TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 145.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$341,053
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$335,976

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $341,053 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over54c284,282$153,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153,161.2135945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under46c177,168$81,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95,218.7846246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under46c60,000$27,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,4008246.3%38 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under47c30,000$14,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,999.968148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over54c18,153$9,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,723.3519958.3%116 W · 83 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c15,205$6,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,312.25,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Under46c12,943$5,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,989.092100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Over51c6,105$3,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,113.613141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under45c6,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,299.9817050.6%86 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c4,374$2,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,274.5712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under49c3,957$1,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,017.9315557.4%89 W · 66 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe784…e664backed Over52c3,590$1,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,866.56616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over28c3,333$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.375,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under45c2,500$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,37589146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under45c2,183$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.8350548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Under49c2,016$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.34450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.9622349.3%110 W · 113 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x561e…2093backed Over51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.953333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5669…e058backed Over52c1,942$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.054854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over29c1,720$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.431250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under46c1,583$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.331,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over52c1,091$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.144440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54042246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdff…b3dcbacked Over52c971.2$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Under53c759.07$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.232330.4%7 W · 16 L-6.1wins-0.26per pick57cpaid-46.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Under48c566.16$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.853647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Over51c499.97$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.981540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under46c489.81$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.133,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over54c399.98$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.9914151.1%72 W · 69 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Over52c388.48$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.013256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under47c386.92$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.472846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under47c335.16$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.7116650%83 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd747…ead8backed Under49c296.76$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.353256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Under49c263.68$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.487258.3%42 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd59e…e640backed Under49c216.39$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.363100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x579a…9908backed Over7c214$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick22cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5157…942bbacked Over54c212.54$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.772236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under48c210$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.257448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Under48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1043847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over52c196.18$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.0121850.5%110 W · 108 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0278…9c8dbacked Under49c193.88$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.881241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3735…3d9dbacked Under49c193.88$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.882927.6%8 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb988…f50fbacked Over54c191.04$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-32.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over53c163.93$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8817742.9%76 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under46c151.9$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.021,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over32c139.69$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.718937.1%33 W · 56 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under71c138.39$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.131172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick63cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Over54c137.11$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.046251.6%32 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Under49c134.75$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.722650%13 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under49c134.75$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.7230152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under47c132.09$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.0127650.7%140 W · 136 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under74c121.21$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.931850%9 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Over21c110.68$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2422953.7%123 W · 106 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d30…5f85backed Over21c110.68$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under72c103.69$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.036459.4%38 W · 26 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under72c103.69$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.037753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under46c103.53$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.912138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-35.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under72c103.48$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.972450%12 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under48c101.72$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.950745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Under48c99.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9914546.9%68 W · 77 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under75c96.96$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.723655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26bb…bcecbacked Over52c92.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over53c91.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.59933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-46.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under72c79.49$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.268246.3%38 W · 44 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Under72c79.49$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.261070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under72c79.49$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.267146.5%33 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under64c79.07$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.81942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under52c76.72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.832,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99d5…9622backed Over54c74.55$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under48c73$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.962875%21 W · 7 L+6.2wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+42.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x02e7…2519backed Over54c72.03$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under46c71.96$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6269350.4%349 W · 344 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Under49c70.77$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.091050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under49c66.89$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.119154.9%50 W · 41 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3437…1e5ebacked Under49c60.1$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.659952.5%52 W · 47 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b70…3102backed Under49c59.35$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.279256.5%52 W · 40 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Under49c58.16$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.664252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Under49c58.16$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.666654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Under47c57.26$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.352142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76b…b834backed Over52c56.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.141060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Under49c52.35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.71776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+33.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under46c49.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Under49c48.47$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.724959.2%29 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Over52c46.62$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.243748.6%18 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+28.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Over32c46.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.881926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick19cpaid-33.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x686b…ca44backed Over54c43.08$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-32.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Over50c42.88$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.48757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over53c42.41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.541833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-46.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Over53c42.41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.546765.7%44 W · 23 L+8.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over53c42.41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.547749.4%38 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Under58c42.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.657646.1%35 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Under48c40.69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.162254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed Under49c39.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+65.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf2…7279backed Under49c39.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.18728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick15cpaid-41.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over50c38.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.513767.6%25 W · 12 L+5.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under46c38.66$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8817551.4%90 W · 85 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x68e7…0169backed Over54c37.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under46c36.64$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.796459.4%38 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ff2…2e8abacked Under49c35.93$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0275…596dbacked Under49c35.61$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.161442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.