NBA · resolved market
Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcfef7625f9911f3f125bbeae0105414056f0a9c72938e75c279ce2579a9d40c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 44c | 1,158$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.79 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…bfc2backed Yes | 57c | 558.95$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.99 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 48c | 469.5$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.14 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 44c | 345.26$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.35 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes | 53c | 343.99$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.86 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb409…03e9backed Yes | 59c | 307.3$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.81 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Yes | 52c | 291.81$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.74 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…b31fbacked Yes | 52c | 233.46$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.4 | 143 | 57.3%82 W · 61 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…e303backed Yes | 56c | 208.95$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.83 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 56c | 208.76$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.83 | 300 | 55.7%167 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…57febacked Yes | 55c | 174.97$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.83 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed No | 45c | 159.52$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.73 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked No | 47c | 139.42$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.89 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed No | 46c | 135.82$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 400 | 53.5%214 W · 186 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 42c | 110.69$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.06 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfea…dc29backed Yes | 56c | 101.14$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.37 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x183b…7ebebacked Yes | 58c | 83.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c43…31c1backed No | 48c | 60.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed No | 46c | 59.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Yes | 55c | 53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked No | 46c | 52.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Yes | 52c | 48.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd210…92dfbacked Yes | 56c | 39.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 216 | 46.3%100 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Yes | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 317 | 48.9%155 W · 162 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…884abacked Yes | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 258 | 50%129 W · 129 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 53c | 32.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 437 | 52.6%230 W · 207 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked No | 46c | 27.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed No | 45c | 27.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 193 | 52.8%102 W · 91 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 62c | 24.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Yes | 57c | 24.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-1.5)Magic won
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Coby White: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Coby White: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Franz Wagner: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Hornets vs. MagicMagic won
- Hornets vs. Magic: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 210.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 211.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 213.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 214.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 216.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 217.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 218.5Under won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 16.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Miles Bridges: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-24.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-27.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-9.5)Magic won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.