TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, San Francisco Giants
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$300,275
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$316,492

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $300,275 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x32ed…f960backed San Francisco Giants33c47,647$15,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,959.356,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed New York Yankees68c46,570$31,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,891.92,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked San Francisco Giants10c30,450$3,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,160.5412754.3%69 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked San Francisco Giants30c27,994$8,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,331.6721656.5%122 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked San Francisco Giants29c16,925$4,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,829.091,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked New York Yankees55c14,000$7,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,339.8677053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked New York Yankees73c7,516$5,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,047.17753.2%41 W · 36 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed New York Yankees72c7,363$5,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.214841.7%20 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked New York Yankees55c6,684$3,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,998.771,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked San Francisco Giants26c6,205$1,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,616.1119143.5%83 W · 108 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked San Francisco Giants24c5,863$1,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,426.351,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed San Francisco Giants45c5,756$2,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,590.23740.5%15 W · 22 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees70c5,103$3,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,538.4312,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed New York Yankees54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.9811040.9%45 W · 65 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked San Francisco Giants46c4,860$2,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,234.21,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees74c4,816$3,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,258.538,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59f0…6ca0backed San Francisco Giants45c3,583$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,612.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed San Francisco Giants45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.9720350.7%103 W · 100 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed San Francisco Giants45c2,636$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.151,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked San Francisco Giants8c2,562$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.671,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees72c2,528$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.89,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed New York Yankees55c2,218$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.1816547.3%78 W · 87 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed San Francisco Giants45c2,209$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.1167849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67d6…b04bbacked San Francisco Giants46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed San Francisco Giants9c2,145$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.751,17329%340 W · 833 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed San Francisco Giants47c2,000$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.6932152%167 W · 154 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed San Francisco Giants45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.991,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e2…8a9bbacked San Francisco Giants46c1,957$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90014156%79 W · 62 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f4b…bb93backed New York Yankees75c1,953$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.312021.7%26 W · 94 L-25.1wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-63.6%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed New York Yankees77c1,830$1,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.961,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed New York Yankees55c1,770$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.592,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed New York Yankees80c1,748$1,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.061,12144.1%494 W · 627 L-32.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed San Francisco Giants37c1,676$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62011547%54 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed New York Yankees70c1,672$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.321,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked San Francisco Giants24c1,326$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.869219.6%18 W · 74 L-7.6wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed San Francisco Giants14c1,300$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1849021.1%19 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-51.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked San Francisco Giants23c1,225$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.965050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed San Francisco Giants17c1,195$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.0354715.9%87 W · 460 L-40.7wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x45e8…5169backed New York Yankees54c1,044$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.267262.5%45 W · 27 L+10.2wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0f82…9ae1backed New York Yankees55c1,004$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.6422948.9%112 W · 117 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed New York Yankees55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45011744.4%52 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked New York Yankees53c989.2$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.5446547.1%219 W · 246 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c18…ab90backed New York Yankees77c983.73$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.73580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed San Francisco Giants29c978.54$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.897833.3%26 W · 52 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked San Francisco Giants16c977.13$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.3446239.6%183 W · 279 L-17.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea2f…b0e1backed New York Yankees55c908.22$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.7944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked New York Yankees69c901.38$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.911,26947.4%602 W · 667 L-31.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked San Francisco Giants2c900$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511914.3%17 W · 102 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+289.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked San Francisco Giants45c900$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4051,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed San Francisco Giants47c844.34$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.054,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed New York Yankees69c797.38$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.691,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc339…ba5bbacked San Francisco Giants45c760$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3422040%8 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed San Francisco Giants8c726.68$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4416351.5%84 W · 79 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed San Francisco Giants25c701.6$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.4728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked New York Yankees55c697.23$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.2311844.1%52 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf638…aa50backed New York Yankees52c666.9$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.111546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed San Francisco Giants27c636.72$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.1554941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed New York Yankees64c626.54$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.5420350.2%102 W · 101 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked San Francisco Giants40c608.85$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.7838148.6%185 W · 196 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x714d…6e05backed San Francisco Giants45c599.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2706437.5%24 W · 40 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked New York Yankees54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.5616159.6%96 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb60…137abacked New York Yankees55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.459435.1%33 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x80f0…1ebebacked San Francisco Giants46c543.48$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9044…c2f5backed San Francisco Giants37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+39.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ba9…bfaebacked New York Yankees78c500$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.4523060%138 W · 92 L-1.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked San Francisco Giants29c481$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14151334.5%177 W · 336 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb7f…824bbacked New York Yankees54c462.95$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.956764.2%43 W · 24 L+10.6wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+26.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed New York Yankees55c460$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20722548.4%109 W · 116 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked New York Yankees55c454.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.5522546.2%104 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c14…7bc1backed New York Yankees55c454.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.552552%13 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked San Francisco Giants46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20048354.7%264 W · 219 L+20.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed New York Yankees76c430$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2485235.8%305 W · 547 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked New York Yankees55c407.27$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.2750751.7%262 W · 245 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked San Francisco Giants46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1843,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked San Francisco Giants8c400$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3311125.2%28 W · 83 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked New York Yankees54c390$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.427751.3%142 W · 135 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed San Francisco Giants43c384$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.246,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d8a…e03fbacked New York Yankees54c381.33$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.417154.9%39 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed San Francisco Giants45c374.99$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.7422849.1%112 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked New York Yankees55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.64966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked San Francisco Giants35c354.98$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.6960941.4%252 W · 357 L-22.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed San Francisco Giants44c350.97$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.4344643.3%193 W · 253 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked New York Yankees58c334$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.2811454.4%62 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x109e…0a59backed New York Yankees54c323.63$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.872969%20 W · 9 L+5.8wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+79.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed San Francisco Giants8c306.91$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.517949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed New York Yankees53c305.09$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.91,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed San Francisco Giants45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13511647.4%55 W · 61 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb06e…9cd4backed New York Yankees55c290$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed San Francisco Giants46c289.13$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1336946.4%32 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8890…cefbbacked New York Yankees53c286.24$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.5650962.9%320 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed New York Yankees55c274$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.312154.5%66 W · 55 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked New York Yankees60c271.81$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.268246.3%38 W · 44 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf40e…9addbacked New York Yankees56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.866958%40 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed New York Yankees70c267.37$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.271,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed San Francisco Giants45c256.6$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4710539%41 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked San Francisco Giants39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10094034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed San Francisco Giants45c253.25$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.967839.7%31 W · 47 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed San Francisco Giants36c250$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906839.7%27 W · 41 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b70…3102backed San Francisco Giants43c241.4$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cb9…dc3dbacked San Francisco Giants27c239.28$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.18757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.