: O/U 137.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8fa3f1dab320e913b246bda4deaf1477bd05cf09df69efc19d8420495818d8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 44c | 17,501$7,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,723.25 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…ef56backed Over | 44c | 15,734$6,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,989.46 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 56c | 13,614$7,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,990.21 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Under | 57c | 12,182$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,182.49 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 55c | 11,360$6,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,079.97 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Over | 44c | 6,978$3,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,070.32 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 55c | 3,516$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.63 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Over | 44c | 2,789$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.01 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Under | 56c | 2,589$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.3 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Over | 48c | 2,000$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.87 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a1…4dbdbacked Under | 57c | 1,400$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60d…761abacked Over | 40c | 1,400$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.47 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 56c | 1,239$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.99 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 61c | 652$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.88 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Over | 45c | 596.07$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 56c | 353$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.32 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 61c | 313.35$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.2 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Over | 45c | 299.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 44c | 295.98$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.88 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf926…fb21backed Over | 45c | 276.81$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.41 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 55c | 247.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.64 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Under | 57c | 245.52$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.26 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 55c | 181.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce5…3e52backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7540…9827backed Under | 56c | 80.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 46c | 76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 39c | 75.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked Over | 44c | 40.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 56c | 35.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 42c | 34.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 43c | 31.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…f72cbacked Under | 52c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Over | 45c | 30.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e2…3c77backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +46%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Over | 50c | 28.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…a8a9backed Over | 44c | 28.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Over | 44c | 26.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ee…0bb0backed Under | 56c | 22.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…4b45backed Under | 56c | 18.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…e3e9backed Under | 56c | 17.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oregon State Beavers vs. Seattle Redhawks: O/U 137.5this page
- Oregon State Beavers vs. Seattle RedhawksSeattle Redhawks won
- Oregon State Beavers vs. Seattle Redhawks: O/U 136.5Under won
- Spread: Seattle Redhawks (-6.5)Seattle Redhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.