TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb06e…9cd4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT4372.1%31 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.1
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$4.7
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$6.7
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.15
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.2
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$16.8
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.2
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$6.7
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+110.2%+$36.7
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$16
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$6.5
LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$16.2
LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.6
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.13
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+175.2%+$38.2
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$34.53
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$22.3
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$9.1
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$22
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$6.55
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.67
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$49.1
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$180
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.58
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.7
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.92
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$11
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-61.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$130.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+71.9%+$20.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$14.58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.