TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x67d6…b04b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst UFC at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT3268.8%22 W · 10 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,702Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$999.59
1H Spread: Lakers (-7.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$393.1
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,440Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$1,002.16
Spread: Heat (-15.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,202Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,109.28
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,131Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$1,002.96
Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,982Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,981.86
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,100
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+85.2%+$112.62
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$2,123.61
Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+92.3%+$2,030.77
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$2,200
Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 243.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$2,039.62
Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,131Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$1,002.96
Spread: Clippers (-8.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$651Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$650.59
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,041Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$1,000.18
Grizzlies vs. Pacersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,041Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$1,000.18
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$293.95
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+92.3%+$278.16
Heat vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+69.5%+$3,127.12
Heat vs. 76ers: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+81.8%+$61.73
Spurs vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,488Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+92.3%+$4,142.77
Thunder vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+92.3%+$313.63
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,130
Heat vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$11.07
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$4,880
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-27.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,325Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,324.54
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,132.19
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)backed Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,001.16
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,145.89
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Sam Houston Bearkatsbacked Sam Houston Bearkats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,303Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,302.7
Spread: Davidson Wildcats (-7.5)backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,239Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,013.87
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-6.5)backed Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.15
Louisville Cardinals vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,260.12
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-19.5)backed Oregon State Beavers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,190Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,013.34
Spread: BYU Cougars (-2.5)backed BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$273.6
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,774Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$1,773.54
Penn Quakers vs. Brown Bearsbacked Brown Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,019.8
Spread: Southeast Missouri State Redhawks (-3.5)backed Lindenwood Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,325Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+81.9%+$1,085.39
Spread: Auburn Tigers (-9.5)backed Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$1,004.96
Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-3.5)backed Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,179.66
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-8.5)backed Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$392.81
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-7.5)backed Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,090Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,090.4
Spread: Delaware State Hornets (-1.5)backed Delaware State Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$148.95
South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. Delaware State Hornetsbacked Delaware State Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,136.27
IU Indy Jaguars vs. Cleveland State Vikingsbacked IU Indy Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$991Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$991.25
Spread: CSUN Matadors (-1.5)backed UC Irvine Anteaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+92.3%+$64.23
Queens (NC) Royals vs. Eastern Kentucky Colonels: O/U 164.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$208.12
Spread: Houston Cougars (-2.5)backed Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,138Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+89.3%+$1,016.58
All 23 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick65cpaid-58.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+72.4%+$1,593.1
Canucks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+72.4%+$506.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,300
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,238.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,336Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+40.6%+$541.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Elise Mertens vs Belinda Bencicbacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,246Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,245.51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.