TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd479…be37

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
137
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Middle East, grading 66 out of 100 (+0.15 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 66 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT4443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$57.98
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.79
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.24
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 163.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 157.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.71
Texas Longhorns vs. UCLA Bruins (W)backed UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$21.01
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.05
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-7.5)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.44
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+208.8%+$53.87
Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5)backed Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.61
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 172.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+243.6%+$66.75
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+65.1%+$42.29
Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.92
Will Arkansas advance to the Final Four?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.82
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-7.5)backed Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.71
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-8.5)backed Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
Will Texas advance to the Final Four?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.58
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 160.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.89
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.52
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-11.5)backed VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-12.5)backed High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$20.1
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT3259.4%19 W · 13 L+8.4wins+0.26per pick33cpaid+110.1%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
Middle East — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$87
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$347.97
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+126.2%+$88.86
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$844Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$843.88
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$826Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+97.2%+$803.18
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$78.01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+71.5%+$71.33
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$772Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$228.87
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+37%+$101.46
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$788Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$290.41
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+300%+$75
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+208.3%+$821.58
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+176.3%+$363.89
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+275.2%+$941.16
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.1
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+183%+$97
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+108.9%+$89.91
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.83
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+346.5%+$77.97
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.46
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT2171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+33.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.27
Spread: Thunder (-13.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$20.55
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+79.8%+$24.94
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$18.45
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$146.18
Pelicans vs. Kings: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+78.5%+$11.95
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$20.03
Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$30.24
Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.71
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.41
Spread: Warriors (-14.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+137%+$19.26
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Jazzbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.45
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$18.1
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$23.93
Celtics vs. Warriorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+51.5%+$38.71
Will the USA Stars team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+29.9%+$13.32
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.04
Bucks vs. Thunderbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+244.8%+$58.27
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$22.21
Kings vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$32.31
All 21 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+137.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+130.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick31cpaid+152.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+59.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+43%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$69.9
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$29.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+52.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.54
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Midland: Anna Frey vs Darja Vidmanovabacked Frey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.