Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f160d10be07d555f2ccbf1dc62fde7beb62ee2d5577ae419fa0d008d90d1f00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas Jayhawksof St. John's Red Storm, Kansas Jayhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $788,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $788,802 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 367 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed St. John's Red Storm | 63c | 104,402$65,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,613.89 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3f…3446backed St. John's Red Storm | 51c | 85,263$43,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,483.58 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +9.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 73,660$36,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,830.15 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked St. John's Red Storm | 51c | 61,218$30,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,917.04 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 56,117$27,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,202.79 | 177 | 42.9%76 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 54,261$27,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,130.63 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Kansas Jayhawks | 31c | 52,137$16,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,974.44 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 45,863$22,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,390.35 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 44,642$22,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,309.76 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 36,732$18,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,593.06 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf40…87debacked Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 30,248$15,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,123.97 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 26,210$13,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,104.87 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Kansas Jayhawks | 19c | 24,100$4,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,520.77 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked St. John's Red Storm | 58c | 16,057$9,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,253.23 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 10,808$5,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,355.89 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 10,100$4,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,165.97 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 9,124$4,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,623.22 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked St. John's Red Storm | 49c | 9,101$4,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,479.3 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 8,982$4,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,490.91 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 7,930$3,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,965 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 7,534$3,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,754.86 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 6,868$3,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,433.93 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c6…47debacked St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 6,257$3,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,128.5 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5748…3c7bbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 5,700$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.84 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed St. John's Red Storm | 49c | 5,456$2,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,673.41 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Kansas Jayhawks | 31c | 5,227$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,606.34 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +16.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. John's Red Storm | 55c | 5,126$2,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800.92 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…2171backed St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 4,795$2,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,417.27 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 4,718$2,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,403.47 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 4,620$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310.14 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed St. John's Red Storm | 69c | 4,484$3,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,114.68 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 4,025$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.74 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…905bbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 51c | 4,010$2,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.76 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Kansas Jayhawks | 31c | 3,890$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,684.32 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 3,853$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.92 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 3,764$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.8 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…1cc7backed St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 3,315$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.64 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 3,175$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.53 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 2,942$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.22 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 48c | 2,760$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.76 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0447…3cd9backed Kansas Jayhawks | 32c | 2,730$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.73 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 2,693$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.41 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d4…3983backed St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Kansas Jayhawks | 48c | 2,500$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 2,310$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Kansas Jayhawks | 48c | 2,204$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.49 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 2,092$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.77 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8f03backed St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 2,030$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.92 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9032…8717backed Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 2,005$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.48 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…b04bbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 2,002$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.16 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 2,000$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.67 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 1,993$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.66 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Kansas Jayhawks | 21c | 1,992$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.65 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed St. John's Red Storm | 54c | 1,841$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.34 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed St. John's Red Storm | 58c | 1,800$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.31 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed St. John's Red Storm | 40c | 1,543$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.84 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 1,460$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed St. John's Red Storm | 70c | 1,435$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.6 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 1,415$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.56 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 1,388$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 1,337$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.66 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked St. John's Red Storm | 51c | 1,283$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.46 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Kansas Jayhawks | 42c | 1,251$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.15 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed St. John's Red Storm | 51c | 1,219$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.8 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kansas Jayhawks | 21c | 1,215$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.4 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 1,184$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.33 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked St. John's Red Storm | 51c | 1,182$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.33 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc339…ba5bbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 1,140$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.97 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x743a…ddcdbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas Jayhawks | 24c | 1,068$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.5 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 1,060$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 1,041$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.34 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked St. John's Red Storm | 51c | 1,034$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41d0…fe91backed St. John's Red Storm | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.41 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 1,011$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.54 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 1,010$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 1,005$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.58 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6586…c69cbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68f9…0be1backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec4…b8e5backed St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed St. John's Red Storm | 51c | 991.25$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.54 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 991.25$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.63 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf638…aa50backed St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 991.25$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.63 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 991.25$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.63 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 981.3$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.65 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 938.19$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.43 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 918.84$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.88 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 899.96$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.98 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x126d…f863backed St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 893.24$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.62 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed St. John's Red Storm | 51c | 852.46$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.76 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 850$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75e…4f85backed St. John's Red Storm | 49c | 823.55$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 809.91$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.53 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 809.19$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.69 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f04…6a54backed Kansas Jayhawks | 40c | 805.37$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.26 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)this page
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-10.5)Kansas Jayhawks won
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-5.5)Kansas Jayhawks won
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-6.5)Kansas Jayhawks won
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-7.5)Kansas Jayhawks won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas JayhawksSt. John's Red Storm won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 132.5Under won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 135.5Under won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 144.5Under won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 145.5Under won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 150.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.