NBA · resolved market
Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94c68cfae11dfd910579042bb0717f4dbf447de4cc67eb50807922ed3379a1e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94fc…7162backed Yes | 4c | 14,323$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.7 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…107abacked Yes | 1c | 11,132$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 5c | 2,321$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.76 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed No | 64c | 2,032$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.14 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed No | 66c | 948.08$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.59 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 32c | 714.63$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.58 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 68c | 563.26$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.95 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked No | 73c | 535.96$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.85 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…5f87backed Yes | 36c | 479.67$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…6789backed Yes | 4c | 476.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…7c5ebacked Yes | 26c | 464.01$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked No | 69c | 384.85$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.3 | 392 | 65.1%255 W · 137 L | +31.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…3523backed Yes | 31c | 297.59$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5023…a00fbacked Yes | 27c | 237.18$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.25 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…755fbacked Yes | 20c | 218.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…ab7fbacked Yes | 34c | 218.11$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x540f…92bebacked Yes | 53c | 206.63$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.51 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f96…0fa4backed Yes | 36c | 200.19$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…b331backed No | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 398 | 64.3%256 W · 142 L | +33.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 69c | 96.75$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked No | 47c | 74.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 270 | 74.1%200 W · 70 L | +30.5wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…6d97backed Yes | 36c | 71.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…f1c6backed Yes | 37c | 70.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -7.2wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x76e6…2760backed Yes | 37c | 53.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7d…6f69backed Yes | 31c | 47.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5daf…7d98backed Yes | 53c | 44.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe86d…ada3backed No | 70c | 41.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 153 | 62.1%95 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a9…44d3backed Yes | 36c | 41.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 284 | 55.3%157 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…cd02backed Yes | 36c | 41.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb94d…9b4dbacked Yes | 26c | 41.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdabb…8cc4backed Yes | 36c | 40.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 64c | 38.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7861…3d27backed Yes | 37c | 30.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 46c | 24.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked No | 66c | 24.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…c5a4backed No | 76c | 19.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked No | 70c | 14.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 4.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-0.5)Celtics won
- Celtics vs. HawksHawks won
- Celtics vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 218.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 220.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 221.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 222.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 224.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5Under won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-1.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-3.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.