TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

1H Spread: Hornets (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Magicof Hornets, Magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,370
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,233

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,370 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20c0…fdb8backed Hornets0c11,281$11 inLost-$11.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Hornets51c6,019$3,070 inLost-$3,069.6732846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Magic49c4,689$2,297 inWon+$2,391.25935.6%21 W · 38 L-8.3wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Hornets52c3,853$2,004 inLost-$2,004.0417052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Magic49c1,969$965 inWon+$1,004.391,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Magic48c1,447$694 inWon+$752.852,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Magic49c1,035$507 inWon+$5281,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Magic47c1,016$477 inWon+$538.315,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Hornets53c786.61$417 inLost-$416.928838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Magic47c672.23$316 inWon+$356.2850346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed Magic47c659.99$310 inWon+$349.83948.7%19 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Hornets53c366.72$194 inLost-$194.3636248.1%174 W · 188 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce27…8a7dbacked Hornets14c281.14$38 inLost-$38.2613441%55 W · 79 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x81b0…858cbacked Hornets53c275.04$146 inLost-$145.773246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Hornets51c264$135 inLost-$134.6456843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Magic47c250$118 inWon+$132.52,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Hornets51c205.67$105 inLost-$104.891,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Magic50c194$97 inWon+$9710745.8%49 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Hornets53c135.69$72 inLost-$71.9126545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Hornets52c91.61$48 inLost-$47.6476552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Magic47c90.72$43 inWon+$48.0814052.1%73 W · 67 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Hornets51c66.61$34 inLost-$33.9715846.8%74 W · 84 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Magic79c54.82$43 inWon+$11.371,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Magic50c48.5$24 inWon+$24.2516842.3%71 W · 97 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Hornets53c43.9$23 inLost-$23.2620146.8%94 W · 107 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e7…93aabacked Hornets53c28.53$15 inLost-$15.12742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.