TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 144.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$439,727

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $439,727 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34b9…51f6backed Over52c56,216$29,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,390.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c2b…2575backed Over50c55,709$28,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,067.760949.8%303 W · 306 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c53,051$25,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,229.3812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c31,343$15,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,790.6825145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under50c31,307$15,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,534.2339454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2537…bff9backed Over51c29,738$15,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,166.1844452.7%234 W · 210 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c19,132$9,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,906.832,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over51c16,851$8,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,594.1774051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Over51c12,500$6,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,374.9812054.2%65 W · 55 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cf6…af1ebacked Over49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9001513.3%2 W · 13 L-4.8wins-0.32per pick45cpaid-74.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Over50c9,996$4,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9982729.6%8 W · 19 L-5.6wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-40.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Under49c9,921$4,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,059.8214854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc38…1e98backed Under49c8,093$3,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,127.474654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Over1c8,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80160%0 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05fd…50c9backed Under49c8,000$3,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0801553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick38cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under49c7,447$3,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,804.43,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under64c7,405$4,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,668.791,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ff9…a78bbacked Under49c7,393$3,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,747.83977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick52cpaid+45.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xebfd…dd70backed Under49c6,995$3,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,567.423345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed Under38c5,660$2,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,509.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9032…8717backed Under51c4,966$2,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,433.473053.3%16 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+43.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Under49c4,815$2,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,455.485349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e49…ae9dbacked Under49c4,686$2,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,389.634143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c4,514$2,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,316.965,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Over49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96018048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200e…4048backed Over49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9602035%7 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c3,500$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,819.9118744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed Over49c3,363$1,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,647.913343.6%58 W · 75 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3b2…2171backed Under49c3,143$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,602.783545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Under68c3,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9609839.8%39 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over52c2,983$1,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551.3355749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over62c2,559$1,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,586.812445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Over52c2,383$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.081118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick48cpaid-65.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under50c2,368$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.772,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over59c2,345$1,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,383.284,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under50c2,020$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.118556.8%105 W · 80 L+14.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x699d…0501backed Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0201353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5669…e058backed Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0204854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd817…ac33backed Under51c1,990$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.328444%37 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over14c1,792$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.295,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Under49c1,553$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.8213343.6%58 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9797…c193backed Under49c1,339$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.961338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Over1c1,300$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1690%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x694d…c5a4backed Under52c1,209$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.085352.8%28 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x743a…ddcdbacked Over49c1,100$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5396142.6%26 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+49.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe74a…f1bfbacked Over50c1,100$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5502544%11 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over20c1,097$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.7714728.6%42 W · 105 L-0.7wins0.00per pick29cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked Over49c1,075$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.755740.4%23 W · 34 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under57c1,045$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.752,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4d6…d65fbacked Under51c1,010$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.95639.3%22 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c9e…8a70backed Over49c1,010$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.861637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4059…3371backed Under49c1,010$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.973847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52042948.5%208 W · 221 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x201a…66a8backed Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4904337.2%16 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x91db…6fb2backed Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4905843.1%25 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbcc…edc9backed Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5103775.7%28 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5b0…f655backed Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4904438.6%17 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xae46…a663backed Over50c991.25$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.631346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under50c991.25$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.6313350.4%67 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over15c924.48$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.418754%47 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under49c917.4$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.8714447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa59…75ecbacked Over50c837.23$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.6214346.9%67 W · 76 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Under49c800$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40812344.7%55 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f04…6a54backed Over32c741.51$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.61947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under49c700$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35716147.2%76 W · 85 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Over2c700$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13220%0 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under57c692.18$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.5764647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over52c622.51$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.1978052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over52c622$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.4431448.7%153 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under58c579.43$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.738372.3%60 W · 23 L+14.6wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+31.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x6797…42fbbacked Under49c552.58$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.822356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f1…2d5fbacked Under49c547.08$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.013154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over21c529.54$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.766538.5%25 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under48c507.81$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.63,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x246d…c74dbacked Over51c485.91$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.811741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x771d…e0ebbacked Under49c404.59$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.34977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+47.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf1e…63bbbacked Under49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2041450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Over52c396.51$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.182236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Over34c388.63$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.844560%27 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Under50c382.33$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.1610458.7%61 W · 43 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Under75c359.98$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.514542.2%19 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Under49c358.93$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.065350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Under76c352.98$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.4125246.4%117 W · 135 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x126d…f863backed Over49c335$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.152646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over25c325.85$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4614325.9%37 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Under49c323.84$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.1615850%79 W · 79 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdff8…3c8bbacked Under51c312.24$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1532951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under48c309.11$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.7416650%83 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63ae…97c0backed Over12c299.09$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.832516%4 W · 21 L-6.0wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-64.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x35f9…e09dbacked Over58c297.44$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.526235.5%22 W · 40 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…2037backed Over51c291.53$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.685350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Under76c273.27$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7649747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Over59c250.93$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.0519147.6%91 W · 100 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Under50c237.9$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.953953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under48c231.44$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.358535.3%30 W · 55 L-8.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under55c227.38$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3222250%111 W · 111 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c212.39$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.441,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4027…7982backed Under51c211.29$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.53683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+68.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Over52c208.17$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.2516054.4%87 W · 73 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6799…0ecebacked Under51c205.34$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.62450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.