TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
St. John's Red Stormof St. John's Red Storm, Kansas Jayhawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,899,995

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,899,995 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 878 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2b3f…3446backed St. John's Red Storm62c127,968$79,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,627.945367.9%36 W · 17 L+9.6wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+32.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Kansas Jayhawks38c89,538$34,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,257.641,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Kansas Jayhawks17c66,769$11,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,440.6410041%41 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Kansas Jayhawks39c56,096$21,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,877.582222.7%5 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-59.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4f5…1079backed Kansas Jayhawks9c54,819$4,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,701.926752.2%35 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kansas Jayhawks16c49,233$8,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,105.3525145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked St. John's Red Storm60c47,386$28,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,749.8639454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed St. John's Red Storm61c45,672$27,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,811.966149.2%30 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Kansas Jayhawks23c45,477$10,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,508.463240.6%13 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde7b…5f4bbacked Kansas Jayhawks39c39,667$15,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,470.112729.6%8 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed St. John's Red Storm61c38,441$23,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,991.81771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+39%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed St. John's Red Storm72c30,782$22,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,613.775100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ebf…3b02backed Kansas Jayhawks38c29,802$11,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,324.851866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Kansas Jayhawks13c28,950$3,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,662.4914447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Kansas Jayhawks14c27,961$4,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,023.7434343.4%149 W · 194 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Kansas Jayhawks16c26,906$4,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,436.1628539.6%113 W · 172 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked St. John's Red Storm61c26,790$16,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,436.2312251.6%63 W · 59 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Kansas Jayhawks19c25,927$4,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,926.0684147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked St. John's Red Storm61c24,270$14,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,428.321338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked St. John's Red Storm75c23,442$17,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,941.025,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed St. John's Red Storm61c22,885$13,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,925.0917643.8%77 W · 99 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbca6…73e3backed Kansas Jayhawks20c21,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2008946.1%41 W · 48 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9aa…bb40backed Kansas Jayhawks24c20,318$4,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,874.61735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-38.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Kansas Jayhawks40c20,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,000922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-63.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x22e4…ef1cbacked Kansas Jayhawks39c20,000$7,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,799.91540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30d1…cd88backed Kansas Jayhawks30c19,994$5,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,998.08837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-48.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6368…6dc8backed St. John's Red Storm62c18,459$11,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,014.586056.7%34 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Kansas Jayhawks31c18,118$5,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,610.2518954.5%103 W · 86 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Kansas Jayhawks36c17,830$6,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,506.994436.4%16 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc825…4530backed Kansas Jayhawks15c17,285$2,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,578.851844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-13.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed St. John's Red Storm61c15,659$9,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,161.612962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked St. John's Red Storm61c15,000$9,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,85010745.8%49 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x184f…05e5backed St. John's Red Storm62c14,147$8,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,330.823129%9 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x097b…1d82backed Kansas Jayhawks39c14,000$5,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,389.981752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas Jayhawks38c13,460$5,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,114.9418744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed St. John's Red Storm80c13,437$10,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,718.033,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked St. John's Red Storm72c12,760$9,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,565.931,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked St. John's Red Storm60c12,224$7,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,831.1612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Kansas Jayhawks21c11,957$2,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,534.831837.7%120 W · 198 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0416…9b31backed Kansas Jayhawks22c11,883$2,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,580.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Kansas Jayhawks21c11,784$2,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,468.633438.9%130 W · 204 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd39…109dbacked St. John's Red Storm61c10,704$6,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,174.572268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed St. John's Red Storm61c10,497$6,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,050.6614930.2%45 W · 104 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Kansas Jayhawks19c10,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90022645.6%103 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a13…4593backed Kansas Jayhawks39c10,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,899.993641.7%15 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Kansas Jayhawks39c9,917$3,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,867.5312364.2%79 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc5b…1edcbacked St. John's Red Storm62c9,598$5,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,647.1850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+29.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed St. John's Red Storm62c9,278$5,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,525.531546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Kansas Jayhawks40c9,023$3,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.3116341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e33…5825backed Kansas Jayhawks27c8,891$2,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,409.64520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3846…9742backed St. John's Red Storm61c8,743$5,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,409.743956.4%22 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f4…9d7fbacked St. John's Red Storm61c8,000$4,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,120250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e77…2757backed St. John's Red Storm62c7,933$4,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,014.562450%12 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb74…997cbacked Kansas Jayhawks39c7,864$3,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,066.791838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f8d…6790backed Kansas Jayhawks39c7,828$3,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,056.224535.6%16 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked Kansas Jayhawks39c7,712$3,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,007.781631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-30.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed St. John's Red Storm61c7,500$4,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,92530139.2%118 W · 183 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Kansas Jayhawks16c7,478$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.675349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0447…3cd9backed Kansas Jayhawks40c7,437$2,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,974.81861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+58.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked St. John's Red Storm61c7,182$4,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,800.7916053.8%86 W · 74 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77d4…3983backed St. John's Red Storm72c7,016$5,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,954.665341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc4a…a3a3backed Kansas Jayhawks40c7,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.9740%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Kansas Jayhawks32c6,869$2,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,211.470936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked St. John's Red Storm79c6,815$5,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,427.964,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Kansas Jayhawks1c6,151$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.62160%0 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Kansas Jayhawks26c6,079$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.672,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebfd…dd70backed Kansas Jayhawks24c6,069$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.293345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57e9…df05backed Kansas Jayhawks28c6,030$1,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,686.941323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Kansas Jayhawks19c6,007$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.922,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fcd…445ebacked Kansas Jayhawks1c6,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79fb…c230backed Kansas Jayhawks1c6,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Kansas Jayhawks31c5,993$1,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,828.348350.6%42 W · 41 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56be…57eebacked Kansas Jayhawks39c5,950$2,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,320.523638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked St. John's Red Storm60c5,664$3,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,265.481,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Kansas Jayhawks19c5,291$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.9920548.8%100 W · 105 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x400e…0fc7backed St. John's Red Storm61c5,130$3,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Kansas Jayhawks39c5,086$1,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,983.3521248.1%102 W · 110 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf99e…4d03backed Kansas Jayhawks1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked St. John's Red Storm61c5,000$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,95011048.2%53 W · 57 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7b8…e32bbacked Kansas Jayhawks1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6dc…a4a1backed Kansas Jayhawks1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x417e…85e4backed Kansas Jayhawks1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb91…b665backed Kansas Jayhawks40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.20per pick44cpaid-59.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked St. John's Red Storm61c5,000$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,949.992,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7e9…bdacbacked Kansas Jayhawks38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.998046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Kansas Jayhawks30c4,992$1,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,486.7442934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked St. John's Red Storm71c4,964$3,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.556127.9%17 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kansas Jayhawks31c4,963$1,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,538.490645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Kansas Jayhawks39c4,951$1,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,930.852650%13 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5778…3acabacked St. John's Red Storm61c4,798$2,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,870.732100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+84%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e87…163cbacked Kansas Jayhawks39c4,768$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,859.6944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick61cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61aa…ff6fbacked St. John's Red Storm79c4,617$3,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.12862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Kansas Jayhawks26c4,584$1,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,191.922864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c14…68f3backed Kansas Jayhawks2c4,500$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.580%0 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed St. John's Red Storm75c4,455$3,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.541758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Kansas Jayhawks39c4,397$1,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,714.775541.8%23 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Kansas Jayhawks26c4,322$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.794,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Kansas Jayhawks1c4,300$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3195.3%1 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick5cpaid-55%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Kansas Jayhawks26c4,120$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.861020%2 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9478…63f5backed Kansas Jayhawks36c4,082$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.84812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick36cpaid-80%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.