NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb133b4907400ceeae1891a454108896e5e33d0b9f35959ada63706af5c01d839
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 51c | 12,564$6,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,407.93 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe34b…3b60backed Over | 51c | 9,422$4,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,805.14 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 51c | 9,000$4,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,409.94 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 7,259$3,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,554.47 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Under | 49c | 4,825$2,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460.75 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e70…f06fbacked Under | 49c | 4,282$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.7 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Under | 49c | 4,101$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091.43 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Under | 49c | 4,020$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.42 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 49c | 2,842$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.29 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 1,742$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.13 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…a0d8backed Under | 49c | 1,727$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.66 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…4767backed Under | 52c | 1,536$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.32 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 1,300$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under | 50c | 984.08$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.58 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 21c | 865.1$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.21 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 65c | 677.77$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.88 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Over | 15c | 602.19$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.45 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Over | 52c | 492.51$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.11 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 79c | 446.09$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 50c | 210.44$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.35 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 50c | 204.38$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.99 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 49c | 200.94$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.46 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 193.06$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.46 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Over | 52c | 189.43$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 77c | 133.05$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 38c | 131.49$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 80c | 117.51$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Over | 49c | 111.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under | 51c | 108.35$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.09 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 49c | 100.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.26 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 47c | 99.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 50c | 98.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.34 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 97.52$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.07 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 43c | 95.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 77c | 92.84$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 15c | 84.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 51c | 80.72$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 36c | 70.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d41…2e0abacked Under | 70c | 70.7$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Under | 49c | 68.81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 238 | 40.8%97 W · 141 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 52c | 51.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 49c | 39.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 221 | 43.4%96 W · 125 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Over | 52c | 37.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 48c | 37.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 79c | 34.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 51c | 30.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…6831backed Under | 60c | 23.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +4.6wins | +0.36per pick | 57cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdb24…6f60backed Under | 63c | 19.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +141.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 225.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-0.5)Celtics won
- Celtics vs. HawksHawks won
- Celtics vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 218.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 220.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 221.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 222.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 224.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5Under won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-1.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-3.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.