TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Hawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof Celtics, Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,441,282
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,526,515

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,441,282 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Hawks56c913,232$511,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401,821.995154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Celtics45c588,888$263,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263,110.6972648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Hawks52c236,735$123,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113,632.6232653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Celtics44c200,000$88,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87,999.9354539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Celtics44c199,987$87,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87,994.4423257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics37c186,293$69,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,718.164,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033d…fd1ebacked Celtics33c170,751$57,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,199.6410252%53 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Celtics45c165,369$73,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,887.836549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Celtics44c149,131$65,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,617.5716841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe34b…3b60backed Hawks57c131,281$74,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,518.381346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Celtics44c113,244$49,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,827.3643542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed Hawks56c98,552$55,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,362.985253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Celtics49c88,189$42,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,778.6922453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Hawks49c75,946$37,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,632.0527251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Celtics48c72,773$35,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,120.896547.7%31 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hawks56c69,518$38,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,827.054,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Celtics44c66,666$29,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,333.0447848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Celtics48c61,564$29,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,550.7227747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Hawks56c59,346$33,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,273.411,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebe5…b317backed Hawks56c50,540$28,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,237.472360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Hawks52c50,260$26,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,125.021457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Hawks56c40,000$22,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,60038253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks53c38,087$20,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,787.194,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Celtics1c36,099$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.615213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Celtics33c34,856$11,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,571.2149244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Celtics12c34,085$3,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,968.1978445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Hawks56c33,328$18,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,664.3428241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Hawks53c29,110$15,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,695.765939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Celtics48c27,679$13,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,288.8632540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Celtics50c26,369$13,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,101.911543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hawks57c26,231$15,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,178.292,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Hawks56c25,871$14,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,383.1740446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Hawks55c25,642$14,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,538.7629351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Hawks56c25,615$14,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,270.724148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hawks54c25,530$13,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,870.124,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Celtics0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Hawks59c24,616$14,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,115.9616547.3%78 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Hawks59c21,302$12,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,654.172,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Hawks52c20,761$10,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,867.051,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Celtics44c20,000$8,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,799.9819751.8%102 W · 95 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hawks55c18,303$10,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,284.663,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Celtics45c17,805$7,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,934.085848.3%28 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Celtics29c17,786$5,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,216.133,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Hawks56c17,593$9,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,740.9816261.7%100 W · 62 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d03…9e27backed Celtics3c17,257$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.168532.9%28 W · 57 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x306e…3a7cbacked Celtics46c17,010$7,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,824.542532%8 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-40.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Hawks53c16,652$8,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,764.56045%27 W · 33 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Hawks54c16,395$8,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,549.1743438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Hawks56c15,832$8,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,999.8666248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Celtics48c15,650$7,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,560.5121350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Celtics46c15,071$6,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,932.582,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Hawks55c15,000$8,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,7509159.3%54 W · 37 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Hawks55c15,000$8,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,70031445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Hawks57c14,779$8,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,355.1538251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Hawks54c14,454$7,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,648.5486641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8650…b8babacked Celtics44c13,345$5,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,871.862556%14 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+33.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Hawks56c13,135$7,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,779.3641832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Celtics44c12,855$5,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,617.761,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Hawks53c11,381$6,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,363.311,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Celtics44c11,189$4,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,922.977243.1%31 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1961…c461backed Hawks56c10,971$6,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,774.898750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Celtics41c10,448$4,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,264.9817436.2%63 W · 111 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfcd…b6e0backed Hawks52c10,271$5,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,927.42850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+40.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Celtics49c10,051$4,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,925.0310225.5%26 W · 76 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c15…35aebacked Hawks56c10,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,40010236.3%37 W · 65 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Celtics45c10,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5006144.3%27 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb6b…a33dbacked Celtics2c10,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17010914.7%16 W · 93 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick11cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Hawks56c9,999$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,399.6935251.1%180 W · 172 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Celtics2c9,989$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.971417.8%11 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Hawks56c9,926$5,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,367.461,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Hawks52c9,826$5,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,708.481,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc86a…bcabbacked Hawks56c9,590$5,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,219.61764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+24.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Celtics1c9,545$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.823179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ec1…057cbacked Hawks55c9,357$5,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,210.613946.2%18 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf00f…28edbacked Celtics3c9,073$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.857347.9%35 W · 38 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+53.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x92b5…fec6backed Celtics44c9,031$3,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,940.9710747.7%51 W · 56 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Celtics44c9,000$3,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,96066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c49…dd2dbacked Hawks50c8,977$4,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,458.5120048%96 W · 104 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Celtics32c8,466$2,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,734.712,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Celtics9c8,403$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.2736023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47f8…6699backed Hawks55c8,388$4,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,774.783354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Hawks55c8,316$4,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,760.773,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Hawks53c8,227$4,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,847.6972450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Celtics46c8,117$3,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,733.6639349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Hawks52c8,000$4,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,84058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Hawks53c7,880$4,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,703.81,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Celtics29c7,578$2,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,180.6162144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee3e…4116backed Celtics1c7,476$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.84721.3%10 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-64.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x43f2…09a5backed Hawks68c7,403$5,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,395.3512756.7%72 W · 55 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfdd…8bd4backed Celtics45c7,081$3,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,177.842420.8%5 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick21cpaid-51.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49a3…91bbbacked Celtics49c7,022$3,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,440.956347.6%30 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb6f…e0ddbacked Celtics47c6,993$3,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,286.946744.8%30 W · 37 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Celtics46c6,985$3,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,222.9987750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Hawks55c6,900$3,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,102.8313946.8%65 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Celtics0c6,650$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.68820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Celtics48c6,600$3,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,141.7861336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Hawks57c6,491$3,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,780.111,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Hawks53c6,403$3,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,009.3471547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa56a…3072backed Hawks50c6,384$3,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,183.6911555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x853e…0d8cbacked Celtics44c6,342$2,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,790.3712042.5%51 W · 69 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.