NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1132ea2c6067952ba66148aed8cb47132f5453f69bdb784abd1019e877ed8706
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Hornets, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,069,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,026,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,069,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Magic | 42c | 525,000$220,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304,500 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Hornets | 58c | 505,508$293,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293,194.42 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Magic | 41c | 428,486$175,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252,806.79 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…266ebacked Hornets | 61c | 312,512$190,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190,632.32 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Magic | 66c | 244,304$160,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,760.39 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Hornets | 58c | 217,111$125,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125,924.66 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Magic | 41c | 211,835$85,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125,864.55 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Magic | 41c | 202,566$83,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119,513.94 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Hornets | 52c | 150,346$78,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,583.85 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Magic | 58c | 147,305$85,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,040.18 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Hornets | 38c | 146,651$55,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,547.24 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Hornets | 1c | 134,526$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.21 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Hornets | 14c | 122,290$17,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,245.34 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Magic | 71c | 121,647$85,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,802.21 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Magic | 43c | 113,369$48,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,090.69 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…ffcdbacked Hornets | 25c | 100,303$24,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,903.04 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Hornets | 58c | 99,321$57,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,947.69 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Magic | 40c | 94,359$38,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,317.73 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8293…ddf4backed Magic | 42c | 92,461$38,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,627.45 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Hornets | 0c | 90,260$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.52 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Magic | 40c | 90,000$35,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,399.99 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Magic | 39c | 89,618$35,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,283.06 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…e677backed Hornets | 59c | 88,924$52,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,142.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Hornets | 53c | 88,495$47,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,219.57 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Magic | 38c | 82,088$31,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,544.72 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…e403backed Hornets | 58c | 76,482$44,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,359.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Hornets | 57c | 67,517$38,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,484.68 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…465cbacked Hornets | 61c | 66,402$40,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,505.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Magic | 43c | 65,753$28,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,748.61 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Hornets | 26c | 65,630$16,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,825.01 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Hornets | 2c | 52,648$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.65 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Hornets | 57c | 52,340$29,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,833.67 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Hornets | 60c | 50,309$29,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,982.4 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Magic | 53c | 47,405$25,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,169.36 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Magic | 42c | 45,962$19,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,657.9 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Magic | 39c | 38,000$14,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,180 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Hornets | 18c | 35,424$6,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,331.58 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…1c08backed Hornets | 59c | 35,000$20,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,650 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…99ddbacked Hornets | 25c | 33,870$8,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,397.46 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Hornets | 1c | 32,675$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.39 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Hornets | 58c | 31,698$18,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,384.6 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Magic | 39c | 31,279$12,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,080.01 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Hornets | 2c | 30,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed Hornets | 1c | 29,008$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.85 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Magic | 54c | 28,953$15,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,367.84 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Magic | 47c | 27,807$13,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,768.7 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Hornets | 60c | 25,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Hornets | 29c | 25,000$7,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,250 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Hornets | 45c | 24,812$11,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,129.81 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Hornets | 16c | 23,318$3,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,787.87 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Hornets | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,599.98 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked Hornets | 62c | 19,538$12,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,015.9 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x938f…a768backed Hornets | 5c | 19,272$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.59 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a6…b1c2backed Hornets | 3c | 19,100$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 371 | 41.8%155 W · 216 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Hornets | 1c | 19,034$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.34 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…a3e3backed Hornets | 2c | 18,830$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.07 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b52…568ebacked Hornets | 58c | 18,460$10,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,723.4 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Hornets | 10c | 16,732$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.69 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Hornets | 37c | 16,585$6,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,101.23 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Magic | 42c | 16,332$6,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,488.55 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Hornets | 52c | 16,132$8,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,330.05 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Hornets | 52c | 14,662$7,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,581.13 | 179 | 62%111 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Magic | 42c | 14,555$6,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,441.9 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Hornets | 59c | 14,367$8,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,536.67 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Hornets | 58c | 14,239$8,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,258.36 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…5318backed Hornets | 60c | 13,712$8,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,182.43 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…ccc1backed Hornets | 4c | 13,712$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.21 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…80d0backed Hornets | 2c | 13,636$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.14 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Magic | 39c | 13,500$5,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,189.98 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Magic | 39c | 13,500$5,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,189.95 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 73c | 12,302$8,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,352.23 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Hornets | 58c | 12,237$7,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,097.29 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Hornets | 58c | 12,235$7,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,096.58 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Hornets | 25c | 11,876$3,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,004.65 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…243cbacked Hornets | 59c | 11,805$6,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,922.87 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Hornets | 51c | 11,626$5,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,931.57 | 356 | 50%178 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…ffbbbacked Hornets | 62c | 11,608$7,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,196.84 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Hornets | 43c | 11,469$4,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,970.82 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…24cabacked Hornets | 0c | 11,281$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Hornets | 17c | 10,972$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.16 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Magic | 59c | 10,724$6,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,384.53 | 252 | 26.6%67 W · 185 L | -26.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…8ed1backed Magic | 39c | 10,300$4,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,283 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac39…95c7backed Magic | 43c | 10,107$4,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,761.11 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +90%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Hornets | 16c | 10,026$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.53 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Hornets | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Magic | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,800 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f5…51e3backed Hornets | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Hornets | 58c | 10,000$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,849.99 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e94…7f1ebacked Hornets | 2c | 10,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…5ee3backed Hornets | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.95 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…b062backed Hornets | 8c | 9,894$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.08 | 548 | 38%208 W · 340 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Magic | 41c | 9,826$4,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,799.07 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hornets | 9c | 9,336$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.04 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…cd88backed Hornets | 59c | 8,900$5,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,251 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6012…685abacked Hornets | 9c | 8,824$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.01 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 41c | 8,754$3,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,172.99 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b8…b4d4backed Hornets | 13c | 8,697$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.14 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Magic | 65c | 8,538$5,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,954.47 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Hornets | 1c | 8,536$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ac…6ab1backed Hornets | 8c | 8,504$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.9 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Magicthis page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-1.5)Magic won
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Coby White: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Coby White: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Franz Wagner: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Hornets vs. Magic: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 210.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 211.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 213.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 214.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 216.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 217.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 218.5Under won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 16.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Miles Bridges: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-24.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-27.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-9.5)Magic won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.