TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf376…d88a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Golf, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Golf at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2536%9 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-28.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.53
NBA Playoffs: Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Total Games O/U 5.5backed Over 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+98%+$9.9
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Amen Thompson: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.93
LeBron James: Points O/U 24.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.38
Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 21.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.28
Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 12.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+51%+$16.62
Coby White: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.45
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.46
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+66%+$12.53
Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 25.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$6.8
Jamal Murray: Points O/U 24.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.85
Nets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.96
Nets vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 112.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.08
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.01
Pistons vs. Hawksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Hornets vs. Knicksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.7
Nets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+64.7%+$27.5
Timberwolves vs. Bullsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Rockets vs. Hawksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$54.07
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+100%+$20
Grizzlies vs. Hornetsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
All 25 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-43%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
South Carolina Gamecocks vs. UCLA Bruins (W)backed UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$7.12
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$13.48
South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Connecticut Huskies (W)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 133.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$41.37
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.67
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.53
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.28
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.85
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.8
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+120.8%+$49.42
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.03
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$11.67
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$15.9
All 3 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+203%+$60.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Paddy Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$26.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.