TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5669…e058

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
139
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Commodities at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT4854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$519Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+225.1%+$1,168.71
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,269Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,269
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,010.05
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.2
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,000
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-1.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,563Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,562.56
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+74.3%+$190.96
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-4.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.28
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-5.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$696Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$617.36
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,460Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+103.3%+$2,540
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$337
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$118.4
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,060
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-5.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+102.1%+$525.61
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,266Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+79.6%+$1,804.91
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 153.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,480Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$520
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-7.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$912Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$988
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 137.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,020
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-6.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$460
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-3.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,338Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+105.4%+$1,410.19
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 134.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,380Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,620
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,415Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,533.28
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 172.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT3161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+51.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.31
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$170.95
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.2
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.5
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$260.73
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$589.99
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$266.78
Stephen Curry: Points O/U 26.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.99
Paul George: Points O/U 20.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$228.37
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$128.8
LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 22.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$90.05
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$414Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$186
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$290
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$809.99
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$1,639.99
Pistons vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$47.31
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$168
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$132
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$90
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$193.64
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.3
Hornets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.61
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT2123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$107.46
P2P FDV above $10M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.74
P2P FDV above $15M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$143.52
P2P FDV above $5M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.28
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,090Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,090
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.09
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$349.48
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$754Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+112.2%+$845.99
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$429.8
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$628Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+357.5%+$2,244.07
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$76
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$311.45
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$179.26
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$117
Espresso FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$95
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$201.59
Rainbow FDV above $30M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$84
Rainbow FDV above $70M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+289.6%+$155.1
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$120
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$89.15
All 21 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,809Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$781.2
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.86
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$917Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$917.38
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,258Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,257.93
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.56
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,873Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$1,322.72
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,532Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+112.9%+$2,857.72
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.64
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$894Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$505.56
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+73%+$540.31
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$490
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$219.51
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$63
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$271.99
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+376.2%+$158
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.78
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+38.9%+$20.83
Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$367.5
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$71.9
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-54.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,668Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,668.39
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$328.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+104.1%+$119.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+96.1%+$85.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Canucksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+88.7%+$40.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$252
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.