NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 221.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1525359e1d8ad999247da249c604bfa66635bfbb5e999ff8a5b1194837729c6a

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 31, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $19,555
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $20,336

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,555 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe169…4653backed Over	53c	5,014$2,658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,657.55	124	50.8%63 W · 61 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba81…dc35backed Under	47c	4,939$2,321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,617.83	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Under	48c	2,077$997 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,079.8	285	54%154 W · 131 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f95…b08bbacked Over	52c	1,971$1,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,024.66	32	50%16 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over	50c	1,140$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570.12	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	50c	842.53$421 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$421.79	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Over	53c	624.49$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.98	197	45.2%89 W · 108 L	-7.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	54c	580.52$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.48	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Under	47c	573.96$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$304.2	256	41.4%106 W · 150 L	-13.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	49c	571.48$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291.07	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under	42c	496.32$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287.86	114	37.7%43 W · 71 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	43c	453.17$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.22	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	40c	433.27$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.23	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over	52c	412.7$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.95	627	44.5%279 W · 348 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f5e…1a04backed Under	47c	409.74$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.64	61	62.3%38 W · 23 L	+5.9wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked Over	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	66	37.9%25 W · 41 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked Over	61c	323.35$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.14	102	54.9%56 W · 46 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Over	53c	296.51$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.15	216	53.7%116 W · 100 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over	55c	295.55$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.55	324	50.3%163 W · 161 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under	67c	253.73$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.73	658	72.8%479 W · 179 L	+46.1wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Over	49c	199.96$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.98	382	42.9%164 W · 218 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under	43c	195.84$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.75	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Under	48c	195.18$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.37	166	42.2%70 W · 96 L	-11.2wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under	39c	192.3$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.3	1,393	48.3%673 W · 720 L	+19.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under	43c	189.72$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.59	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	48c	187.15$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.32	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Over	53c	185.86$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.51	183	49.2%90 W · 93 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	46c	178.86$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.64	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	44c	154.29$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.4	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Over	52c	152.75$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.8	144	44.4%64 W · 80 L	-10.5wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Over	47c	138.99$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.68	142	43%61 W · 81 L	-7.8wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under	45c	126$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.08	474	36.7%174 W · 300 L	-16.8wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	49c	122.51$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.9	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1752…682bbacked Over	54c	122.16$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.34	57	36.8%21 W · 36 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	56c	110.46$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.72	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under	47c	109.98$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.57	656	30.2%198 W · 458 L	-86.7wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x87fa…12d0backed Under	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	153	57.5%88 W · 65 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	48c	99.33$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.2	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over	67c	98.67$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.96	1,151	53.7%618 W · 533 L	-41.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96ea…639abacked Over	49c	98.5$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.27	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over	51c	97.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.64	918	46.2%424 W · 494 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6d1…c15ebacked Under	44c	95.38$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.31	51	60.8%31 W · 20 L	+4.1wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under	55c	89.56$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.3	455	42.4%193 W · 262 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over	51c	86.29$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.68	600	49.8%299 W · 301 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Under	42c	83.76$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.58	193	48.2%93 W · 100 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	39c	78.59$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.94	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25c5…8581backed Over	56c	70.37$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.41	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca22…71a0backed Over	45c	65.16$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.56	71	53.5%38 W · 33 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under	38c	63.59$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.43	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf421…2e3abacked Under	49c	61.69$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.26	72	48.6%35 W · 37 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ae8…24f3backed Over	58c	60.3$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.97	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over	50c	59.26$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.63	786	48.7%383 W · 403 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over	61c	58.76$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.84	236	57.2%135 W · 101 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Over	52c	56.83$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.55	129	61.2%79 W · 50 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	63cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	65c	56.06$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.54	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Over	47c	54.86$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.73	168	67.3%113 W · 55 L	+13.8wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	48c	53.1$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.85	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6276…7f2ebacked Under	57c	51.86$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.3	191	66.5%127 W · 64 L	+7.1wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under	49c	51.17$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.95	592	50.2%297 W · 295 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Under	47c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.5	533	39.6%211 W · 322 L	-39.9wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	49c	45.23$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.07	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under	46c	42.06$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.71	525	52%273 W · 252 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb38c…5f11backed Over	52c	37.89$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.7	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc18a…b3dbbacked Under	49c	37.63$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.04	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over	54c	37.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.21	1,634	48.1%786 W · 848 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f16…b5b9backed Under	48c	36$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.72	99	38.4%38 W · 61 L	-8.4wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over	54c	33.7$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.2	492	49.8%245 W · 247 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	50c	31.6$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.85	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Under	58c	30.27$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.71	144	38.9%56 W · 88 L	+32.5wins	+0.23per pick	16cpaid	+228.3%equal weight	71+0.19 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under	47c	29.09$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.42	813	49.4%402 W · 411 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca5e…4a1cbacked Under	51c	28.97$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.2	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-2.9wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under	39c	28.33$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.2	969	56.3%546 W · 423 L	+26.0wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under	44c	28.21$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.8	271	38.7%105 W · 166 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc47a…68e6backed Under	56c	26.39$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.61	68	48.5%33 W · 35 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c76…9816backed Under	45c	26.27$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.45	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.32per pick	43cpaid	+72.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under	50c	25.74$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.88	516	47.5%245 W · 271 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under	41c	25.58$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.19	650	45.1%293 W · 357 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Under	46c	24.36$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.15	118	26.3%31 W · 87 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over	53c	23.72$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.57	870	49.3%429 W · 441 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over	60c	20.89$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.58	445	51.2%228 W · 217 L	+11.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over	53c	19.7$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.44	329	57.4%189 W · 140 L	+18.5wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed Over	52c	19.26$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.02	96	46.9%45 W · 51 L	-6.0wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Under	63c	16.24$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.95	142	64.8%92 W · 50 L	+9.6wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 221.5this page
1H Spread: Hawks (-0.5)Celtics won
Celtics vs. HawksHawks won
Celtics vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
Celtics vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 218.5Under won
Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 220.5Under won
Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 222.5Under won
Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 224.5Under won
Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 225.5Under won
Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5Under won
Derrick White: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Derrick White: Points O/U 17.5No won
Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 21.5No won
Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 23.5No won
Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 17.5No won
Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)Hawks won
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Hawks won
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)Hawks won
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Hawks won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 221.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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