NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 216.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaad2f4adab3e0d6c955404c73a2f3b9634bd71fe750336389d32aa5c2b33450c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 50c | 1,974$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.22 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 50c | 1,942$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.96 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 55c | 552.43$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.85 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 50c | 473.89$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.57 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 45c | 371.36$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.22 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Over | 49c | 331.82$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.25 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 51c | 276.79$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.34 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 49c | 267.49$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.49 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 209.85$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.63 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…036ebacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Under | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 57c | 184.59$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.37 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf30d…0f56backed Over | 54c | 151.25$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.01 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 52c | 124.09$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.71 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 18c | 122.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.91 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +32.5wins | +0.23per pick | 16cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…7620backed Over | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 55c | 95.35$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.91 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…a86fbacked Over | 31c | 91.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Under | 50c | 85.94$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 67.24$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 48c | 65.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 16c | 63.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 63c | 63.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 52c | 58.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b56…724fbacked Over | 54c | 53.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 56c | 48.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Under | 54c | 40.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Under | 43c | 26.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | -18.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…18c6backed Over | 53c | 24.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…9aa2backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 216.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-1.5)Magic won
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Coby White: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Coby White: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Franz Wagner: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Hornets vs. MagicMagic won
- Hornets vs. Magic: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 210.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 211.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 213.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 214.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 217.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 218.5Under won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 16.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Miles Bridges: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-24.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-27.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-9.5)Magic won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.