Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 135.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb404f979e8e0c624aa5cef66c6c778bab4342cfb1c82a0813594d11edf88fe3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed Over | 47c | 16,841$7,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,985.92 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 53c | 8,761$4,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,151.72 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Under | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 56c | 1,673$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.28 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +5.7wins | +0.27per pick | 54cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 52c | 1,342$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.78 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0d…7435backed Over | 50c | 1,295$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.52 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 50c | 793.77$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.89 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 51c | 787$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.26 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 59c | 721.72$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.87 | 83 | 72.3%60 W · 23 L | +14.6wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Under | 50c | 500.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 50c | 291$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 60c | 167.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 51c | 143.61$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.88 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4162…0d18backed Under | 60c | 94.64$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…e980backed Under | 50c | 30.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Under | 51c | 26.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 135.5this page
- Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan WolverinesMichigan Wolverines won
- Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 132.5Under won
- Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 138.5Under won
- Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 141.5Under won
- Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5Under won
- Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 145.5Under won
- Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 146.5Under won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-10.5)Connecticut Huskies won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-4.5)Michigan Wolverines won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-5.5)Michigan Wolverines won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)Connecticut Huskies won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)Connecticut Huskies won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-8.5)Connecticut Huskies won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5)Connecticut Huskies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.