TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Oregon State Beavers vs. Seattle Redhawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Seattle Redhawksof Oregon State Beavers, Seattle Redhawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$105,548
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$104,667

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,548 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x691a…d113backed Oregon State Beavers12c23,314$2,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,700.9922043.2%95 W · 125 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Oregon State Beavers27c10,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.988517.6%15 W · 70 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick20cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Seattle Redhawks73c7,540$5,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,035.812251.6%63 W · 59 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Oregon State Beavers13c4,789$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60015447.4%73 W · 81 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Oregon State Beavers11c4,370$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.8642934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Oregon State Beavers23c3,723$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.414643.2%63 W · 83 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Oregon State Beavers28c3,500$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9801353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Seattle Redhawks73c3,140$2,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.7221955.3%121 W · 98 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Seattle Redhawks71c3,009$2,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.352,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Oregon State Beavers19c2,639$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.263,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Oregon State Beavers4c2,521$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.451363.7%5 W · 131 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6dc5…7708backed Oregon State Beavers18c2,320$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42011028.2%31 W · 79 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Oregon State Beavers9c2,025$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.9625325.3%64 W · 189 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Oregon State Beavers19c1,579$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.6548051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Seattle Redhawks71c1,339$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.2912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Oregon State Beavers29c1,188$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.487727.3%21 W · 56 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Seattle Redhawks72c1,156$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.681,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x009b…e769backed Seattle Redhawks75c800$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2007360.3%44 W · 29 L-0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Oregon State Beavers29c724.14$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Oregon State Beavers25c720.43$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.7313840.6%56 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe843…cc39backed Oregon State Beavers26c705$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa206…0f9bbacked Seattle Redhawks77c618.23$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-35.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Oregon State Beavers29c610$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.937142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78d2…7a2bbacked Oregon State Beavers4c517.64$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.758347%39 W · 44 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Seattle Redhawks71c494.16$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.3116051.3%82 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Seattle Redhawks72c487.66$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.591,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bcd…34e5backed Oregon State Beavers10c417.28$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4640%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bc8…b4dabacked Oregon State Beavers4c403.94$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.54850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Oregon State Beavers3c390.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.821926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick19cpaid-33.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Oregon State Beavers21c349.97$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.387047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed Oregon State Beavers29c346.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009338.7%36 W · 57 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Oregon State Beavers30c343.6$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.4337947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Seattle Redhawks71c337.06$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.3468254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Seattle Redhawks71c309.49$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.752,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…8276backed Oregon State Beavers29c303.45$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8815243.4%66 W · 86 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6312…f94ebacked Oregon State Beavers20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604740.4%19 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b6d…5b1dbacked Oregon State Beavers4c280.35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb02…0f88backed Oregon State Beavers11c271.28$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.518641.9%36 W · 50 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Oregon State Beavers15c250$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.514151.1%72 W · 69 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Oregon State Beavers26c249.56$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.894,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6f…f6b2backed Oregon State Beavers29c240.37$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.71728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-48.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Seattle Redhawks70c216.09$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8999045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf205…2a7dbacked Oregon State Beavers28c214.28$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Oregon State Beavers21c202.15$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.552,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Oregon State Beavers28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43f2…754cbacked Seattle Redhawks74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Oregon State Beavers17c200$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3336942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Oregon State Beavers28c199.98$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Oregon State Beavers27c199.95$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9931537.8%119 W · 196 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dca…a7acbacked Oregon State Beavers30c180$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5425254.8%138 W · 114 L-15.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Oregon State Beavers28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014553.1%77 W · 68 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Oregon State Beavers27c176.87$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.751,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2cf…d1e7backed Oregon State Beavers6c173.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Seattle Redhawks73c158.17$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.331,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Seattle Redhawks80c158$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.653,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Oregon State Beavers32c154.07$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010736.4%39 W · 68 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Oregon State Beavers15c153.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2319237%71 W · 121 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Oregon State Beavers30c153$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.931,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34ca…9de7backed Seattle Redhawks73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9913561.5%83 W · 52 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+24.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Seattle Redhawks73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9993447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa60…9b86backed Seattle Redhawks74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.149769.1%67 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Redhawks73c134.85$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.515,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xec8d…453dbacked Oregon State Beavers16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209849%48 W · 50 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x18ed…04cbbacked Oregon State Beavers26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265149%25 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Oregon State Beavers28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Oregon State Beavers21c99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.791,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea8d…e9d3backed Seattle Redhawks73c83.44$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.536352.4%33 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Oregon State Beavers28c75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2137441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6038…2130backed Oregon State Beavers28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201650%8 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Oregon State Beavers23c70$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3534952.1%182 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Seattle Redhawks74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5711844.1%52 W · 66 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd479…be37backed Oregon State Beavers30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeeff…7353backed Oregon State Beavers26c66$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.161729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d93…9ed1backed Oregon State Beavers28c65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.21650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9e…a8a9backed Oregon State Beavers28c63.38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.773138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0846…a401backed Oregon State Beavers27c62.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7540…9827backed Seattle Redhawks73c61.64$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.642642.3%11 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Oregon State Beavers20c60$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.784854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Seattle Redhawks74c54.19$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.198460.7%51 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaded…6fa0backed Oregon State Beavers28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Seattle Redhawks73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.564658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Oregon State Beavers29c49.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4537835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Seattle Redhawks74c47.53$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5323363.9%149 W · 84 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb10b…ec5ebacked Oregon State Beavers28c42.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.045646.4%26 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Seattle Redhawks71c33.23$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6481453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Seattle Redhawks73c30.14$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.144866.7%32 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…06c5backed Seattle Redhawks74c29.35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6342751.8%221 W · 206 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b3a…b9d9backed Seattle Redhawks72c27.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.85450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15cc…7f61backed Seattle Redhawks74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.03785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick64cpaid+42.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Seattle Redhawks73c26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0243053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Seattle Redhawks73c23.37$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3521152.1%110 W · 101 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd286…4c1bbacked Seattle Redhawks73c20.84$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6513561.5%83 W · 52 L+13.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+24.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf55c…a6abbacked Seattle Redhawks73c20.36$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.514171.6%101 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick72cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Seattle Redhawks75c16.52$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1520248%97 W · 105 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.