NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 217.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90ffdae94e21ffcb93c4c34ad6374b64037b0751546dfd8ee9b7658b8ebde9b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $227,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $232,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 274 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 50c | 46,505$23,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,252.67 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 49c | 25,274$12,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,298.19 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 25,269$12,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,637.9 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Under | 51c | 20,413$10,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,002.3 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8c…b92fbacked Under | 47c | 17,764$8,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,414.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Over | 53c | 14,577$7,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,725.81 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 48c | 11,070$5,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,756.25 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 51c | 11,026$5,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,402.6 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 10,823$5,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,627.94 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 10,632$5,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,170.62 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Under | 50c | 9,763$4,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,914.12 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 47c | 8,509$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,509.53 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 50c | 6,799$3,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,405.01 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…ca79backed Under | 51c | 6,662$3,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,264.74 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 52c | 5,827$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,030.14 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 50c | 5,203$2,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,601.62 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Under | 50c | 3,880$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Over | 51c | 3,528$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.4 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Over | 53c | 2,982$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.24 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f9…bcd9backed Over | 52c | 2,981$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.04 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd3…8cfdbacked Over | 53c | 2,934$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 2,894$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.44 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9e…4a90backed Over | 51c | 2,307$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 2,269$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.76 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…a813backed Over | 52c | 1,764$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.34 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 42c | 1,753$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.26 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under | 56c | 1,652$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.72 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 1,632$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.98 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 49c | 1,540$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.35 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 75c | 1,530$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.19 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95c6…c6e1backed Over | 53c | 1,452$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 70c | 1,265$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.98 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…b180backed Over | 52c | 1,177$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.02 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…0553backed Over | 53c | 1,166$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.06 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 48c | 1,164$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.54 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b1…8396backed Over | 52c | 1,059$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.51 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Under | 50c | 1,037$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.61 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 48c | 1,012$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.39 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Over | 50c | 1,004$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.08 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 51c | 1,000$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacc5…c31fbacked Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Over | 51c | 999.95$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.97 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 49c | 999.93$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.96 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Under | 50c | 999.85$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.93 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 51c | 907.22$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.72 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 49c | 890$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.1 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 52c | 884.32$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.56 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 23c | 793.06$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.5 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd707…9ecabacked Over | 50c | 776$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 53c | 766.95$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.18 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 50c | 728.58$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.29 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 50c | 721.04$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.78 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Over | 50c | 693.94$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.32 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Under | 51c | 657.29$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.07 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 49c | 638.66$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.35 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…3ce4backed Under | 51c | 570.94$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.76 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf229…d5f7backed Over | 52c | 566.21$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 53c | 550.08$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.54 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164d…50c0backed Over | 59c | 533.7$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.99 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60e…d332backed Over | 73c | 530.56$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Over | 52c | 510.12$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.26 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 53c | 489.13$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.47 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Over | 52c | 485.6$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.51 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Over | 51c | 485.3$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 20c | 405$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.04 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +32.5wins | +0.23per pick | 16cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x8402…83bcbacked Over | 50c | 404.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf9…c81bbacked Over | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…b517backed Over | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb240…df51backed Over | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.36 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.6wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Over | 51c | 342.43$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.66 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 46c | 332.33$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.22 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 51c | 326.8$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.67 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Over | 40c | 316.67$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.67 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 40c | 313.23$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.37 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 59c | 312.88$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.06 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…6b1fbacked Over | 51c | 307.98$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.07 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8132…6c42backed Under | 49c | 296.76$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x760a…26d6backed Over | 52c | 280.15$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 47c | 278.1$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.53 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 48c | 277.01$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.05 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…ccc1backed Over | 53c | 275.04$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.77 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…d31abacked Over | 24c | 268.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.02 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7fbcbacked Over | 55c | 267.13$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.92 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 48c | 226.69$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.88 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d9…1f23backed Under | 49c | 217.62$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Under | 48c | 211.93$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.2 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a33…4f20backed Over | 52c | 211.12$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 50c | 204.4$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 43c | 202.81$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Under | 48c | 199.82$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.9 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16d3…cc4fbacked Under | 49c | 199.08$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ee…6b9bbacked Over | 53c | 198.03$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.95 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…45d4backed Under | 49c | 197.96$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Over | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x740c…b5fdbacked Under | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda55…ae5ebacked Under | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb497…fa4dbacked Under | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 217.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-1.5)Magic won
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Coby White: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Coby White: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Franz Wagner: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Hornets vs. MagicMagic won
- Hornets vs. Magic: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 210.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 211.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 213.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 214.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 216.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 218.5Under won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 16.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Miles Bridges: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-24.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-27.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-9.5)Magic won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.