TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kansas Jayhawksof St. John's Red Storm, Kansas Jayhawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$788,802

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $788,802 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 367 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed St. John's Red Storm63c104,402$65,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,613.8925145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3f…3446backed St. John's Red Storm51c85,263$43,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,483.585367.9%36 W · 17 L+9.6wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+32.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x2643…39aebacked St. John's Red Storm50c73,660$36,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,830.156245.2%28 W · 34 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked St. John's Red Storm51c61,218$30,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,917.0439454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Kansas Jayhawks50c56,117$27,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,202.7917742.9%76 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Kansas Jayhawks50c54,261$27,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,130.633455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Kansas Jayhawks31c52,137$16,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,974.4414940.3%60 W · 89 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Kansas Jayhawks49c45,863$22,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,390.356149.2%30 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked St. John's Red Storm50c44,642$22,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,309.762,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kansas Jayhawks49c36,732$18,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,593.0612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf40…87debacked Kansas Jayhawks50c30,248$15,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,123.973850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Kansas Jayhawks50c26,210$13,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,104.873158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Kansas Jayhawks19c24,100$4,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,520.7721636.1%78 W · 138 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked St. John's Red Storm58c16,057$9,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,253.2333438.9%130 W · 204 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked Kansas Jayhawks50c10,808$5,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,355.897951.9%41 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kansas Jayhawks49c10,100$4,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,165.975,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Kansas Jayhawks49c9,124$4,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,623.2227755.2%153 W · 124 L+19.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked St. John's Red Storm49c9,101$4,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,479.346246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kansas Jayhawks50c8,982$4,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,490.9190645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed St. John's Red Storm50c7,930$3,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,96518548.6%90 W · 95 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Kansas Jayhawks50c7,534$3,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,754.8610543.8%46 W · 59 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed St. John's Red Storm50c6,868$3,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,433.932445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c6…47debacked St. John's Red Storm50c6,257$3,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,128.52927.6%8 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-45.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5748…3c7bbacked Kansas Jayhawks50c5,700$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,849.842450%12 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0549…c052backed St. John's Red Storm49c5,456$2,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,673.411947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Kansas Jayhawks31c5,227$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,606.3415453.9%83 W · 71 L+16.8wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked St. John's Red Storm55c5,126$2,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,800.921,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b2…2171backed St. John's Red Storm50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5003545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Kansas Jayhawks50c4,795$2,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,417.2719958.3%116 W · 83 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Kansas Jayhawks49c4,718$2,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,403.472,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca6…73e3backed Kansas Jayhawks50c4,620$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,310.148946.1%41 W · 48 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed St. John's Red Storm69c4,484$3,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,114.681631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.0wins-0.25per pick56cpaid-52.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Kansas Jayhawks49c4,025$1,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,052.741,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf52b…905bbacked Kansas Jayhawks51c4,010$2,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,964.761947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Kansas Jayhawks31c3,890$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,684.321225%3 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Kansas Jayhawks49c3,853$1,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,964.9210739.3%42 W · 65 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked St. John's Red Storm50c3,764$1,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,881.82828.6%8 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed St. John's Red Storm50c3,315$1,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,657.644628.3%13 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-44.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked St. John's Red Storm50c3,175$1,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,587.534744.7%21 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Kansas Jayhawks50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50011850%59 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Kansas Jayhawks50c2,942$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.2212749.6%63 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Kansas Jayhawks48c2,760$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.762,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0447…3cd9backed Kansas Jayhawks32c2,730$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,868.731861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+58.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas Jayhawks49c2,693$1,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377.4118744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77d4…3983backed St. John's Red Storm50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2505341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Kansas Jayhawks48c2,500$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2908350.6%42 W · 41 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7e9…bdacbacked St. John's Red Storm50c2,310$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1558046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Kansas Jayhawks48c2,204$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.4910451%53 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Kansas Jayhawks49c2,092$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.7750548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x335d…8f03backed St. John's Red Storm50c2,030$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.928748.3%42 W · 45 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9032…8717backed Kansas Jayhawks49c2,005$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.483053.3%16 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+43.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67d6…b04bbacked Kansas Jayhawks50c2,002$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.162339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-27.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed St. John's Red Storm50c2,000$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.679259.8%55 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Kansas Jayhawks49c1,993$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.661,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Kansas Jayhawks21c1,992$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,568.6514728.6%42 W · 105 L-0.7wins0.00per pick29cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1da3…2f94backed St. John's Red Storm54c1,841$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.342171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+30.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed St. John's Red Storm58c1,800$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.313647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed St. John's Red Storm40c1,543$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.843,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Kansas Jayhawks50c1,460$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7305044%22 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed St. John's Red Storm70c1,435$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.68754%47 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbee0…aa9fbacked Kansas Jayhawks49c1,415$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.567643.4%33 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Kansas Jayhawks50c1,388$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6941258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Kansas Jayhawks49c1,337$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.6614447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked St. John's Red Storm51c1,283$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.462147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Kansas Jayhawks42c1,251$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.1544146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a61…5781backed St. John's Red Storm51c1,219$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.82657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Kansas Jayhawks21c1,215$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.42,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Kansas Jayhawks50c1,184$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.339050%45 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked St. John's Red Storm51c1,182$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.335942.4%25 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc339…ba5bbacked Kansas Jayhawks50c1,140$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.973135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.9wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x743a…ddcdbacked Kansas Jayhawks49c1,100$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5616142.6%26 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+49.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kansas Jayhawks24c1,068$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.55,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked St. John's Red Storm50c1,060$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5305740.4%23 W · 34 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked St. John's Red Storm50c1,041$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.346349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked St. John's Red Storm51c1,034$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5277938%30 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41d0…fe91backed St. John's Red Storm51c1,020$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.411241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Kansas Jayhawks50c1,011$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.549151.6%47 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed St. John's Red Storm50c1,010$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50518556.8%105 W · 80 L+14.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Kansas Jayhawks50c1,005$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.5812344.7%55 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6586…c69cbacked Kansas Jayhawks49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x68f9…0be1backed Kansas Jayhawks50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbcc…edc9backed Kansas Jayhawks50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5003775.7%28 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc676…f35cbacked St. John's Red Storm50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008248.8%40 W · 42 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ec4…b8e5backed St. John's Red Storm50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed St. John's Red Storm50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed St. John's Red Storm51c991.25$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.5410846.3%50 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Kansas Jayhawks50c991.25$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.631060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+21.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf638…aa50backed St. John's Red Storm50c991.25$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.631136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Kansas Jayhawks50c991.25$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.6342934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Kansas Jayhawks50c981.3$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.651650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed St. John's Red Storm50c938.19$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.4316341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Kansas Jayhawks50c918.84$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.8822250%111 W · 111 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Kansas Jayhawks50c899.96$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.9810458.7%61 W · 43 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x126d…f863backed St. John's Red Storm50c893.24$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.622646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed St. John's Red Storm51c852.46$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.7684147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x714d…6e05backed Kansas Jayhawks50c850$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4253043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc75e…4f85backed St. John's Red Storm49c823.55$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed St. John's Red Storm50c809.91$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.536538.5%25 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Kansas Jayhawks49c809.19$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.694656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f04…6a54backed Kansas Jayhawks40c805.37$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.261947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.