NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43ec63bda2d67434cc3544dcb4cb2e87048181d22bf1e8575f23523cb3240541
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Celtics, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,441,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,526,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,441,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Hawks | 56c | 913,232$511,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401,821.99 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Celtics | 45c | 588,888$263,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263,110.69 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Hawks | 52c | 236,735$123,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113,632.62 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Celtics | 44c | 200,000$88,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,999.93 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Celtics | 44c | 199,987$87,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,994.44 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics | 37c | 186,293$69,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,718.16 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…fd1ebacked Celtics | 33c | 170,751$57,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,199.64 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Celtics | 45c | 165,369$73,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,887.8 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Celtics | 44c | 149,131$65,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,617.57 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe34b…3b60backed Hawks | 57c | 131,281$74,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,518.38 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Celtics | 44c | 113,244$49,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,827.36 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Hawks | 56c | 98,552$55,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,362.98 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Celtics | 49c | 88,189$42,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,778.69 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Hawks | 49c | 75,946$37,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,632.05 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Celtics | 48c | 72,773$35,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,120.89 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Hawks | 56c | 69,518$38,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,827.05 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Celtics | 44c | 66,666$29,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,333.04 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Celtics | 48c | 61,564$29,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,550.72 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Hawks | 56c | 59,346$33,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,273.41 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe5…b317backed Hawks | 56c | 50,540$28,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,237.47 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Hawks | 52c | 50,260$26,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,125.02 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Hawks | 56c | 40,000$22,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,600 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks | 53c | 38,087$20,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,787.19 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Celtics | 1c | 36,099$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.61 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Celtics | 33c | 34,856$11,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,571.21 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Celtics | 12c | 34,085$3,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,968.19 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Hawks | 56c | 33,328$18,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,664.34 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Hawks | 53c | 29,110$15,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,695.7 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Celtics | 48c | 27,679$13,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,288.86 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Celtics | 50c | 26,369$13,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,101.9 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Hawks | 57c | 26,231$15,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,178.29 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Hawks | 56c | 25,871$14,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,383.17 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Hawks | 55c | 25,642$14,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,538.76 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Hawks | 56c | 25,615$14,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,270.72 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hawks | 54c | 25,530$13,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,870.12 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Celtics | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Hawks | 59c | 24,616$14,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,115.96 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Hawks | 59c | 21,302$12,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,654.17 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Hawks | 52c | 20,761$10,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,867.05 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Celtics | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,799.98 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Hawks | 55c | 18,303$10,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,284.66 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Celtics | 45c | 17,805$7,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,934.08 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Celtics | 29c | 17,786$5,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,216.13 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Hawks | 56c | 17,593$9,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,740.98 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9e27backed Celtics | 3c | 17,257$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.16 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Celtics | 46c | 17,010$7,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,824.54 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Hawks | 53c | 16,652$8,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,764.5 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Hawks | 54c | 16,395$8,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,549.17 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Hawks | 56c | 15,832$8,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,999.86 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Celtics | 48c | 15,650$7,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,560.51 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Celtics | 46c | 15,071$6,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,932.58 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Hawks | 55c | 15,000$8,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,750 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Hawks | 55c | 15,000$8,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,700 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Hawks | 57c | 14,779$8,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,355.15 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Hawks | 54c | 14,454$7,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,648.54 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8650…b8babacked Celtics | 44c | 13,345$5,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,871.86 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Hawks | 56c | 13,135$7,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,779.36 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Celtics | 44c | 12,855$5,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,617.76 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Hawks | 53c | 11,381$6,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,363.31 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Celtics | 44c | 11,189$4,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,922.97 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…c461backed Hawks | 56c | 10,971$6,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,774.89 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Celtics | 41c | 10,448$4,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,264.98 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcd…b6e0backed Hawks | 52c | 10,271$5,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,927.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Celtics | 49c | 10,051$4,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,925.03 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…35aebacked Hawks | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Celtics | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…a33dbacked Celtics | 2c | 10,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 109 | 14.7%16 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Hawks | 56c | 9,999$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.69 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Celtics | 2c | 9,989$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.97 | 141 | 7.8%11 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Hawks | 56c | 9,926$5,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,367.46 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Hawks | 52c | 9,826$5,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,708.48 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86a…bcabbacked Hawks | 56c | 9,590$5,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,219.6 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Celtics | 1c | 9,545$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.82 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Hawks | 55c | 9,357$5,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,210.61 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…28edbacked Celtics | 3c | 9,073$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.85 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Celtics | 44c | 9,031$3,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,940.97 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Celtics | 44c | 9,000$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…dd2dbacked Hawks | 50c | 8,977$4,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,458.51 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Celtics | 32c | 8,466$2,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,734.71 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Celtics | 9c | 8,403$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.27 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47f8…6699backed Hawks | 55c | 8,388$4,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,774.78 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hawks | 55c | 8,316$4,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,760.77 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Hawks | 53c | 8,227$4,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,847.69 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Celtics | 46c | 8,117$3,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,733.66 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Hawks | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Hawks | 53c | 7,880$4,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,703.8 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Celtics | 29c | 7,578$2,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,180.61 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee3e…4116backed Celtics | 1c | 7,476$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…09a5backed Hawks | 68c | 7,403$5,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,395.35 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…8bd4backed Celtics | 45c | 7,081$3,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,177.84 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49a3…91bbbacked Celtics | 49c | 7,022$3,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,440.95 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6f…e0ddbacked Celtics | 47c | 6,993$3,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,286.94 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Celtics | 46c | 6,985$3,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,222.99 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Hawks | 55c | 6,900$3,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,102.83 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Celtics | 0c | 6,650$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Celtics | 48c | 6,600$3,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,141.78 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Hawks | 57c | 6,491$3,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,780.11 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Hawks | 53c | 6,403$3,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,009.34 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa56a…3072backed Hawks | 50c | 6,384$3,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,183.69 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…0d8cbacked Celtics | 44c | 6,342$2,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,790.37 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Hawksthis page
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-0.5)Celtics won
- Celtics vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 218.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 220.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 221.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 222.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 224.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5Under won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-1.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-3.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.