NBA · resolved market
Coby White: Points O/U 13.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa78eff3f191c25ca746f9052af37010b1b1c006405a8cca2a31f0352cc355ad9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x78ae…143abacked Yes | 55c | 988.65$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.92 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 45c | 653.71$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.13 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfea…dc29backed Yes | 55c | 346.1$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.33 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 45c | 317.59$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.67 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 44c | 224.4$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.66 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…57febacked Yes | 56c | 173.52$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.86 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed No | 46c | 167.65$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed No | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…f611backed Yes | 55c | 97.3$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 42c | 84.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.81 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked No | 46c | 80.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 48c | 74.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 367 | 49.6%182 W · 185 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce27…8a7dbacked Yes | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 44c | 73.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0278…5f1fbacked Yes | 56c | 65.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…2b18backed No | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed No | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Yes | 54c | 44.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 317 | 48.9%155 W · 162 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed No | 46c | 42.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf376…d88abacked Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…884abacked Yes | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 258 | 50%129 W · 129 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed No | 45c | 32.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 193 | 52.8%102 W · 91 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41bd…2de1backed Yes | 55c | 26.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…f8a2backed No | 48c | 25.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 44c | 24.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…eb14backed Yes | 56c | 22.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -6.2wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Yes | 55c | 19.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…8263backed Yes | 56c | 19.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Coby White: Points O/U 13.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-1.5)Magic won
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Coby White: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Franz Wagner: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Hornets vs. MagicMagic won
- Hornets vs. Magic: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 210.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 211.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 213.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 214.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 216.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 217.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 218.5Under won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 16.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Miles Bridges: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-24.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-27.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-9.5)Magic won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.