TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Connecticut Huskiesof Michigan Wolverines, Connecticut Huskies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$508,076
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$534,798

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $508,076 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 366 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd92…6b2abacked Connecticut Huskies54c144,919$78,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,662.851338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Michigan Wolverines46c57,096$26,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,183.128145.7%37 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Michigan Wolverines46c50,075$23,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,035.746246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Michigan Wolverines46c29,472$13,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,557.112445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Michigan Wolverines46c28,784$13,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,240.7617643.8%77 W · 99 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Michigan Wolverines49c26,218$12,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,742.6833438.9%130 W · 204 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfed8…4388backed Connecticut Huskies54c24,310$13,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,182.62653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69e9…dee1backed Connecticut Huskies50c20,066$10,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,019.161118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick47cpaid-67.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Connecticut Huskies53c19,999$10,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,399.752231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Connecticut Huskies53c18,153$9,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,532.074047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed Michigan Wolverines46c17,972$8,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,187.23666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+53%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cb3…8ed1backed Connecticut Huskies54c15,267$8,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,022.67683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+50.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Michigan Wolverines47c14,036$6,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,548.4920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Michigan Wolverines46c14,000$6,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,399.9574051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Michigan Wolverines51c13,461$6,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,840.222846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Michigan Wolverines47c12,679$5,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,959.1635147.6%167 W · 184 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc7d…ee5abacked Michigan Wolverines47c11,000$5,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,169.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Michigan Wolverines47c10,172$4,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,780.655541.8%23 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Michigan Wolverines46c9,806$4,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,530.7222645.6%103 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Michigan Wolverines47c9,244$4,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,344.874628.3%13 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-44.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x597e…cd70backed Connecticut Huskies53c9,168$4,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,308.922334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Michigan Wolverines47c9,117$4,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,284.83141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Michigan Wolverines47c5,864$2,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,755.882119%4 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-61.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Michigan Wolverines44c4,956$2,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,191.653,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd33a…2cc4backed Connecticut Huskies54c4,502$2,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,070.851861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Michigan Wolverines45c4,500$2,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0254353.5%23 W · 20 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39eb…0e4cbacked Connecticut Huskies54c4,436$2,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,029.41747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdf6…d7f7backed Connecticut Huskies55c4,239$2,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,908.285552.7%29 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Michigan Wolverines46c4,000$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,84010739.3%42 W · 65 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5748…3c7bbacked Connecticut Huskies53c3,887$2,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,826.982450%12 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Michigan Wolverines48c3,735$1,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,782.185,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0bfc…6762backed Connecticut Huskies57c3,596$2,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Connecticut Huskies55c3,538$1,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,592.183060%18 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Connecticut Huskies54c3,343$1,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,537.834656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Michigan Wolverines49c3,309$1,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,613.831,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Michigan Wolverines48c3,238$1,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,543.7314447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Connecticut Huskies53c3,059$1,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,437.7112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Michigan Wolverines46c2,818$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.823943.6%17 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5669…e058backed Michigan Wolverines47c2,700$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2694854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd21…a494backed Connecticut Huskies50c2,514$1,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Michigan Wolverines45c2,505$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.218744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e36…8463backed Michigan Wolverines47c2,404$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8633…a08dbacked Michigan Wolverines48c2,311$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.282050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Michigan Wolverines47c2,122$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.255450%27 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Connecticut Huskies54c2,042$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.34450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7c…51b6backed Michigan Wolverines46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9201233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb085…7b10backed Michigan Wolverines47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9401050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Michigan Wolverines47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9401030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-44.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Connecticut Huskies53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94024451.2%125 W · 119 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Connecticut Huskies54c1,991$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Connecticut Huskies54c1,945$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.615131.4%16 W · 35 L-8.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-39.2%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked Michigan Wolverines47c1,935$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.322853.6%15 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a3b…2eb3backed Connecticut Huskies53c1,834$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.781435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-38.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71df…5e24backed Michigan Wolverines47c1,800$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Michigan Wolverines52c1,794$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.8619641.8%82 W · 114 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Connecticut Huskies54c1,756$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.7216445.1%74 W · 90 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Connecticut Huskies42c1,600$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.9942934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x420e…e3c9backed Michigan Wolverines47c1,596$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Michigan Wolverines49c1,513$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.372,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c39…56dcbacked Connecticut Huskies39c1,426$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.9825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-42.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeec…a84abacked Connecticut Huskies55c1,373$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.855740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Connecticut Huskies53c1,352$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.528246.3%38 W · 44 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Connecticut Huskies53c1,352$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.5219958.3%116 W · 83 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Connecticut Huskies57c1,329$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.511250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Michigan Wolverines46c1,279$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.4718548.6%90 W · 95 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e25…043ebacked Connecticut Huskies54c1,264$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.51656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Michigan Wolverines46c1,241$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.053,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Connecticut Huskies53c1,230$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.911850%9 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Connecticut Huskies53c1,209$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.917753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Connecticut Huskies53c1,191$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.883655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bca…0d11backed Connecticut Huskies53c1,188$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.44560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Michigan Wolverines47c1,100$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51713343.6%58 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Michigan Wolverines49c1,100$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5392,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Connecticut Huskies54c1,073$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.387550.7%38 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68bf…3e67backed Connecticut Huskies54c1,040$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.621861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Michigan Wolverines47c1,030$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.140%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e88…df66backed Connecticut Huskies53c1,008$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.98580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+32.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Connecticut Huskies53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4701283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+65.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xae46…a663backed Michigan Wolverines47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4701346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x450e…4fddbacked Michigan Wolverines47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4964…a330backed Michigan Wolverines45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4502050%10 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd925…f36fbacked Michigan Wolverines47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x87a7…4972backed Connecticut Huskies54c999.98$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab33…cf5dbacked Connecticut Huskies57c984.06$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.564050%20 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Connecticut Huskies53c971.8$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.752268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+23.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Michigan Wolverines50c970$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48513936.7%51 W · 88 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Connecticut Huskies39c963.4$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.671,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eaa…e34bbacked Connecticut Huskies54c923.66$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Connecticut Huskies45c898.99$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.447447.3%35 W · 39 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+53.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Connecticut Huskies50c897.45$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.733040%12 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Connecticut Huskies55c884.55$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.053369.7%23 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Michigan Wolverines46c841.39$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.041369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+33.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ef…cdd9backed Michigan Wolverines48c807.33$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.523542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd7c…f555backed Michigan Wolverines47c774.56$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.04450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…ca73backed Connecticut Huskies54c769.57$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.351492.9%13 W · 1 L+4.3wins+0.31per pick62cpaid+56%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Connecticut Huskies54c736.11$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.611080%8 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+78.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x8214…ef72backed Michigan Wolverines47c700.58$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.2719446.4%90 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Michigan Wolverines47c650.68$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.059050%45 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Michigan Wolverines47c636.63$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.916459.4%38 W · 26 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Connecticut Huskies54c627.09$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.695561.8%34 W · 21 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.