TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$258,527
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$252,960

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $258,527 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf0ff…593dbacked Over56c33,758$18,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,904.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under44c32,016$14,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,937.832846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cd2…31f4backed Over51c28,547$14,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,55910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under49c24,471$11,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,480.223141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under44c23,438$10,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,091.158148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over56c22,844$12,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,792.5335945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c19,547$9,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,259.4812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Under76c17,611$13,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,170.1833438.9%130 W · 204 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe248…f293backed Over51c17,041$8,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,690.8578155.6%434 W · 347 L+38.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over55c15,990$8,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,751.171,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over29c12,070$3,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,539.831,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Under68c11,968$8,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,776.83966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xccc1…889dbacked Under49c10,383$5,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,295.27966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+25.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over34c5,078$1,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,714.931250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under47c5,000$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,629.972,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed Under46c4,207$1,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,271.761450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Under44c3,541$1,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,982.96850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Under49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5301030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-44.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb085…7b10backed Under49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5301050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd925…f36fbacked Under49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,530944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x450e…4fddbacked Under49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,529.99944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under47c2,115$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.893,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7c…51b6backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.9661652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3707…699abacked Over51c1,998$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca6…73e3backed Under49c1,961$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.098946.1%41 W · 48 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c39…56dcbacked Over32c1,918$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.89825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-42.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over41c1,807$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.7549345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfed8…4388backed Over54c1,709$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.62653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Under49c1,700$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8673138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over32c1,561$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.635,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Over57c1,538$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.7848462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under45c1,406$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.743,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over42c1,148$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.188937.1%33 W · 56 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under49c1,100$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56114447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Under49c1,100$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56116341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x002d…2561backed Under49c1,094$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under48c1,019$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.6322047.7%105 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3054…699bbacked Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8ad…c303backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over25c955$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.7514728.6%42 W · 105 L-0.7wins0.00per pick29cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32c…ff08backed Over51c951.57$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.32245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e8b…ed36backed Over57c859.51$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4871353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under51c832.23$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.4246246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfff1…5e20backed Under45c800$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4403100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+136.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over32c679.17$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.142,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe784…e664backed Over55c605.28$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.9616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0437…30f4backed Over50c590.35$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.181361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+24.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed Over30c518.91$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.89633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over50c515.72$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.33655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2804944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under57c492.08$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.529866.3%65 W · 33 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under45c491.61$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.3937246.2%172 W · 200 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab33…cf5dbacked Over56c478.11$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.744050%20 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf43…306abacked Over56c478.11$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.74580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+65.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under49c466.35$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.263441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Over55c463.14$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.723256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over53c457.93$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.111850%9 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over53c449.7$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.788246.3%38 W · 44 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over53c449.7$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.7819958.3%116 W · 83 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Over3c422.02$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.592055%11 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Over33c383.92$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over52c373.54$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb781…9ba9backed Over55c360.01$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.011457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Over56c356.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.5921850.9%111 W · 107 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over53c343.62$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.927753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over50c342.11$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.8811456.1%64 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over55c341.88$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.0311560%69 W · 46 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x246d…c74dbacked Over55c341.43$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.791741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Over53c326.79$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.826765.7%44 W · 23 L+8.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under47c319.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.1412054.2%65 W · 55 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over33c302.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.863,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under49c301.29$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.939154.9%50 W · 41 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb259…8a59backed Under43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-18.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c263.11$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.715,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under60c257.64$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.436127.9%17 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96ac…2c21backed Over50c252$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1261435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Under75c244.41$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0419641.8%82 W · 114 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over52c238.69$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.1669350.4%349 W · 344 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under50c234.5$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.477146.5%33 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under52c216.25$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.876459.4%38 W · 26 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under45c214.67$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.0730152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under50c213.4$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.71656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Over48c202.85$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.872330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Under45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11019238.5%74 W · 118 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over46c199.98$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.994944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Under74c199.54$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.883372.7%24 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Under48c196.1$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.822254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Under49c196.08$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003732.4%12 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-37.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Over55c194.62$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.282853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed Under50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9720642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd23d…9d38backed Over51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.061533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-37.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x931f…2e44backed Under50c190.12$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.062263.6%14 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+36.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over31c187.89$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2444146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under43c182.39$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9616650%83 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under45c180$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9924737.7%93 W · 154 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Under48c180$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.62157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4e4…d947backed Over27c177.08$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8130%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa76d…6a8ebacked Under49c176.11$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.472100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.